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Have you ever been frustrated
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Then try GuruNet-- just
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out of your document or interrupting your train of thought.
Chappell Brown
Bell Labs is
known for revolutions.
In 1947 it was
the transistor. Today it is photonics. Called the second silicon revolution,
optical fiber systems are in an explosive state of development, reminiscent
of the earlier days of the electronics industry.
Over the past
two decades, since fiber-optic communications first began to appear, the
carrying capacity of fiber has increased at a faster rate than Moore's
law. Now the wavelength-division multiplexing revolution has accelerated
that capacity even more, while introducing the flexibility of wavelength-based
routing. Forged from an interdisciplinary mix of semiconductor diode lasers,
micromachine technology and fundamental advances in optical glass technology,
terahertz networking has arrived well ahead of schedule.
It's a major
revolution riding on a broad-based industry serving the fundamental human
need to communicate.
"A length of
fiber long enough to circle the globe three times is produced every day,
and if you extrapolate current trends to 2010, every one of the 6 billion
people on earth will have a bandwidth capability equivalent to high-definition
television," said Alistair Glass, director of photonics research and development
at Lucent Technologies Bell Laboratories. Arriving at Bell Labs in 1967,
Glass' career spans the development and implementation of fiber-optic communications
systems.
Major breakthrough
"When I arrived,
the major breakthrough was the first continuously operating laser, and
it didn't run for very long-only a few minutes," Glass recalled.
"This was the
time of the early hero experiments and the demands kept increasing and
increasing on these devices. There was always that pressure, but the interest
in the marketplace represented a dramatic change."
There was always
a strong demand to increase the performance of any device.
At first the
research arm of AT&T, Bell Labs enjoyed a special status after its
founding in the 1920s. Because of the monopoly granted AT&T by the
government, in the interests of standardizing the telephone system, the
lab could both be part of a commercial operation and play the open role
of a national laboratory.
"At that time,
there was not much connectivity with business- it was very much intellectually
driven. We wanted to be leaders in all the fields relevant to communications,"
Glass said. But in the early 1980s two developments dramatically accelerated
photonics research: commercial long-haul fiber-optic systems began to be
installed commercially, and AT&T's monopoly was dissolved by the government,
with parts of Bell Labs spun off into other companies as part of a complex
divestiture of the telecommunications giant. "We were suddenly handed the
mandate to develop commercial products out of our research efforts," he
said.
The lab responded
with a broad attack on optical communications systems. Innovations in the
basic fiber, laser diodes to power them, and integrated optoelectronic
components to interface with electronic data systems followed. "Since then,
particularly with the founding of Lucent Technologies, optics has been
accelerating at an incredible rate," Glass said.
For transporting
data over long distances, fiber systems proved to be irresistible. Large
bundles of copper wire could be replaced by slender silicon fibers in a
process of "demassification" usually associated with the electronics industry.
While the debate continues over whether optical interconnect is a viable
alternative to electrical wiring inside of computers, the issue has been
definitively resolved for long-distance communications. But optical interconnect
inside the box may eventually succumb to a long-term trend. Recent developments
in metropolitan-area networks suggest that fiber optics is riding a scaling
law similar to the shrinking VLSI circuit, and the scaling rate appears
to be steeper.
The rapid deployment
of fiber optics received an even bigger jolt with a repeat of the '80s
scenario in the 1990s. Bell Labs was again transferred in 1996 to another
entity-Lucent Technologies-and made the centerpiece of a startup with considerable
economic resources. Also brewing in photonics labs was a revolutionary
technology called dense wavelength-division multiplexing (DWDM), which
has allowed the carrying capacity of optical fiber to ramp up at an astonishing
rate. "In the mid-90s it became a fever. We went from eight to 16 to 32
wavelengths on a single fiber and our latest products use 400. Now we have
just demonstrated 1,000 wavelengths," Glass noted.
Dense wavelength division multiplexing
(DWDM) is a technology that puts data from different sources together on
an optical fiber, with each signal carried on its own separate light wavelength.
Using DWDM, up to 80 (and theoretically more) separate wavelengths or channels
of data can be multiplexed into a lightstream transmitted on a single optical
fiber. In a system with each channel carrying 2.5 Gbps (billion bits per
second), up to 200 billion bits can be delivered a second by the optical
fiber. DWDM is also sometimes called wave division multiplexing (WDM).
Since each channel is demultiplexed
at the end of the transmission back into the original source, different
data formats being transmitted at different data rates can be transmitted
together. Specifically, Internet (IP) data, SONET data, and ATM data can
all be travelling at the same time within the optical fiber.
DWDM promises to solve the
"fiber exhaust" problem and is expected to be the central technology in
the all-optical networks of the future. DWDM replaces time-division multiplexing
(TDM) as the most effective optical transmission method. Although TDM is
the primary approach in today's networks, DWDM systems are expected to
be tested and deployed in late 1998 and 1999. http://www.wiredbrain.net/dwdm.htm
Selected Links
Web ProForum
hosts a tutorial on DWDM from Lucent Technologies. Lucent Technologies
offers its WaveStar OLS 400G, a system that provides up to 400 Gbps over
a single fiber and, in its maximum eight-fiber configuration, can transmit
3.2 trillion bits per second.
