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Futures, forecasts, and fantasy :



Fiber Optics to the Home


Fiber optics has helped push the telecommunications system into hyperdrive. But only when fiber connections reach all the way into the home will the technology’s promise be fully realized.



Current reports on


Continued on - please let me know about errors ! Some of these pages date back up to 10 years ( 1992 ) and have been through many editors and transfers. News about what's happening and for updates use GlobalVillage Excite NewsSearch -

pflpflpflpflaump@cfl.rr.comp://www.wiredbrain.net/


post.htm VAT initiative.htm

issues.htm


Continued on - please let me know about errors ! Some of these pages date back up to 10 years ( 1992 ) and have been through many editors and transfers. News about what's happening and for updates use GlobalVillage Excite NewsSearch -

pfpfpfpflaump@cfl.rr.comhttp://www.wiredbrain.net/


post.htm VAT initiative.htm

issues.htm

symbian.htm


http://www.wiredbrain.net/soliton.htm

http://www.wiredbrain.net/photonics.htm


ZDNet's "Your Digital Future"  represents a fascinating, almost overwhelming look into the changes we're likely to be seeing in:

- E-Business (XML, WAP, human language translation, security, B2B technologies, micropayments, enterprise-wide information systems, and more) http://www.zdnet.com/pcmag/stories/reviews/0,6755,2608415,00.html ;

- Internet technologies (the Internet's growing pervasiveness, Instant Messaging becoming as interoperable as the Web, applications that thrive on the "new connectivity," secure protocols, better ways to deliver high-bandwidth content, future "agent" technology, and more)
http://www.zdnet.com/pcmag/stories/reviews/0,6755,2608416,00.html ;

-

The infrastructures that tie all this together and allow it all to work (fiber-fiber-fiber, wireless of many different flavors, PDAs and cell phones, radios -- from ultra wideband to software-defined, and more) http://www.zdnet.com/pcmag/stories/reviews/0,6755,2608417,00.html ;

- Computing technologies (.18 to .13 micron chips, silicon-on-insulator, and copper interconnects yielding 12 GHz chips by 2005! Commodity systems in 2003 that have 5 GHz processors, 10 gigabytes of memory, 300 gigabyte hard drives, and half-gigabit/second USB.  A look into evolving chip architectures, and all of this leading to systems that "will still be outdated within a year of purchase."  Graphics performance in 2005 will be 1.6 trillion pixels at 48 billion polygons per second.  And 1 terabyte disk drives that same year.  And more.)
http://www.zdnet.com/pcmag/stories/reviews/0,6755,2608418,00.html ; and

-

The frontiers beyond (optical, molecular, DNA, and quantum computing, totally ubiquitous computing, advanced display technologies, and the promises of carbon nanotubes, self-organizing networks, and more.) http://www.zdnet.com/pcmag/stories/reviews/0,6755,2608419,00.html  .

XML: the most powerful productivity tool ever imaged:



I can write this text, I could insert picture or sound. I can create links ( hyper- links ) or imbedded functions ( scripts in several languages ) - e-mail it or post it to a web site that has scripts to run different functions. It is getting easier but still has lots of bugs.


Microsoft is again in a catch up position. Power corrupts and the lack of real time painful competition is what corrupted power means.

The NOISE group of Netscape, Oracle, IBM,Sun Microsystems, Corel and Everyone else had the model right years ago. With bandwidth ( such as private networks - intranets, extra-nets, and other high speed networks ) the network becomes the system. Each member of the system - clients and servers are integrated through common languages or objects.


When you open a web page, hypertext and imbedded objects can connect functions - edit, ( word processing ) analyze ( search, data bases ) and interoperate with each other using voice, images, data and text.

The idea is that a person interested in the service manual for a piece of equipment or operational system - a service engineer or client at a PC, or in the field using a lap top, wireless phone or other device not only could look up information but order parts, update systems, see graphic display, talk to experts, hold a meeting between the consultant and the providers and the home system would gather information about what is going on and what works and what doesn’t.


Providers of services - software, engineering, analysis, B2B, OEM, etc.. could all deal with each other using different languages, platforms and systems. This is the most powerful productivity tool ever imaged. System can adjust and improve in real time. A contractor in the field can order supplies from the best low cost provider, check delivery, pay accounts, check balances, talk to sub-contractors, revise plans and schedules, have the design changed and fixed, and 1000 and more details. No one can build a house without a cell phone - can any service be provided without real time communications ?


Who can do this unless they spend lots of money for services and software ?

The service providers can MS.net, oracle.net, IBM.net Sun.net, AOL.net, apple.net, excite.net, go.net, yahoo.net, - plug and play just like the cell phone. For $ 50 a month your ISP becomes an interactive system to other services.

The contractor enters his phone book, calendar, and buys services from engineers, accountants, and get free services from suppliers, banks, sub contractors, etc. Those connected have a great advantage over those out of the loop.


How about a search attached to stories.

The idea of references is still useful but you can also do a up to the minute search by a hyper text link that includes the key words -



http://nt.excite.com/ntd.dcg?UID=A61BAC843351654Cpage=create



http://nt.excite.com/ntd.dcg?UID=A61BAC843351654C&page=show&topic=Nano%20Technology&sb=summary



Windows in the cloudy sky:


What Microsoft wants to do is control the servers with a MS provided next, next generation NT platform operating system called XML but not open and universal.

The .net system works with devices that have .net codes built it. Microsoft products will run on .net as a server - client interface - XML files, XML data base, XML storage, XML index, id, calendar, updates, notifications, out in the cloud on MS XML server software doing object imbedded codes.

The applications become notations or services on the page.

The universal canvas API. Hardware drives, across all the devices and the .net controller in the a cloud. Development applications are built on the XML kits connected to the browser. This was Netscape’s vision from the beginning.. This is why MS had to kill Netscape and the NOISE group and what the browser wars was really about.


The platform is in the sky - Microsoft idea is the new version of what Netscape and SUN - the NOISE group ( Netscape, Oracle, IBM, Sun, and Everyone else ) started talking about five years ago.

The server ( web site ) company internets, the ISP, wireless devices, i-appliances, game panels, can all use audio, video, photograph, office applications - word process, presentation, spread sheets, data bases, in a interactive way using a server AGENT or personalized options given the application, the device used, and the pattern of application - on a rental or fee-for-service basics. In other words all the complex stuff is up stream - rich standards based on XML works between platforms and programs but at the server not on the PC - This is the critical and profound change.

The server in the cloud does the transfer and integration - is the platform in the sky that can work with all kinds of devices. It can take a record from one place in one format and uses it in another program in a different format guided by the smart agent. Information can be used almost anywhere from almost anywhere.


The devices can use keyboards, mouse, voice, hand writing, file transfer, clip board, as inputs as well as agent intelligence on the server and user interface.


Not news - cloudy vision part two :


http://www.wired.com/news/lycos/0,1306,37168,00.html


Gates for the first time emphasized the Web browser as the central application of computing. Echoing remarks made by counterparts Marc Andreessen and Scott McNealy four years ago, Gates said the network is even more important than the computer.


http://www.microsoft.com/presspass/topics/f2k/default.asp


Microsoft is creating an advanced new generation of software that will meld computing and communications in revolutionary new ways; offer every developer the tools to transform the Web and all other aspects of the computing experience; and enable businesses, knowledge workers and consumers to employ technology on their own terms.