DWDM uses individual
segments of the optical spectrum to multiplex signals on a fiber. The idea
is recent, considered at first to be a laboratory curiosity since practical
systems were already multiplexing channels with a time-division technique.
Such synchronous optical networks (Sonet) had been able to extend the capacity
of optical fiber and were a welcome development.
The wavelength-division
multiplexing route has turned out to have far more potential: Bell Labs
researchers recently demonstrated a DWDM transmission system capable of
sending a terabit of data per second down a fiber. "That represents the
entire world's Internet on a single glass fiber," Glass said.
The DWDM revolution
has been extremely swift. When Lucent Technologies was established, DWDM
was still at the laboratory demonstration stage. While the idea is simple,
turning it into practical optical communications systems required a multifaceted
development. Multiple-wavelength laser-diode systems and new types of fiber
able to carry the multiple wavelength signals without crosstalk had to
be developed. And some means of collectively amplifying multiwavelength
signals had to be invented. While those problems were effectively solved
in a short time, it wasn't easy. Indeed, one outstanding problem has never
been solved: how to regenerate multiple wavelength signals.
Large areas
One consequence
of that missing solution is the fact that DWDM can only be implemented
on campus-wide or metropolitan areas. By doping fiber with the rare-earth
element erbium, it is possible to build a simple light amplifier that is
essentially a laser. When a multiple wavelength signal is passed through
an erbium fiber loop and optically pumped, it emerges unchanged except
that it is at a higher energy level. One nice aspect of this operation
is that the actual content of the wavelength channels is irrelevant to
the amplification process. Unfortunately, to recondition optical signals,
it becomes necessary to decode their content and relaunch them. Thus signal
regeneration, which is essential in long-haul networks, is still unavailable
to DWDM.
Balancing this
deficiency in very long transmissions is a new wave of all-optical switching
elements that are able to add or remove a wavelength channel from a fiber.
These add-drop multiplexers offer a high-speed switching function that
could not be duplicated with electronics, and have made metropolitan-area
networks into a unique flexible, high-throughput communications medium.
This essentially
new form of photonics technology is spawning an industry in optical switching
components. "Now people can invent a novel device that relates to communications
and it will find its way into products extremely rapidly-less than a year,"
said Glass. "We are now in a situation of 'invent on demand' where as soon
as a problem is perceived, someone immediately comes up with a solution."
Finisar Launches Optical
Edge Switch For Metropolitan
Markets Finisar, a developer of gigabit rate optical link extenders,
components and network analyzers, is also developing a DWDM-based aggregation
system for extending Fibre Channel SANs and Gigabit Ethernet LANs across
metropolitan fiber networks. http://www.finisar.com/
Finisar's fiber optic systems
include GBIC transceivers,optical multiplexers and link extenders, protocol
analyzers and data generators for Gigabit Ethernet and Fibre Channel networks.
http://www.finisar.com/products/prodframe.htm
This explosive
growth poses a formidable challenge to electronics technology. "If you
compare the speed of silicon chips versus the capacity of optical fiber
communications, fiber optics is going significantly faster than electronics,
and where the fiber ends-that becomes a significant bottleneck." Glass
is convinced that fiber to the home office and then fiber to the home are
just around the corner. "We have a demonstration project going with Bell
South where we have wired up a suburban neighborhood with little fiber-optic
network units on the side of each house," he said.
Dealing with
the high volumes of data that are coming off optical fibers will present
a big challenge to electronics. Fortunately, wavelength-division multiplexing
eases that task since each wavelength can be processed simultaneously by
different circuits. Ultimately, electronics and optics technologies offer
complementary abilities: "Optics is ideal for transporting data from point
A to point B, but it is weak in the area of logic and switching," Glass
pointed out. "That is where we will need electronics."
Copyright c 2000
CMP Media Inc. By Chappell Brown
The world economic
summit is less interesting because the big and powerful are less interesting.
The rate of technological
has multiplied on itself because computers can work faster and communications
are better therefore computers and communications becomes faster and faster.
My guess is that optic fiber to the door will make on-air or cable broadcasting
uneconomic - video on demand will replace it - the program producers will
distribute directly to the consumer - like in MP3 - the video store goes
on line -
The move producer - such as Blair Witch could be sold directly
- same with any show or news or whatever - so there goes networks - maybe
even magazine writers with direct sales -
Wireless systems
can get up to 400 kps to a million somehow -
Corning wants
to turn glass to cash By Phil Harvey Redherring.com, February 17, 2000
http://www.redherring.com/insider/2000/0217/tech-corning021700.html
http://www.redherring.com/insider/1999/0903/inv-components.html
http://www.wiredbrain.net/symbian.htm
for a lot of applications that is fine - and OS chip technology will make
greater use of less and less with less energy and heat - more light and
lighter -
code division
multiple access (CDMA) technology.
HP is investing $2 million
in New Media Venture Partners (NMVP) and will provide up to $15 million
in debt financing to help the company fund and incubate e-commerce start-ups.
In return, subsidiaries of NMVP will use HP products and services.