See cloudy vision in http://www.wiredbrain.net/gates.htm


year Bill Gates ( reference to HTML ) Building Internet Applications Professional Developers Conference San Francisco -- March 13, 1996

http://www.wiredbrain.net/bill-g.htm


Maybe the only place to find these remarks



http://www.wiredbrain.net/symbian.htm

http://www.wiredbrain.net/nano.htm


http://www.upside.com/Ebiz/38a354c20_yahoo.html

Corning wants to turn glass to cash By Phil Harvey Redherring.com, February 17, 2000



http://www.redherring.com/insider/2000/0217/tech-corning021700.html


http://www.redherring.com/insider/1999/0903/inv-components.html

  • So Where is the Wireless Web?

  • by Dee McVicker
  • February 11, 2000

Network operations are currently divided into three technology families, code division multiple access (CDMA), time division multiple access (TDMA), and global system for mobile communication (GSM).


http://www.wiredbrain.net/symbian.htm

If we gave you 800-kilobit packet-data service as a user, we could fit 100 voice calls into that same bandwidth,"

Japan's NTT DoCoMo doesn't have the same concern, one reason why it's not hesitating to jump into 3G. Japanese and European operators running out of bandwidth can license new spectrum for 3G; U.S. operators cannot.

Eventually, the goal is "third generation," or 3G, devices (digital cell phones were the second generation) that will deliver data rates of up to 2 Mbps. Just for comparison, current cellular-network transfer rates plod along at 9.6 Kbps or 14.4 Kbps, at best, which is OK for e-mail and some of the new Internet services being lauded by cell-phone carriers. Phone.com's (PHCM) Wireless Application Protocol (WAP) microbrowser is helping squeeze the Web into these pipes, but that's a stopgap measure.

Wireless data is hot. You can't open a magazine without reading about microbrowsers on cell phones or turn on a television without seeing an advertisement for the Internet-in-your-pocket.

Japan is blasting away, with all jets driving, toward the new wireless Internet. As far back as October 19, 1998, NTT Mobile Communications Network Inc. (NTT DoCoMo, Tokyo), Japan's leading mobile operator, piloted a cellular network that joined together the cell phone and motion video.

Expected to launch commercially in March 2001, the network and others like it will give birth to a new wireless-communications era. For NTT DoCoMo's 3 million "i-mode" cell-phone subscribers (roughly 10 percent of the company's total customer base), for example, it will mean wireless high-speed Internet news, banking, video streaming, travel reservations, Web radio, and a slew of other services.

Chappell Brown

Bell Labs is known for revolutions.


In 1947 it was the transistor. Today it is photonics. Called the second silicon revolution, optical fiber systems are in an explosive state of development, reminiscent of the earlier days of the electronics industry.

Over the past two decades, since fiber-optic communications first began to appear, the carrying capacity of fiber has increased at a faster rate than Moore's law. Now the wavelength-division multiplexing revolution has accelerated that capacity even more, while introducing the flexibility of wavelength-based routing. Forged from an interdisciplinary mix of semiconductor diode lasers, micromachine technology and fundamental advances in optical glass technology, terahertz networking has arrived well ahead of schedule.

It's a major revolution riding on a broad-based industry serving the fundamental human need to communicate.

"A length of fiber long enough to circle the globe three times is produced every day, and if you extrapolate current trends to 2010, every one of the 6 billion people on earth will have a bandwidth capability equivalent to high-definition television," said Alistair Glass, director of photonics research and development at Lucent Technologies Bell Laboratories. Arriving at Bell Labs in 1967, Glass' career spans the development and implementation of fiber-optic communications systems.

Major breakthrough


"When I arrived, the major breakthrough was the first continuously operating laser, and it didn't run for very long-only a few minutes," Glass recalled.

"This was the time of the early hero experiments and the demands kept increasing and increasing on these devices.

There was always that pressure, but the interest in the marketplace represented a dramatic change."


There was always a strong demand to increase the performance of any device.

At first the research arm of AT&T, Bell Labs enjoyed a special status after its founding in the 1920s. Because of the monopoly granted AT&T by the government, in the interests of standardizing the telephone system, the lab could both be part of a commercial operation and play the open role of a national laboratory.

"At that time, there was not much connectivity with business- it was very much intellectually driven. We wanted to be leaders in all the fields relevant to communications," Glass said. But in the early 1980s two developments dramatically accelerated photonics research: commercial long-haul fiber-optic systems began to be installed commercially, and AT&T's monopoly was dissolved by the government, with parts of Bell Labs spun off into other companies as part of a complex divestiture of the telecommunications giant. "We were suddenly handed the mandate to develop commercial products out of our research efforts," he said.


The lab responded with a broad attack on optical communications systems. Innovations in the basic fiber, laser diodes to power them, and integrated optoelectronic components to interface with electronic data systems followed. "Since then, particularly with the founding of Lucent Technologies, optics has been accelerating at an incredible rate," Glass said.

For transporting data over long distances, fiber systems proved to be irresistible. Large bundles of copper wire could be replaced by slender silicon fibers in a process of "demassification" usually associated with the electronics industry. While the debate continues over whether optical interconnect is a viable alternative to electrical wiring inside of computers, the issue has been definitively resolved for long-distance communications. But optical interconnect inside the box may eventually succumb to a long-term trend. Recent developments in metropolitan-area networks suggest that fiber optics is riding a scaling law similar to the shrinking VLSI circuit, and the scaling rate appears to be steeper.


The rapid deployment of fiber optics received an even bigger jolt with a repeat of the '80s scenario in the 1990s. Bell Labs was again transferred in 1996 to another entity-Lucent Technologies-and made the centerpiece of a startup with considerable economic resources. Also brewing in photonics labs was a revolutionary technology called dense wavelength-division multiplexing (DWDM), which has allowed the carrying capacity of optical fiber to ramp up at an astonishing rate. "In the mid-90s it became a fever. We went from eight to 16 to 32 wavelengths on a single fiber and our latest products use 400. Now we have just demonstrated 1,000 wavelengths," Glass noted.

http://www.wiredbrain.net/dwdm.htm

DWDM uses individual segments of the optical spectrum to multiplex signals on a fiber.

The idea is recent, considered at first to be a laboratory curiosity since practical systems were already multiplexing channels with a time-division technique. Such synchronous optical networks (Sonet) had been able to extend the capacity of optical fiber and were a welcome development.

The wavelength-division multiplexing route has turned out to have far more potential: Bell Labs researchers recently demonstrated a DWDM transmission system capable of sending a terabit of data per second down a fiber. "That represents the entire world's Internet on a single glass fiber," Glass said.


The DWDM revolution has been extremely swift. When Lucent Technologies was established, DWDM was still at the laboratory demonstration stage. While the idea is simple, turning it into practical optical communications systems required a multifaceted development. Multiple-wavelength laser-diode systems and new types of fiber able to carry the multiple wavelength signals without crosstalk had to be developed. And some means of collectively amplifying multiwavelength signals had to be invented. While those problems were effectively solved in a short time, it wasn't easy. Indeed, one outstanding problem has never been solved: how to regenerate multiple wavelength signals.

Large areas


One consequence of that missing solution is the fact that DWDM can only be implemented on campus-wide or metropolitan areas. By doping fiber with the rare-earth element erbium, it is possible to build a simple light amplifier that is essentially a laser. When a multiple wavelength signal is passed through an erbium fiber loop and optically pumped, it emerges unchanged except that it is at a higher energy level. One nice aspect of this operation is that the actual content of the wavelength channels is irrelevant to the amplification process. Unfortunately, to recondition optical signals, it becomes necessary to decode their content and relaunch them. Thus signal regeneration, which is essential in long-haul networks, is still unavailable to DWDM.

Balancing this deficiency in very long transmissions is a new wave of all-optical switching elements that are able to add or remove a wavelength channel from a fiber.

These add-drop multiplexers offer a high-speed switching function that could not be duplicated with electronics, and have made metropolitan-area networks into a unique flexible, high-throughput communications medium.

This essentially new form of photonics technology is spawning an industry in optical switching components. "Now people can invent a novel device that relates to communications and it will find its way into products extremely rapidly-less than a year," said Glass. "We are now in a situation of 'invent on demand' where as soon as a problem is perceived, someone immediately comes up with a solution."

This explosive growth poses a formidable challenge to electronics technology. "If you compare the speed of silicon chips versus the capacity of optical fiber communications, fiber optics is going significantly faster than electronics, and where the fiber ends-that becomes a significant bottleneck." Glass is convinced that fiber to the home office and then fiber to the home are just around the corner. "We have a demonstration project going with Bell South where we have wired up a suburban neighborhood with little fiber-optic network units on the side of each house," he said.

Dealing with the high volumes of data that are coming off optical fibers will present a big challenge to electronics. Fortunately, wavelength-division multiplexing eases that task since each wavelength can be processed simultaneously by different circuits. Ultimately, electronics and optics technologies offer complementary abilities: "Optics is ideal for transporting data from point A to point B, but it is weak in the area of logic and switching," Glass pointed out. "That is where we will need electronics."

Copyright c 2000 CMP Media Inc. By Chappell Brown



The world economic summit is less interesting because the big and powerful are less interesting.


The rate of technological has multiplied on itself because computers can work faster and communications are better therefore computers and communications becomes faster and faster. My guess is that optic fiber to the door will make on-air or cable broadcasting uneconomic - video on demand will replace it - the program producers will distribute directly to the consumer - like in MP3 - the video store goes on line -

The move producer - such as Blair Witch could be sold directly - same with any show or news or whatever - so there goes networks - maybe even magazine writers with direct sales -

Wireless systems can get up to 400 kps to a million somehow - http://www.wiredbrain.net/symbian.htm for a lot of applications that is fine - and OS chip technology will make greater use of less and less with less energy and heat - more light and lighter -

code division multiple access (CDMA) technology.

HP is investing $2 million in New Media Venture Partners (NMVP) and will provide up to $15 million in debt financing to help the company fund and incubate e-commerce start-ups. In return, subsidiaries of NMVP will use HP products and services.

If I were a high technology company - in information systems, computers, communications or any part of the 25 % of the economy - and almost all the growth sector - now including networks - broadcasting - publishing - entertainment - music - video - electronics - service - I would have a venture capital connection so I could send people out and find out what is going on.

The battle for the airwaves is not just about broadband but the content - software and services. If you put a few hundred thousand in interesting technologies you gain access to information.

There is almost a certainty that something will come from left field and change all the rules again.

Cable is too slow and greedy.

The telephone companies too slow and bureaucratic. Both have shown a preference for short term gains rather than long term survival. Microsoft is showing the same brain arthritis - inflexible - such as IBM was - GM and other big and rich - missed every important technology - but could buy it after it had been proven. That may or may not be possible. .

http://www.wiredbrain.net/nano.htm


The most common wireless transmission standard, GSM, which stands for Global Systems for Mobile communications, is particularly prevalent in Europe and Asia. According to market research firm Dataquest, nearly 157 million GSM-based mobile phones will be shipped worldwide this year, compared with shipments of about 43 million CDMA cell phones.

But many industry observers say CDMA, strongest in North America, is more efficient and can handle Internet-based transmissions better.


There is also time division and dense systems - I do believe the key is China - the PLA and post telegraph - along with the EU will set the standards.

--

re: ORCL, HP team with Utilities in Consortium to Fiber the Last Mile


http://www.infoworld.com/articles/hn/xml/00/01/24/000124hnutility.xml

"...taking advantage of the deregulated telecom industry, the small, tightly knit consortium will initially offer digital voice, TV, and Web hosting over fiber, under the name SpectraDyne Services. It includes Sierra Pacific Power Company, Hewlett-Packard, Oracle, and TelecommUnity Systems."


http://www.siliconinvestor.com/stocktalk/subject.gsp?subjectid=29127


http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=FBCE+FIBR+JDSU+MRVC+OPTC+OPTX+ORTL+POCI+SCMR&d=t


The following image need to be firmly in mind to understand the AOL/ Time Warner deal - and the frenzy going on in telecommunications and computer industries.

The time frame is about 10 years - the impact comes first in Northern Europe - Singapore - parts of the states - parts of Hong Kong and China - Japan - Taiwan - South East Asia - Australia ( already with system under construction )


http://www.wiredbrain.net/nano.htm


There is optic to the door provided by the utility company. It is a common carrier providing:

TV programs on demand on a big flat screen digital high definition system - programs are recorded and played as you desire, when you desire on any of the screens around the wired house you desire.

There is no need for program schedules - movies and other video content are downloaded on demand from world wide services. Some charge fees some are free with or without ads. You can watch the BBC news or CNN or C-span type programs any time.

There is no need for movie or music channels since you can order anything you want anytime.


The same with music, either rented for a limited number of replays, or purchased and transferred to CD or DVD -

The same with interactive media - games and educational services for the wired " smart" house - When you leave the security system goes on - with complete radar monitoring of any motion with recording of motion, the heat or AC is turned down, when you click from your cell phone that you are returning home - the lights and heat or AC is reset, the music turned on and the doors unsecured.


The cell phone - palm pilot - personal digital assistant works at 400 kbps to 4 Mbs with GPS, e-mail and other web content, fold up or screen keyboards, long life batteries, high gain reception of dense multiplex time division wideband GS3 codes. Europe, with its common GSM standard, will likely usher in "3G" technologies (with their 2 megabit/second data to pockets) years before it happens in the U.S.' fragmented cellular environment. And fast wireless data will surely usher in many new Opportunities. -

http://www.pathfinder.com/fortune/technology/2000/01/24/ega.html).



The home terminal - NEXUM - provides wireless ( bluetooth ) connection to the mobile elements, TV, music, games, information systems with voice commands. You say " Write a note" and dictate as it appears on the big screen. You correct with the portable keyboard that is used for interactive TV.

The master computer works within a network "master server in the sky" to provide services you need or enjoy. Shopping, banking, tele-communities, video conferences, design and research, games and social activities, travel and adventure, and tuned to your interests and desires.