If I were a high
technology company - in information systems, computers, communications
or any part of the 25 % of the economy - and almost all the growth sector
- now including networks - broadcasting - publishing - entertainment -
music - video - electronics - service - I would have a venture capital
connection so I could send people out and find out what is going on. The
battle for the airwaves is not just about broadband but the content - software
and services. If you put a few hundred thousand in interesting technologies
you gain access to information.
There is almost a certainty that something
will come from left field and change all the rules again.
Cable is too
slow and greedy. The telephone companies too slow and bureaucratic. Both
have shown a preference for short term gains rather than long term survival.
Microsoft is showing the same brain arthritis - inflexible - such as IBM
was - GM and other big and rich - missed every important technology - but
could buy it after it had been proven. That may or may not be possible.
.
http://www.wiredbrain.net/nano.htm
The most common
wireless transmission standard, GSM, which stands for Global Systems for
Mobile communications, is particularly prevalent in Europe and Asia. According
to market research firm Dataquest, nearly 157 million GSM-based mobile
phones will be shipped worldwide this year, compared with shipments of
about 43 million CDMA cell phones.
But many industry
observers say CDMA, strongest in North America, is more efficient and can
handle Internet-based transmissions better.
There is also
time division and dense systems - I do believe the key is China - the PLA
and post telegraph - along with the EU will set the standards.
--
What will happen
tomorrow that effects your life today ????
Fiber Optics
to the Home
Fiber optics has helped push
the telecommunications system into hyperdrive. But only when fiber connections
reach all the way into the home will the technology’s promise be fully
realized.
Futures, forecasts,
and fantasy :
re: ORCL, HP team with Utilities
in Consortium to Fiber the Last Mile
"...taking advantage
of the deregulated telecom industry, the small, tightly knit consortium
will initially offer digital voice, TV, and Web hosting over fiber, under
the name SpectraDyne Services. It includes Sierra Pacific Power Company,
Hewlett-Packard, Oracle, and TelecommUnity Systems."
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=FBCE+FIBR+JDSU+MRVC+OPTC+OPTX+ORTL+POCI+SCMR&d=t
The following
image need to be firmly in mind to understand the AOL/ Time Warner deal
- and the frenzy going on in telecommunications and computer industries.
The time frame is about 10 years - the impact comes first in Northern Europe
- Singapore - parts of the states - parts of Hong Kong and China - Japan
- Taiwan - South East Asia - Australia ( already with system under construction
)
There is optic
to the door provided by the utility company. It is a common carrier providing:
TV programs
on demand on a big flat screen digital high definition system - programs
are recorded and played as you desire, when you desire on any of the screens
around the wired house you desire. There is no need for program schedules
- movies and other video content are downloaded on demand from world wide
services. Some charge fees some are free with or without ads. You can watch
the BBC news or CNN or C-span type programs any time.
There is no need
for movie or music channels since you can order anything you want anytime.
The same with
music, either rented for a limited number of replays, or purchased and
transferred to CD or DVD -
The same with interactive media - games and
educational services for the wired " smart" house - When you leave the
security system goes on - with complete radar monitoring of any motion
with recording of motion, the heat or AC is turned down, when you click
from your cell phone that you are returning home - the lights and heat
or AC is reset, the music turned on and the doors unsecured.
The cell phone
- palm pilot - personal digital assistant works at 400 kbps to 4 Mbs with
GPS, e-mail and other web content, fold up or screen keyboards, long life
batteries, high gain reception of dense multiplex time division wideband
GS3 codes. Europe, with its common GSM standard, will likely usher in "3G"
technologies (with their 2 megabit/second data to pockets) years before
it happens in the U.S.' fragmented cellular environment. And fast wireless
data will surely usher in many new Opportunities. - http://www.pathfinder.com/fortune/technology/2000/01/24/ega.html).
Web
Hosting>
XML: the most
powerful productivity tool ever imaged:
I can write this
text, I could insert picture or sound. I can create links ( hyper- links
) or imbedded functions ( scripts in several languages ) - e-mail it or
post it to a web site that has scripts to run different functions. It is
getting easier but still has lots of bugs.
Microsoft is
again in a catch up position. Power corrupts and the lack of real time
painful competition is what corrupted power means. The NOISE group of Netscape,
Oracle, IBM, Sun Microsystems, Corel and Everyone else had the model right
years ago. With bandwidth ( such as private networks - intranets, extra-nets,
and other high speed networks ) the network becomes the system. Each member
of the system - clients and servers are integrated through common languages
or objects.
When you open
a web page, hypertext and imbedded objects can connect functions - edit,
( word processing ) analyze ( search, data bases ) and interoperate with
each other using voice, images, data and text. The idea is that a person
interested in the service manual for a piece of equipment or operational
system - a service engineer or client at a PC, or in the field using a
lap top, wireless phone or other device not only could look up information
but order parts, update systems, see graphic display, talk to experts,
hold a meeting between the consultant and the providers and the home system
would gather information about what is going on and what works and what
doesn’t.