The master server bills for usage in micro pennies for "extras" but charges a flat fee for "basic services". Several master server companies compete for services on the common carrier -


The services are not tied to the wire - optic cable - so there are two bills - one for connection services - the wireless and wired ( optic ) and another from the service company that passes along charges for rentals, fee for service charges, software licenses, communications on and off net, as we do today with local and long distance phone services and premium cable services.

Where is the money made ? Optic fiber hardware - mobile hardware, utility company right-of-way and network services, the "general utility service company" maybe AOL, Microsoft, NOISE group ( Netscape, Oracle, IBM, Sun Microsystems and everyone else ) Amazon, or others which provides the interface between the user and service providers - banks, insurance, finance and markets, shopping, software and music and games and movies and communications, and entertainment, security, smart home management, and on and on...

The super on-line service using optic fiber to the door.


http://www.wiredbrain.net/nexum.htm


Continued on - please let me know about errors ! Some of these pages date back up to 10 years ( 1992 ) and have been through many editors and transfers. News about what's happening and for updates use GlobalVillage Excite NewsSearch -

ppppflaump@cfl.rr.com - http://www.wiredbrain.net/


post.htm VAT initiative.htm

issues.htm

symbian.htm

salestax.htm

educational reform.htm




http://dailynews.yahoo.com/h/nm/20000131/tc/ti_chip_1.html

Broadband frequencies allow high-capacity data transmission.

Broadband Race Is on the Rise in Hong Kong

Last week, the Hong Kong government took another step to open further the telecom market to competition by issuing a total of 17 fixed network licenses (5 licenses for wireless local fixed telecommunications network services (FTNS), and another 12 licenses for external FTNS using satellites).

The licenses will last for 15 years, with an option to extend for another 15 years. In addition, the government has agreed to issue an FTNS license to Hong Kong Cable TV to provide telecom services over its hybrid fiber-coaxial cable networks.

http://www.yankeegroup.com/webfolder/yg21a.nsf/latestnews/Broadband+Race+Is+on+the+Rise+in+Hong+Kong

The battle of the air waves is just not between cable modems ( which don't work very well ) and DSL which has many problems and is priced too high. Optic fiber to the door and new wideband line of sight or some technology using power lines may jump ahead. It's a tough call to invest billions per day.

The dense urban markets, the rural markets, the issues in China and other world markets, all may not have the same solution. Satellite systems have a role, but it seems the analysis is too tightly drawn in the box - there are sure to be out of the box answers. ``Wireless Internet devices will not only capture some existing PC applications but introduce brand new applications that the desk-top PC has no way to handle today,'' Engibous told a Tokyo seminar on the company's strategy. ``I think the availability of a wireless device that is online all the time with broadband data capability...offers the possibility of applications that Silicon Valley'' is just beginning to dream about, he added. With next-generation mobile phone services, users will be able to surf the Web, check and respond to e-mail, conduct videoconferences and use new mobile services such as e-commerce, he said. Next-generation mobile phone services will be offered in Japan beginning in the spring of 2001, and later in other parts of the world.

http://www.fwdconcepts.com/

Broadband in the Local Loop 98: Cable Modem Madness vs. xDSL Dementia

http://www.fwdconcepts.com/brdbnd98.htm New Study Concludes G.lite not enough to overcome advantages and head start of cable modems

http://www.fwdconcepts.com/press13.htm According to the study, cable modems will win the lion's share of the residential broadband market, outnumbering DSL modems 5:1 in North American and 2.6:1 worldwide by the year 2003.

The five-year growth rate for cable modems is forecast to be 93% in North America and 114% in other regions.

The Study concludes that the rollout plans announced by the telcos are unrealistically optimistic, that the services are too high-priced for the mainstream residential market, and face many technical and regulatory hurdles--oft overlooked in the excitement of bringing in a new age of high speed IP-based telecommunications. Forward Concepts also believes that splitterless DSL still has many technical unknowns, and that its suitability as a "universal" service is still open to question. DSL services also jeopardize existing, highly profitable, data communications services, further reducing motivation for rollout by the telcos.

The cable companies, in contrast, see IP-video, IP telephony, Internet access, and remote LAN access as pure incremental upside revenue opportunities, unencumbered by existing services.

Part-time remote consulting:

Advanced technology will affect the way we work, learn, play, trade and shop, and form communities. I would like to work with organizations that want to get ahead of the curve in both the learning and technology game. I have been following technology for many years and really have a good feel and record in forecasting and analysis. I would like to work with other on the NEXUM project and study the effects of http://www.wiredbrain.net/nano.htm and a few other pages I could do remote education and training - project projections - systems analysis or just communicate with a group, motivational manager, thinking out of the box, win-win, future, and other ideas.

What medium will win the lucrative race to provide broadband Internet access ?

ISky, an Englewood, Colo., company that will offer broadband Internet access across North America via satellite, http://www.techweb.com/wire/story/TWB20000118S0016

ISky, the first to provide both upstream and downstream Internet connectivity, will blanket the country, giving broadband Internet access to anyone with its satellite dish and a view of the southern sky the ability to hook up, similar to the way some television programming is available via satellite today.

Then are AOL and Time Warner crazy in putting their money on cable. I clearly believe that wireless and optic fiber will by pass cable with increased satellite capacity. For awhile - maybe 10 years there will be DSL - copper wires, cable and some wireless - but the nano age and optic capacities will jump to wireless - also as I keep saying it's CHINA, stupid - What is going on between the European Union, Eastern Europe and the rest of the world does matter.

They don't have wires in much of the world - they do have power lines

Maybe MicroSoft - Gates will pull of a wireless revolution with levels of service and prices to blow the others away.

The phone company could have gone DSL in the 1960's, the Cable companies could have gone two way digital in the 70's or 80's or hybrid in the 90's how long is too long before someone rushes past you ? Plus I hate wired that belong to someone - it's anti- competitive.

Also some new technology may come along to change all the rules



http://www.zdnet.com/intweek/stories/news/0,4164,2270684.html


"Nortel has used its technology, called Digital PowerLine (DPL), successfully in European and Asian markets. Currently, the company has agreements with 10 non-U.S. utilities that serve 35 million homes, says Dan Middleton, director of carrier packet solutions at Nortel's power line networks division.

If physicist Luke Stewart can do what he says he can send voice, video, and data thousands of miles over electric lines at the speed of light he will produce perhaps the most significant development in communications since Alexander Graham Bell.

That could take the company he cofounded in North Dallas, Media Fusion L.L.C., to heights greater than Microsoft in both earnings and market value.

I do think that nano quantum computers - optic and laser [acronym for light amplification by stimulated emission of radiation], device for the creation and amplification of a narrow, intense beam of coherent LIGHT. connected to wideband wireless will be the most important events of our time - having more importance than the silly political debates, because economics come from the structure of industry and enterprise - clearly the railroads, automobiles, radio, TV, computers and the internet are the drivers of our history - culture - social being - and therefore our economy and political system.

The new world order is not an idea or ideology but of commerce based on transportation and communications. Bill Gates, Edison, Ford, are the great forgers of our times -

http://mediafusioncorp.net/

 http://www.wiredbrain.net/NEXUM.htm

http://www.wiredbrain.net/nano.htm

http://www.wiredbrain.net/symbian.htm


High Speed Internet by Soliton



http://www.wiredbrain.net/dwdm.htm

http://www.techweb.com/voices/harrow/1999/0614harrow.htmlsuggestions

Danexecpc wrote:

> Have you readFeb 2000 PCWORLD magazine yet?You should pick it up and > read the article about broadband services."You're likely to see the same > horrible customer service [the cable companies] provide their TV customers." > Jeffrey Chester, ex dir, Center for Media Education > > Dan Conine >

http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/000111/ny_twst_in_1.html building and upgrading the infrastructure -- not only in the U.S., but around the world -- to support higher speed applications for Internet access, video and voice services in the ''last mile/kilometer`` of communications networks.

The reference to the Battle of the Airwaves was to a Burns PBS show and http://www.wiredbrain.net/Disintermediation.htm

The analogy to the non-pc NEXUM and the broadband that makes it possible via cable - wireless - optic fiber systems is quite close. http://www.wiredbrain.net/nexum.htm comments on http://www.wiredbrain.net/webmaster.htm

The historic process of new technology had three stages - invention, roll out and hobby for specialist, and mass market with full infrastructure.

The Internet was around for 30 years for specialist. Netscape made it a hobby and IT jumped into the mass market before the infrastructure was it place.

Gates felt, in 1997 that the Internet could not work without bandwidth - In a way he was right - IT has gotten ahead of itself. Now it need to catch up but with huge ( more than a billion dollars a day ) investment in infrastructure.

In the past a few mega firms or monopolies provided the standards and control to build a rational infrastructure -

The railroad barons prevented lines of different gages going nowhere - Standard Oil did the same for pipelines, the Road Lobby created the structures for cars, RCA for radio and Ma Bell for phones, Edison Electric for power and light, General Motors, and then IBM and MS "rationalized" the market.


The IT Internet infrastructure lacks common standards - Cable modems were delayed for years - HDVT, even the 56 BPS modem was delayed - then DVD - now Code Division or Time Division multiplex wireless standards - GS3 satellite technology changes before you can get the birds in the air, optic fiber DSL ( ADM ) and on and on.

So Bill and MS will have to do for communications what they did for the PC or Cisco ( Intel ) or World Com , AOL / Warner someone will.

They could raise the billions to put optic fiber on the doorstep - with wireless and Direct TV for remote areas - voice ( tele-phone ) video ( tele-vision ) Internet interactive TV ( Web-TV ) and cable - Optic fiber is the holy grail and exists in parts of Europe and Singapore - coming fast in Japan - but requires a new massive system of nodes, storage and flash memory, switches, and wisdom.

Remember it's not the best and the brightest but the most aggressive and toughest that win. Apple is a better computer - None of the dominant firms have ever been accused of being on the cutting edge ( Maybe Bell Labs - a few areas of IBM ) but they controlled the standards and the market.

What is GS3 ( Global System 3 )for MS that Bill is going to do 100 % of the time ? - first there was the mainframe and IBM - then the PC and MS - now the nexum - with MS-2 a marketing and communications empire??

The keys are both the hand held portable GMS and the home appliance - the universal communications device that runs as a terminal - software ( by MS ) and OS by MS - to provide operations on a rental or fixed fee for service system - It owns the pipe - it owns the birds - it owns the OS - but provides content and services for all ( Bill's idea of open systems ) This is where AOL should have been going rather than content which is begging for distribution. Content must have eyeballs - but the owner of the pipe and OS is KING !

In 1997 LMDS Local Multipoint Distribution Service -- has become the Manhattan Project of the telecommunications industry.

http://www.zdnet.com/intweek/print/970908/inwk0002.html But then what happened - several companies pay top dollar fourthe new 28-gigahertz broadband connection - several went bankrupt NOW http://www4.zdnet.com:80/intweek/stories/news/0,4164,2419875,00.html McCaw and Bill still think with Teledesic, ICO Global, Nextel Nextlink etc. and create a last mile system build on optic fiber with a wireless last mile - Time division hardware is out there -

I should mention the NEXUM ( http://www.wiredbrain.net/nexum.htm )

The idea is simple but the roll out complex because of billions in hardware. A high capacity satellite link to optic fiber - to wireless for the last mile - data ( high speed internet and VPN ) video and telephone i.e. voice

Why isn't AOL in this kind of deal rather than Warner and cable ? McCaw knows cable and believes it will be by passed ? This is the battle of the century - the new war of the AirWaves - (

The last was between Armstrong and RCA - Sarnoff about Radio and FM )

A superheterodyne circuit developed by U.S. Army Signal Corps major Edwin Howard Armstrong, 26, became the basic design for all amplitude modulation (AM) radios. It greatly increases the selectivity and sensitivity of radio receivers over a wide band offrequencies (see 1906; FM, 1933). Radio Corp. of America (RCA) was founded by Owen D. Young (see 1919) who loans Ernst Alexanderson to RCA which will employ him as chief engineer for 5 years (see 1906). RCA acquired the Victor Co. and become aradio-phonograph colossus but anti-trust court actions will separate RCA from GE (see VICTROLA, 1906; NBC, 1926). David Sarnoff urges marketing of a simple "radio music box."

The American Marconi Co. says his plan will make the radio "a ‘householdutility’ in the same sense as the piano or phonograph" (see 1912; 1920).

In order to sell the system - the NEXUM a universal communications device which works on line all the time - dial tone connections - with video and hot internet you first go after the corporate market - CONCENTRIC with optic fiber, T1 and DSL lines then the small business user and set up a big private network.

Then you roll out the same high speed service for domestic users in some markets -

I am looking into it - thanks - the AOL Warner raises issuers of cable access. Someone must know something so that cable can be used on a wide scale - AOL knows all too well that the future of low speed mass market for their service is very limited. Ibelieve in wireless - optic broadband doing the last mile via some kind of microwave radar -

The issue is China -

The PLA and post telegraph have hundred of millions of new users and can't string wires -but can run a optic fiber backbone with radio towersCDM code or time division multiplex - either only needs a little push to get there. What about Direct TV downlink and DSL up - these are the BIG issues. Who controls the rules and protocols controls a lot.

IN BROADBAND WARS, WILL DSL SERIOUSLY CHALLENGE CABLE?

Wireless - see below -

By Peter Jerram Red Herring Online September 23, 1998 http://www.redherring.com/insider/1998/0923/coppercable.html


The rise of the Internet has fueled a tremendous demand for faster access by both business users and consumers.

On the home front, Internet users are maxing out on 56K modems, with many poking along at half that speed, or less. Businesses have access to higher speed leased lines, but pay steep tariffs to telcos for the privilege. Many feel the constrained bandwidth is stunting the development of Internet content and applications.

"Once we enable high speed, we'll enable all kinds of new applications, and no one really knows where that's going to take us," says Lisa Pelgrim, senior analyst with Dataquest in San Jose.

But where it's taking us is a question that's ahead of itself; where we are right now in terms of competing broadband opportunities is still at issue.

Worth the wait?

Several companies, led by @Home (ATHM) and Time Warner's (TWX) Road Runner, are touting Internet access services using the television cables already installed in a majority of American homes. By using this existing infrastructure, fast, cheap Internet access could be available to millions of homes.