Providers of
services - software, engineering, analysis, B2B, OEM, etc.. could all deal
with each other using different languages, platforms and systems. This
is the most powerful productivity tool ever imaged. System can adjust and
improve in real time. A contractor in the field can order supplies from
the best low cost provider, check delivery, pay accounts, check balances,
talk to sub-contractors, revise plans and schedules, have the design changed
and fixed, and 1000 and more details. No one can build a house without
a cell phone - can any service be provided without real time communications
?
Who can do this
unless they spend lots of money for services and software ? The service
providers can MS.net, oracle.net, IBM.net Sun.net, AOL.net, apple.net,
excite.net, go.net, yahoo.net, - plug and play just like the cell phone.
For $ 50 a month your ISP becomes an interactive system to other services.
The contractor enters his phone book, calendar, and buys services from
engineers, accountants, and get free services from suppliers, banks, sub
contractors, etc. Those connected have a great advantage over those out
of the loop.
How about a search
attached to stories. The idea of references is still useful but you can
also do a up to the minute search by a hyper text link that includes the
key words -
Windows in the cloudy sky:
What Microsoft wants to
do is control the servers with a MS provided next, next generation NT platform
operating system called XML but not open and universal. The .net system
works with devices that have .net codes built it. Microsoft products will
run on .net as a server - client interface - XML files, XML data base,
XML storage, XML index, id, calendar, updates, notifications, out in the
cloud on MS XML server software doing object imbedded codes.
The applications
become notations or services on the page.
The universal canvas API. Hardware
drives, across all the devices and the .net controller in the a cloud.
Development applications are built on the XML kits connected to the browser.
This was Netscape’s vision from the beginning.. This is why MS had to kill
Netscape and the NOISE group and what the browser wars was really about.
The platform is in the sky
- Microsoft idea is the new version of what Netscape and SUN - the NOISE
group ( Netscape, Oracle, IBM, Sun, and Everyone else ) started talking
about five years ago.
The server ( web site ) company internets, the ISP,
wireless devices, i-appliances, game panels, can all use audio, video,
photograph, office applications - word process, presentation, spread sheets,
data bases, in a interactive way using a server AGENT or personalized options
given the application, the device used, and the pattern of application
- on a rental or fee-for-service basics. In other words all the complex
stuff is up stream - rich standards based on XML works between platforms
and programs but at the server not on the PC - This is the critical and
profound change.
The server in the cloud does the transfer and integration
- is the platform in the sky that can work with all kinds of devices. It
can take a record from one place in one format and uses it in another program
in a different format guided by the smart agent. Information can be used
almost anywhere from almost anywhere.
The devices can use keyboards,
mouse, voice, hand writing, file transfer, clip board, as inputs as well
as agent intelligence on the server and user interface.
Not news - cloudy vision
part two :
http://www.wired.com/news/lycos/0,1306,37168,00.html
Gates for the first time
emphasized the Web browser as the central application of computing. Echoing
remarks made by counterparts Marc Andreessen and Scott McNealy four years
ago, Gates said the network is even more important than the computer.
http://www.microsoft.com/presspass/topics/f2k/default.asp
Microsoft is creating an
advanced new generation of software that will meld computing and communications
in revolutionary new ways; offer every developer the tools to transform
the Web and all other aspects of the computing experience; and enable businesses,
knowledge workers and consumers to employ technology on their own terms.
See cloudy vision in http://www.wiredbrain.net/gates.htm
year Bill Gates ( reference
to HTML ) Building Internet Applications Professional Developers Conference
San Francisco -- March 13, 1996 http://www.wiredbrain.net/bill-g.htm
Maybe the only place to
find these remarks
Continued on
post.htmVAT
initiative.htm
salestax.htm
The home terminal
- NEXUM - provides wireless ( bluetooth ) connection to the mobile elements,
TV, music, games, information systems with voice commands. You say " Write
a note" and dictate as it appears on the big screen. You correct with the
portable keyboard that is used for interactive TV.
The master computer
works within a network "master server in the sky" to provide services you
need or enjoy. Shopping, banking, tele-communities, video conferences,
design and research, games and social activities, travel and adventure,
and tuned to your interests and desires.
The master server bills for usage
in micro pennies for "extras" but charges a flat fee for "basic services".
Several master server companies compete for services on the common carrier
-
The services
are not tied to the wire - optic cable - so there are two bills - one for
connection services - the wireless and wired ( optic ) and another from
the service company that passes along charges for rentals, fee for service
charges, software licenses, communications on and off net, as we do today
with local and long distance phone services and premium cable services.
Where is the
money made ? Optic fiber hardware - mobile hardware, utility company right-of-way
and network services, the "general utility service company" maybe AOL,
Microsoft, NOISE group ( Netscape, Oracle, IBM, Sun Microsystems and everyone
else ) Amazon, or others which provides the interface between the user
and service providers - banks, insurance, finance and markets, shopping,
software and music and games and movies and communications, and entertainment,
security, smart home management, and on and on... The super on-line service
using optic fiber to the door.
The
on
hot companies it's a great site -
how about quantum
computing
? http://www.foresight.org/
Borders, periphery,
frontiers:
Key word "infrastructure"
http://www.wiredbrain.net/information.htm
All Boiled down
on CONVERGENCE AOL: the super market of the world
What does AOL
Time Warner ( and Wal-Mart, & some Computer terminal company and cable
modem or broadband connection ) mean for the future of global society ?