After two years of trials, however, cable deployment is spotty, with fewer than 400,000 subscribers in the U.S. and Canada. In the headlong rush of the computer industry, progress has seemed glacial at best.

"People I talk to in Silicon Valley don't believe [cable] exists because if it did it would be there first," says Michael Harris, an analyst with TeleChoice in Phoenix.

Deployment was delayed in part as cable operators waited for modem standards, and for the price of modems, to fall to a retail price of under $300. Operators also underestimated the infrastructure challenges in rolling out Internet access.

"

They got into the field and realized it was going to be a little harder than they thought," says Harris.

Going two-way

Industry leader TCI (TCOMA) feeds about 20 million homes, but only about 1.2 million of those are now two-way capable, according to TeleChoice. Despite the condition of TCI's network, AT&T (T) paid $28 billion for TCI to get at it. "AT&T purchased infrastructure," says Ms. Pelgrim.

With interoperable modem standards finally in place and prices dropping into the consumer comfort zone, TCI and other cable operators are now on the cusp of large-scale deployment -- a central proviso of AT&T's acquisition.

"

The entire merger was predicated on pervasive deployment of cable-modem technology," says Henry T. Nicholas, chairman and CEO of broadband chipmaker Broadcom (BRCM). "AT&T paid a premium with the understanding that two way upgrading was underway."

Mr. Nicholas says that TCI will have its network 50 percent two-way enabled by next year, and he should know. In a recent announcement, Broadcom revealed that it has integrated all of the cable-modem media access control (MAC) and physical layer transmission functionality into a single chip instead of three.


The company said this will mean that next-generation cable modems will be smaller and cost less for consumers while being able to deliver data, digital video, telephony, and Internet access at speeds up to 56 megabits per second, or 1,000 times faster than standard 56k voice-band modems.

Moreover, Broadcom's new chip has the circuitry for phone connections through TV cable, which would allow cable companies to offer Internet access at rates more competitive with phone companies. According to

The Wall Street Journal, the new chips are expected to cost around $50 each in small allotments --- about the same as the current three-chip set -- but maybe half that or less in large orders.

This announcement may just give cable the nudge, and even the market validation, needed for cable to become the more adopted broadband standard.

Will the telcos ever get it?

Meanwhile, the telcos are pinning their hopes on digital subscriber lines (DSL), a means of delivering high bandwidth digital signals over ordinary copper phone lines.

In the past several months, most of the regional Bell operating companies (RBOCs) have announced DSL service. "

The pressure is on the phone companies to keep up [with cable]," says Mr. Harris.

Telcos are focusing mainly on small and medium-sized businesses, although most carriers also offer plans for residential customers. DSL speeds range from 128K to 8 Mbps.

The high end of that range places DSL squarely in the realm of traditional leased lines, which are far more costly.

The telcos are offering a flavor of the technology called asymmetric DSL, which employs higher bandwidth for receiving than for sending information.

Early indications are that the carriers will run into some of the same infrastructure issues that have plagued cable operators. DSL service is only available to customers within about three miles of a telco central office, which eliminates more than half of otherwise eligible customers.

Telcos are also finding that the condition of local loop wiring limits its ability to carry high speed data reliably. Ubiquitous DSL coverage may require reworking the copper wire infrastructure, an undertaking that was not in the plan.

"Telcos are in a catch-22 -- do they really want to reconfigure their plant for DSL, or do they do something else like fiber to the curb?" say Mr. Harris.

Many in the industry have found themselves up against the fabled telco bureaucracy as well.

"

The RBOCs have moved slower than we would have liked, it's been refreshing to work with the cable companies by comparison," says Heidi Clark, chairman and CEO of broadband equipment supplier Cayman.

Several analysts also questioned whether the telcos would seriously consider cannibalizing their profitable leased-line businesses. Competitive local exchange carriers (CLECs), which lease lines from the RBOCs, do not have such a conflict, and several, including Covad Communications, are offering DSL service to Internet service providers. However, since the CLECs depend on RBOCs for copper wire, their fortunes are tied to the telcos.

Disagreeing to agree


There is no reason for this to be vapor hardware -


There is a lot of smart money and IBM as a OEM -

The press seems to have rushed to print before they think -

The long road to the post MS - Intel cartel has another crack - Remember the NOISE group - Netscape - Oracle - IBM - Sun - and everyone else -who have been after the crown jewels for years - software that will run without a propertatary OS - called Java,  RISC and now called LinusTorvalds.

Transmeta showed two chips, both of which the  company claims consume just a single watt of power.

The TM3120, available now, is designed for $500 to $999 Linux-based "Web pads" and is fully x86 compatible. Its price ranges from $65 for a 333 MHz version to $89 for a 400 MHz version.


The hero of Daniel Defoe's novel Robinson Crusoe of 1719, a shipwrecked English sailor who, by virtue of his own ingenuity, survives for years on a small tropical island.

A light low power programmable OS ? This is a portable network - phone - web device - PDA - NEXUM ( http://www.wiredbrain.net/nexum.htm ) and the 3/4 of the world that don't have modern communications ? CHINA baby - a billion people connected by SYMBIAN ( http://www.wiredbrain.net/symbian.htm ) time division codes - wireless broadband - how about military uses - can't alway find a plug on the battle field - light enough to use solar power ?

When he unveiled the TM3120, Mr. Ditzel said it will run a "new class of computers," and he held up a mobile computing device that was nearly as large as a  notebook computer, but its entire face was a touch screen. When he tapped the screen, a virtual keyboard appeared on it, and, thanks to a built-in wireless connection, he was on the Internet.

http://www.redherring.com/insider/2000/0120/news-transmeta.html

http://www.zdnet.com/anchordesk/story/story_4372.html

How about a break up of the Intel MS cartel -

The TM5400 is aimed at Windows-based notebooks selling for $1,200 to $2,500.

The chip is in the sampling stage now and is expected to be available by

the middle of the year.

The x86-compatible microprocessor will be priced at $119 for the 500 MHz version and $329 for the 700 MHz. Mr. Ditzel said that the two new processors are the first microprocessors whose instruction set is implemented entirely with software. Analysts said they were unaware of any other chipmakers using a similar approach. It would take about two years -- and some reverse engineering of Transmeta's chips -- for a major chipmaker to get to market with a similar offering, Mr. Enderle says.

It is the software approach that makes Transmeta's chips easier to design, Mr. Ditzel says. Because they're simpler, they generate less heat than normal microprocessors, he adds.

As was first reported by Redherring.com, the Transmeta chip combines "code morphing" software with a Very Long Instruction Word (VLIW) processor. Mr. Ditzel said that three-quarters of the

chip's capabilities comes from the code-morphing software, including its x86 compatibility and its PC-like performance. Another Transmeta official said the software means a notebook computer can run for one full day on a single battery.

The VLIW technology means the chip uses significantly fewer transistors than chips with similar speeds, making them easier to design and produce.

Transmeta is partnering with IBM for manufacturing. It has an entire design team in IBM's Essex Junction, Vermont, facility.

Mr. Ditzel noted that Crusoe was a platform, and he said that means that Transmeta has "all of the technology pieces to allow computer manufacturers to bring complete products to market." To date, it has raised "in the hundreds of millions of dollars," he says.