What is the image they pursue ? http://www.wiredbrain.net/image.htm
CONVERGENCE:
Interactive television, combining audio telephone, video conference and
cable or satellite TV, video on demand, all designed to advertise and sell
on the spot all kinds of good and services.
What is called
"entertainment" on television is different from plays, or movies or theme
parks or games or sports because the role of "content" is only to attract
an audience so they can be sold something. The job of television is sales
- not news or information or entertainment which are only provided so people
watch and can be sold something.
The role of AOL / Time Warner will be
not only to sell others goods but direct sales.
Their dream is the click
and buy advantages of two way communications.
In the process
cable or other broadband can replace a good share of long distance voice,
video rentals, VPN virtual private networks, if and only if, the broadband
connections really works then personal computers become network devices
or http://www.wiredbrain.net/NEXUM.htm
a multipurpose communications and entertainment console.
AOL Time Warner
believe that whatever the method for the broadband connections they will
control the content. The contact rates - for cable, telephone, Internet
and video on demand provide cash flows that support the capital for improved
networks and on-line sales provide the profits.
It's not only
that you can buy your tooth paste from the commercial ( click here to add
it to your Wal-mart order ) but you might get free samples for filling
out forms. You can add with a click to your grocery list. People really
will buy travel deals, change banks or brokers, buy records after getting
MP3 samples, select household gadgets, buy gifts, use auctions, even pick
appliances and cars. They will seek better mortgage and insurance rates,
look for a new house, and a thousand other products and services.
disintermediation
means becoming the middle person between the buyer and seller. On-line
systems such as Amazon.com means direct sales take on a whole new meaning.
I would look for a Amazon Wal-mart connection if not merger.
http://dailynews.yahoo.com/h/nm/20000131/tc/ti_chip_1.html
Broadband frequencies
allow high-capacity data transmission.
Broadband Race
Is on the Rise in Hong Kong
Last week, the
Hong Kong government took another step to open further the telecom market
to competition by issuing a total of 17 fixed network licenses (5 licenses
for wireless local fixed telecommunications network services (FTNS), and
another 12 licenses for external FTNS using satellites). The licenses will
last for 15 years, with an option to extend for another 15 years. In addition,
the government has agreed to issue an FTNS license to Hong Kong Cable TV
to provide telecom services over its hybrid fiber-coaxial cable networks.
The battle of
the air waves is just not between cable modems ( which don't work very
well ) and DSL which has many problems and is priced too high. Optic fiber
to the door and new wideband line of sight or some technology using power
lines may jump ahead. It's a tough call to invest billions per day.
The
dense urban markets, the rural markets, the issues in China and other world
markets, all may not have the same solution. Satellite systems have a role,
but it seems the analysis is too tightly drawn in the box - there are sure
to be out of the box answers.
``Wireless Internet
devices will not only capture some existing PC applications but introduce
brand new applications that the desk-top PC has no way to handle today,''
Engibous told a Tokyo seminar on the company's strategy.
``I think the
availability of a wireless device that is online all the time with broadband
data capability...offers the possibility of applications that Silicon Valley''
is just beginning to dream about, he added.
With next-generation
mobile phone services, users will be able to surf the Web, check and respond
to e-mail, conduct videoconferences and use new mobile services such as
e-commerce, he said.
Next-generation
mobile phone services will be offered in Japan beginning in the spring
of 2001, and later in other parts of the world.
Broadband in
the Local Loop 98:
New Study Concludes
G.lite not enough to overcome advantages and head start of cable modems
http://www.fwdconcepts.com/press13.htm
According to
the study, cable modems will win the lion's share of the residential broadband
market, outnumbering DSL modems 5:1 in North American and 2.6:1 worldwide
by the year 2003. The five-year growth rate for cable modems is forecast
to be 93% in North America and 114% in other regions.
The Study concludes
that the rollout plans announced by the telcos are unrealistically
optimistic, that
the services are too high-priced for the mainstream residential market,
and face many technical and regulatory hurdles--oft overlooked in the excitement
of bringing in a new age of high speed IP-based telecommunications. Forward
Concepts also believes that splitterless DSL still has many technical unknowns,
and that its suitability as a "universal" service is still open to question.
DSL services
also jeopardize existing, highly profitable, data communications services,
further reducing motivation for rollout by the telcos. The cable companies,
in contrast, see IP-video, IP telephony, Internet access, and remote LAN
access as pure incremental upside revenue opportunities, unencumbered by
existing services.
Part-time remote
consulting:
Advanced technology
will affect the way we work, learn, play, trade and shop, and form communities.
I would like to work with organizations that want to get ahead of the curve
in both the learning and technology game.
I have been following
technology for many years and really have a good feel and record in forecasting
and analysis. I would like to work with other on the NEXUM project and
study the effects of http://www.wiredbrain.net/nano.htm and a few other
pages
I could do remote
education and training - project projections - systems analysis or just
communicate with a group, motivational manager, thinking out of the box,
win-win, future, and other ideas.
AOL can do what
Sears did. The Sears brands were produced by OEM ( original equipment manufactures
) with Sears keeping a very tight control of quality and margins. Many
of their providers became dependents. B2B means the intermediary can arrange
shipments from the provider to the buyer and become the super market of
the world.
Life and cognizance
exists on the edge of quantum and classical physics. The very small ( nano
) works by most extraordinary rules - objects have properties that allow
them to move from here to there without going through the intermediate
space. Time is not linear and space bends. Objects themselves appear, take
on properties, and then change their character and reappears in a different
form.
At the atomic
and molecular level the connections can be open and creative rather than
mechanical and determined. Uncertainty is a fundamental prerequisite of
creativity and life itself.
A really clever
computer working with uncertainly could work at this level and have some
sort of consciousness. This would be an interesting invention of this century.
quantum dots
(or single-electron transistors), quantum wells, quantum wires, spin transistors
or arrays of all these devices.
low power quantum
electronics, and high bandwidth photonics are of special interest, as are
the demonstrations of space subsystems based on these technologies. http://www.aero.org/conferences/micro-nano/
Candidate technologies
receiving attention include various quantum functional devices, quantum
computing, DNA computing, and molecular electronics explained for molecular
diode switches, molecular transistors, and molecular logic gates.
This talk would
provide an overview on one such candidate technology based on carbon and
other nanotubes.
the novel Quantum
Cascade Laser (QCL), which differs in design from traditional laser diodes.
This treatment
burned out the protein shell and yielded two dimensional arrays of inorganic
iron oxide dots on the Si wafer. The size and repeat distance of the dots
were 6 and 12 nm, respectively, as measure by FE-SEM and AFM. As the diameter
of the iron oxide dots is only 6 nm, this two imensional array of inorganic
iron oxide dots has a potential to be used as quantum dots. Feasibility
study of the application of this dot array to the structure of semiconductor
memory is now in progress.
suggestions:
FIRST: The list of companies in tele-communications
http://telecom.tbi.net/network1.htm
Wiredbrain Future
new news and private research service by GlobalVillages provides research
on and the future ???
Don't be blind to what others are doing and what they know about what you
are up to AT FROM:
wiredbrain@earthlink.net
Wiredbrain Synergy
Group message board
Who will keep you informed
on the events just around the next bend. In the past it was OK to let others
forge the way. You could wait to see how it turned out then buy your way
in after the bugs had been removed. Pioneers got arrows in their backs.
BUT now we are all on the frontier and can't wait until the dust settles.
Dr. Pflaum ( for a fee )
will research the events and technologies that will effect your future
and give you reports and advice.
People
who purchase a PC with the belief that computer literacy is not necessary
are kidding themselves. Still, millions of people, including my grandparents,
are buying PCs with the mistaken notion that they're no more difficult
to operate than VCRs. Many PC owners don't know how to do the basic tasks,
such as installing software and hardware and defragmenting a disk drive.
And God help them if they ever have to reinstall the operating system.
Making the PC easier to maintain would require the companies that produce
the operating systems, software and hardware to work together in harmony.
This will never happen.
It's a problem
crying out for a solution. And it's not hard to imagine one: What if I
told you that I could provide you with a solid-state device a quarter of
the size of a PC that had no moving parts to break? You could run 50 software
titles such as Word, WordPerfect, Lotus SmartSuite, Quattro Pro and Quicken,
as well as games. You would never have to upgrade those applications because
they would be upgraded for you. With this device, you could watch more
than 175 cable channels and select from thousands of movie titles that
you could watch either on the machine or on the TV in your living room.
This device
would have a hard drive so large that you could never fill it up. And you
never would have to back up files again because they would be backed up
for you every night. If lightning hit this device while you were using
it out by the pool, you might lose some hair and skin, but you wouldn't
lose data—and I could overnight you another machine. There would be no
problems with an operating system, hardware drivers or other software.
You would simply plug it into your cable box, and you're ready to go.
Services for
the masses
In the
near future, services such as these will replace the PC for millions of
people who were never cut out to be PC administrators. Thin-client operating
systems, such as Citrix MetaFrame running on MS Terminal Server, combined
with ISDN, ADSL or cable modem Internet access, will inevitably be the
basis of a virtual PC service that will revolutionize the industry.
Instead of
buying a PC, you would pay the company a monthly fee, and the company would
send you a Winterm device that plugs into your new high-bandwidth Internet
connection, which links to its service. After powering it on, you would
simply hit "connect" and your personalized GUI desktop would pop up on
the screen. You could instantly run hundreds of applications without installing
anything. Any time you saved files, they'd actually be saved to a server's
hard drives, which would be backed up every night. Combine these services
with an e-mail account, and watch PC sales plummet. After all, who would
want to buy a PC with software that had to be upgraded every year, if you
could hire a service to take care of the mess? Many corporations, tired
of the cost and IS staff required to manage hundreds of PCs, would jump
on it.
The technology
to build a virtual PC service is here today. Other technologies, such as
movies on demand, are probably a few years out.
The advent of virtual computing
will shift the entire PC infrastructure with such momentum that the PC
as we know it today will be used only by a group of oddballs: "computer"
people.