The first VC round was led by Institutional Venture Partners and the Walden Group (where Mr. Tai was a partner back in 1995); the second round was led by Integral Capital Partners, the third by Paul Allen's Vulcan Ventures, and the fourth by billionaire investor George Soros's funds.

Despite the hurdles, DSL appears to have stirred up considerable interest in the computer industry.

In June, networking-equipment vendors Cisco (CSCO), Ascend (ASND) and Cabletron (CS) all acquired or invested in DSL technology suppliers. And a consortium of companies called UAWG, which includes Microsoft (MSFT), Compaq (CPQ), and Intel (INTC), is working on a set of DSL standards that will make it easier to install DSL, and will require less hardware.

However, without a current agreement by all of the RBOCs on a common flavor of DSL, and given the recent consensus of the computer industry on modem standards, DSL may even fall further behind cable at this point.

"

There is no widespread agreement among the telcos," says Mr. Nicholas, "

They're trying, but it's fractious and contentious."

Still, if the telco industry is able to reach consensus quickly, DSL may make inroads as the cable operators spend time building out their own networks.

"Cable has a head start, but is nowhere near ubiquitous," says Ken Hoexter, a vice president at Goldman Sachs. "

There's room for multiple ways of reaching the end user."

Microsoft is one heavyweight in particular which is characteristically mindful of those opportunities. As the cable and telco players decamp to their respective corners, Microsoft is hedging its bets as a DSL booster -- who also happens to have a $1 billion investment in cable operator Comcast (CMCSA).

END

http://www.techweb.com/se/directlink.cgi?DAT19990921S0013

Ever wondered how some gas stations can authenticate your credit card so quickly? ( At the pump ) A satellite connection eliminates a traditional dial-up modem connection. In this instance, ground stations at many hundreds of gas stations can share the same slice of expensive satellite spectrum using a TDMA (time-division multiple access) approach. Since the duty cycle for any one station is very low, this approach is extremely efficient.

The net result is that rather than paying five cents to complete the transaction with a long-distancecall, the company only pays a few pennies to do so via satellite. And in a busy gas station, the resulting savings can pay for the $3,000 satellite terminal in just 18 months

Well your local ISP which has a wireless link to your home or office and the uplink can provide high bandwidth today - at a lower cost to the ISPthan traditional T1 T3 lines


The question becomes the last mile / Km for consumers but not for business - and there are thousands of chains - Did anyone say McDonnell's -Grocery stores - drug stores - Dept. stores - Doctors and hospitals and insurance -travel agents - banks - ATM's - brokers - all cut the wire and clear transactions in real time from their terminals or cash registers or cell phones anywhere and can do inventory and B2B in real time? once it reaches critical mass the price goes down and the speed and bandwidth goes up - maybe even faster then in computing - 1/2 the price and twice the capacity every 18 months.

Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (Bentonville, Ark.) uses VSATs to link hundreds oftheir facilities together. Paging networks use VSATs to send paging messages to transmitters. Nationwide newspaper companies use satellites to send contents to multiple printing locations. Why? Because the same message is sent out to multiple transmitters for time-synchronized transmission.

ISky, the first to provide both upstream and downstream Internet connectivity, will blanket the country, giving broadband Internet access to anyonewith its satellite dish and a view of the southern sky the ability to hook (look) up, similar to the way some television programming is available via satellite today. It does matter http://www.wiredbrain.net/nexum.htm tells all three monkeys - one with a BIG mouth, one with its hands to his ears, and one with radar eyes

Technology Access Report, November/December 1999

Patent Office Hands Livermore Lab and Inventor McEwan Vindication, but Time Domain?s Political and PR Campaign Hangs On By Michael Odza Time Domain Corp. just won't quit.

The feisty company has hired PR firms and Washington lawyers and lobbyists (but couldn't afford to sue); it convinced the minority staff of the U.S. House Science Committee and some major media to air its attempt to take over competitive patents issued to Lawrence Livermore Very interesting - more smoke and mirrors - I think I know some of the people involved in the low power radar -security systems - MIR communications business - includes Wayne Huizenga http://www.opengroup.com/tabooks/047/0471122696.shtml and they talk of a license for the low power radar and a 10,000 MHZ chip from aero-space McDonnell Douglas CRUSE terrain following system.

The idea is the super wireless modem I have been looking for PLUS a number of practical application in security systems -

 It sees all - knows all - tells all three monkeys - one with a BIG mouth, one with its hands to his ears, and one with radar eyes

ANY IDEAS

What is GS3 ( Global System 3 ) for MS that Bill is going to do 100 % of the time ? - first there was the mainframe and IBM - then the PC and MS - now the nexum - with MS-2 a marketing and communications empire??

The keys are both the hand held portable GMS and the home appliance - the universal communications device that runs as a terminal - software ( by MS ) and OS by MS - to provide operations on a rental or fixed fee for service system - It owns the pipe - it owns the birds - it owns the OS - but provides content and services for all ( Bill's idea of open systems ) This is where AOL should have been going rather than content which is begging for distribution. Content must have eyeballs - but the owner of the pipe and OS is KING !

In 1997 LMDS Local Multipoint Distribution Service -- has become the Manhattan Project of the telecommunications industry.

http://www.zdnet.com/intweek/print/970908/inwk0002.html But hen what happened - several companies pay top dollar for the new 28-gigahertz broadband connection - several went bankrupt NOW http://www4.zdnet.com:80/intweek/stories/news/0,4164,2419875,00.html McCaw and Bill still think with Teledesic, ICO Global, Nextel Nextlink etc. and create a last mile system build on optic fiber with a wireless last mile - Time division hardware is out there -

I should mention the NEXUM ( http://www.wiredbrain.net/nexum.htm )

The idea is simple but the roll out complex because of billions in hardware. A high capacity satellite link to optic fiber - to wireless for the last mile - data ( high speed internet and VPN ) video and telephone i.e. voice Why isn't AOL in this kind of deal rather than Warner and cable ? McCaw knows cable and believes it will be by passed ? This is the battle of the century - the new war of the AirWaves - (

The last was between Armstrong and RCA - Sarnoff about Radio and FM )

In order to sell the system - the NEXUM a universal communications device which works on line all the time - dial tone connections - with video and hot internet you first go after the corporate market - CONCENTRIC with optic fiber, T1 and DSL lines then the small business user and set up a big private network.

Then you roll out the same high speed service for domestic users in some markets -

I am looking into it - thanks - the AOL Warner raises issuers of cable access. Someone must know something so that cable can be used on a wide scale - AOL knows all too well that the future of low speed mass market for their service is very limited. I believe in wireless -

optic broadband doing the last mile via some kind of microwave radar -


The issue is China -

The PLA and post telegraph have hundred of millions of new users and can't string wires - but can run a optic fiber backbone with radio towers CDM code or time division multiplex - either only needs a little push to get there. What about Direct TV downlink and DSL up - these are the BIG issues. Who controls the rules and protocols controls a lot.

Shane Bell wrote:

> I noticed that you are involved with Cable Modem technology. > > Vicomsoft have an informative document about Cable Modems which is interesting to both novice and advanced users at > > http://www.vicomsoft.com/knowledge/reference/cable.modems.html > > I just thought you might like to put a link to it from your site.