Brett Arquette
is chief technology officer for the 9th Judicial Circuit Court, Orange
and Osceola counties, in Florida. He can be reached at barq@iag.net.
http://www.spaceports.com/~sparkg/wavs/pinky/battle.wav
http://www.spaceports.com/~sparkg/
http://www.ferretsoft.com/netferret/images/downloads4.gif
Ferret finds
1500 Wiredbrain "pflaump" web pages
COPERNIC searches
all the main engines very quickly
Make
PORTALS
your home page and use "wiredbrain" password "synergy" for set-up start
pages.
Alltheweb does
as it claims to be fast and large
Most search engines
now find about 30 % of the 350 million pages. So you need to check many
engines. 
MSN now does the best
search
OUR
Social ergonomics
Individual
development, organizational change, and In the computer industry, power
comes not from the barrel of a gun but from the interface of a
Protocol:
He who controls
the interface controls the system.
As I understand
IT , a new type of technology using Time Synchronization Systems Through
DCF77 or GPS signal and using a 10,000 MHTZ chip can transmit MEGA-BITS
the last mile. In synergy with solid state atomic level MEMORY TECHNOLOGY
data moves from FROM MEGA-BIT TO GIGA-BIT per second. High Speed processors
adapted from TERCOM - terrain contour matching 10,000 MHz chip used
in the cruise missile terrain following "smart bombs" or using guided radio
waves or laser beam targeting based on rapid image recognition.
NEW
DEVELOPMENTS IN STORAGEAccording
to CMR ( http://www.cmruk.com/cmrinventions.html
), Professor Ted Williams and his team are able to store 86 gigabytes per
square centimeter, and to read and write this data at 100 megabits/second.
While few details are available while their patents are pending, CMR does
indicate that the process, funded in part by the UK Department of Trade
and Industry, exploits a new family of metal alloys to create, "...a magneto-optical
system not dissimilar to that of CD-ROM, except that the system is fixed,
solid state, and has a different operating approach."

Symbian
joint venture between Psion, Nokia, Ericsson, Matsushita and Motorola
will be a connection between smart mobile phones and Internet-ready games
such as the consoless Sony’s PlayStation 2
For Example:
Dialpad.com is the world's first free Java-based web-to-phone service.
With Dialpad.com, you can make unlimited
free phone calls to anybody in the US as long as the other party has a
valid phone number. Dialpad.com works just like your own telephone. You
can make phone calls to any phone number in the US. Furthermore, you don't
need to manually download and install any software. You can make any call
while your are browsing the Internet and it is FREE!
weirdbrain
' (wîrd) adj., weird·er, weird·est. Of, relating to,
or suggestive of the preternatural or supernatural. Of a strikingly odd
or unusual character; strange. Archaic. Of or relating to fate or the Fates.
n.
Fate; destiny.
One's assigned lot or fortune, especially when evil. Often Weird. Greek
Mythology. Roman Mythology. One of the Fates. weird'ly adv. weird'ness
n. SYNONYMS: weird, eerie, uncanny, unearthly. These adjectives refer to
what is of a mysteriously strange, usually frightening nature. Weird may
suggest the operation of supernatural influences, but it may also be applied
to what is merely odd or unusual: “
The person of the house gave a weird
little laugh” (Charles Dickens). “
There is a weird power in a spoken word”
(Joseph Conrad). Something eerie inspires inexplicable fear or uneasiness
that seems to result from a sinister influence: “At nightfall on the marshes,
the thing was eerie and fantastic to behold” (Robert Louis Stevenson).
Uncanny refers to what is unnatural and peculiarly unsettling: “
The queer
stumps . . . had uncanny shapes, as of monstrous creatures, whose eyes
seemed to peer out at you” (John Galsworthy). Something unearthly seems
so strange and unnatural as to come from or belong to another world: “He
could hear the unearthly scream of some curlew piercing the din” (Henry
Kingsley).
http://www.compaq.com/rcfoc/index.html
Does the term "Network Computer" sound familiar...?
* Another
Broadband Alternative -- More acronyms: LMDS and MMDS. These are technologies
for deploying high speed Internet access using broadcast radio waves --
think of it as wireless cable or wireless DSL. A few areas, such as New
York City and Silicon Valley, already have some limited implementations.
But according to the Oct. 26 New York Times (http://www.nytimes.com/library/tech/yr/mo/biztech/
http://www.nytimes.com/library/tech/yr/mo/biztech/
articles/26internet-wireless.html), a new big-name consortium led by Cisco
plans to give cable and DSL companies a run for their broadband money --
and they point out that their terrestrial radio-based MMDS (Multichannel
Multipoint Distribution Service) solution doesn't require digging up any
streets or placing equipment in the difficult-to-enter telephone company
offices. (A tutorial on MMDS and related technologies is at http://www.webproforum.com/wire_broad/topic10.html
http://www.webproforum.com/wire_broad/topic10.html
). Behind the news: a common thread of interconnectedness
NEWSTRACKER
new technology
Imagine
a fat monitor or a hand held device or using i-Burst
broadband Internet protocol technology a card which is a personal linking
device that plugs into the electrical energy fields system and a USB (
universal serial Bus ) modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog
) that creates the connection to the life force. The device can carry talk,
pictures, e-mail, white board functions.