The document is neutral from the point of view of vendors or service providers, but it does answer a lot of questions frequently asked by Cable Modem users.

Digital Wireless Announces Wireless

Started years ago with http://www.wiredbrain.net/documents/logos/fallow01.txt

Last Mile Solution for Internet Services

http://www.digital-wireless.com/pr-ssurfnet.htm

http://nscp.snap.com/directory/category/0,16,nscp-63580,00.html?tag=st.sn.sr.1.bct.dr

It can only get cheaper and faster - and in Eastern Europe and China they pay for time on local calls and can't get extra phone lines -

Now if this works it's a real powerhouse:

From http://www.prgguide.com/cgi-bin/prg/welcome.cgi

High-frequency wireless services, developed by the telecom industry and being moved forward by FCC rule making, are beginning to look like a viable option to distribute broadband services. Using a network design similar to cellular, LMDS promises to become the single service vehicle able to cost effectively deliver telephony, video, Internet access


The companies in the business:

  • Alcatel USA
  • Ensemble Communications, Inc.
  • Lucent Technologies/Netro
  • Newbridge Networks
  • Nortel Networks
  • SpectraPoint Wireless
  • Triton Network Systems, Inc.
I think the list is getting cleaner - I pick up some people who don't exist and / or don't want synergy news - I will keep working at it From http://www.prgguide.com/cgi-bin/prg/welcome.cgi

High-frequency wireless services, developed by the telecom industry and being moved forward by FCC rulemaking, are beginning to look like a viable option to distribute broadband services. Using a network design similar to cellular, LMDS promises to become the single service vehicle able to cost-effectively deliver telephony, video, Internet access


The companies in the business:

  • Alcatel USA
  • Ensemble Communications, Inc.
  • Lucent Technologies/Netro
  • Newbridge Networks
  • Nortel Networks
  • SpectraPoint Wireless
  • Triton Network Systems, Inc.
http://209.213.12.218/cgi/Search.local.cgi?keywords=LMDS+MMDS&sort=&page=&topic=&type=&search_by=complete&month=0&year=0&view_options=ABCDEF

Small and medium businesses and many households are clamoring for more bandwidth. Demand for high-speed Internet and data networks is growing exponentially, but only a few privileged large corporations have fiber access. Around the world, telecom markets are liberalizing, with new competitors and incumbents positioning themselves to meet the demands of the new millennium.

LMDS and other broadband fixed wireless technologies are proving to be a viable solution. LMDS and related technologies offer broadband speeds with a quick time to market, an attractive capital structure, and no need to dig up streets. In addition, they support multiple applications, delivering voice, video, and high-speed data - a major benefit given the current trends toward convergence of data and voice networks and the growing popularity of bundled services.

October 26, 1999 New Alliance Will Promote Wireless Access to Internet

By DAVID BARBOZA

group of leading technology companies said Monday that they would form an alliance to create products that would allow consumers to get high-speed Internet access through a wireless system within the next year.


The consortium -- which is led by Cisco Systems Inc., the giant Internet networking company, and Motorola Inc., the maker of wireless telephone products -- is essentially backing an alternative to delivering broadband Internet access through underground cables and wires.


The race to bring broadband Internet access to consumers has led to several alliances that promise to deliver that kind of service through satellites, cellular telephone networks and standard cable and telephone lines. Now, the group headed by Cisco and Motorola is trying to provide a cheaper and more effective solution to digging up the ground and laying cables:

They want to deliver data, voice and video services over the airwaves and directly into buildings and homes that are affixed with antennas or the equivalent of a satellite dish.

"This is the technology that is going to take the fixed broadband wireless market into the next millennium," said Steve Smith, director of marketing in the broadband wireless business unit at Cisco Systems, which is based in San Jose, Calif. "This gets consumers Internet access without tearing up the ground."

Officials at Cisco Systems said Monday that a group of 10 companies -- Motorola, Texas Instruments, Broadcom, Bechtel Telecommunications, Samsung, Toshiba, LCC International, EDS, KPMG Consulting and Pace Microtechnology -- had agreed to create and develop products that use a Cisco technology, one that is equipped to deliver Internet service over a radio frequency called MMDS.

Aware that the AT&T Corp. was moving into cable television and developing a system capable of delivering high-speed Internet access through its cable services, MCI Worldcom and Sprint have spent about $1 billion in the last few years to buy many of the companies that owned the licenses to the MMDS radio spectrum. Three weeks ago, MCI Worldcom agreed to acquire Sprint in a $115 billion merger.

If the technology is successful, it appears that Internet service providers will be able to choose among cable operators, wireless service providers and perhaps even satellite operators like Teledesic LLC, which is developing a kind of "Internet in the Sky" technology, a multibillion-dollar plan backed by the cellular telephone pioneer Craig McCaw and William H. Gates of Microsoft.

Cisco Systems and Motorola are also backing something called LMDS, which is another radio frequency that offers broadband access, mostly to businesses. According to Cisco officials, however, the MMDS system is more effective in crowded urban areas and is more easily available to everyday consumers and the mass market.

Robert Edwards, a spokesman at Motorola, which is based in Schaumburg, Ill., said Monday that the company was backing both the LMDS and MMDS technologies and working to develop a large portfolio of offerings so that big technology companies and consumers could have a wide range of alternatives to getting broadband access.


The companies involved in the agreement Monday said that the ability to deliver high-speed broadband access through a wireless system would also rapidly accelerate the introduction of broadband services to rural areas and urban centers, and do so more easily and inexpensively.

Copyright 1999

The New York Times Company

Robert Edwards, a spokesman at Motorola, which is based in Schaumburg, Ill., said Monday that the company was backing both the LMDS and MMDS technologies and working to develop a large portfolio of offerings so that big technology companies and consumers could have a wide range of alternatives to getting broadband access.


The companies involved in the agreement Monday said that the ability to deliver high-speed broadband access through a wireless system would also rapidly accelerate the introduction of broadband services to rural areas and urban centers, and do so more easily and inexpensively. Copyright 1999

The New York Times Company
http://209.213.12.218/cgi/Search.local.cgi?keywords=LMDS+MMDS&sort=&page=&topic=&type=&search_by=complete&month=0&year=0&view_options=ABCDEF

Small and medium businesses and many households are clamoring for more bandwidth. Demand for high-speed Internet and data networks is growing exponentially, but only a few privileged large corporations have fiber access. Around the world, telecom markets are liberalizing, with new competitors and incumbents positioning themselves to meet the demands of the new millennium.

LMDS and other broadband fixed wireless technologies are proving to be a viable solution. LMDS and related technologies offer broadband speeds with a quick time to market, an attractive capital structure, and no need to dig up streets. In addition, they support multiple applications, delivering voice, video, and high-speed data - a major benefit given the current trends toward convergence of data and voice networks and the growing popularity of bundled services.

This comprehensive study includes:

Assessments of market environments: licensing, regulation, and competition Analysis of market opportunities, including profiles of ideal markets, supply and demand factors, advantages of LMDS, hurdles to widespread deployment and the economics of build-out Current LMDS, MMDS, and broadband WLL trials and deployments Demand forecasts, including regional and top country trends, business and residential demand, and projected service revenues Equipment overviews, vendor profiles and forecasts of end-user equipment sales revenues


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