The device can charge expenses,
such as parking, travel, meals, and pay by use applications.
Third-generation
services are coming
soon
to a mobile phone near you --
but
first the platforms and standards
have
to be resolved.
Electricity
made mass production, telephones, photographs, radio, TV, and computers
possible, and now powers the internet. Packets replace circuits, self fixing
double encoded packets travel fast and faster. The Personal Communications
Utility or Appliance PCU, PCA, or PAD ( personal access device ) or NC
( network computer ) plugs into a pipeline that connects you to the backbone
of the internet.
A
machine called NEXUM High
Speed Internet by Soliton
http://www.wiredbrain.net/symbian.htm
http://www.wiredbrain.net/broadband.htm
http://www.wiredbrain.net/dwdm.htm
The
comprehensive, omnibus, all-embracing, all-encompassing, across-the-board,
INCLUSIVE, EXTENSIVE widespread, epidemic, GENERAL international, world-wide,
global, cosmic, UNIVERSAL, UBIQUITOUS appliance device, mechanical contraption,
gadget, gismo, CONTRIVANCE doodad, doohickey, thingy, thingamabob, thingamajig,
that we all will carry around. At the counter in Wal-Mat it connects quickly
by infra-red link to the charge ( debit ) machine.
The true paper-less
banking. What do we have ? What did we buy ? How much did it cost on record.
We
talk to it. Call home. Get personal mail. Check on the price of dry wall.
What is the quote on 20 year fixed term money ? Where do I go next ? How
do I get there ? Call ahead and confirm I will be 10 minutes late. What’s
on the menu, reserve the table by the window and order ahead. Who has the
best price on or for or going - on anything ? Who wants to buy or sell
? How is the car doing ? Can I fly to Jerusalem in the morning and rent
a car and get a hotel and make appointments ?
When
connected to a terminal I can type or see better - out of the digital airwaves
or on cable or on optic fiber in Africa to China down-links and up links
with nodes and storage NEW
DEVELOPMENTS IN STORAGE and services at my command charges by the micro-penny.
Always on with a flat connection fee.
How
our packets travel is the trillion dollar question; digital cell phones,
broadband, on the electric wires, cable, optic fiber, DSL or all
of the above ?
The
news tracker connection then runs everything
. The Star Office 5.1
is a good example. It runs on open platforms and can be updated, reconfigured
to include sound and video telephones, and doesn't need to be completely
installed on every terminal but can run off the system network.
In
doing web pages, Netscape Composer, MS FrontPage, and Star Office use different
forms of code, HTTP ( hypertext ) different Java scripts, and can mess
each other and the author up. Now since they ( Netscape ( AOL ) and
Sun - part of the NOISE group, Netscape, Oracle, IBM, Sun and everyone
else - ) are enemies they may intend to screw each other with the author
in the middle.
and
too many other changes that work here but not there - audio plug-ins, ActiveX,
virtual machines, XML, etc. Etc..
This
is why the complex stuff has to be up-stream on the server if the communications
systems can communicate with each other. The system knows where you
are (GPS), who you are ( IP) and what you are ( kind of device you are
using ) and what you want - voice, e-mail, conference, word processor,
accounts, pay a bill, collect a bill etc.
The
standards have to be set by SOMEONE - it can’t be done by a voluntary committee
as in the good old non commercial days when the DOD and NSF controlled
the net. It can’t be done by government ( too slow ) IT has to be global
- the EU and Asia are involved - sometimes well ahead.
The WWW system standard
was set at CERN - and the UN or a global trade or international postal
telecommunications agreement could set up a fast working body the approve
PROTOCALS. Now MS does the global job but is clearly not neutral or trustworthy,
since it is worth a good share of the almost trillion dollars in systems
sales.
Tomorrow's
story today: Wiredbrain's Reports from the future:
Technological waves for the next 20 years
StarOffice
5 is a free download from Sun microsystems at
StarOffice
has a fully integrated set of powerful applications that provides Microsoft
Office compatible word processing, spreadsheet, graphic design, presentations,
HTML editor, mail/news reader, scheduler, and database functions. With
the release of the new 5.1 version for worldwide distribution, StarOffice
provides significant performance and feature upgrades that improve user
experience and productivity.
How
is systems analysis different
from
what has been used in the last 40 years. It is more colorful and has more
dimensions.
It
becomes much more complex where there are many clients, with many applications,
using different languages and protocols. A great server should ask and
how do we establish an interface, what language do you use, what program
do you want, what operating system does it use, and can I remember all
this the next time we make contact ?
Amazon.com
has shown the way within one set of protocols of how to be client centric.
Every store both e and non-e, should be able to track several open ended
data bases - inventory, catalog, store, client, sales person, so as to
show what exists and who is buying it. Wal-mart and Builders Square, Office
supply and Sears should have a the catalog and inventory on line at the
cash registrar and on-line for the buyers with items, pictures, prices
as well as complete lists of any clients or sales person’s recorded sales.
It world make it a lot easier for contractors or anyone buying many different
items.
A
friendly server would connect such data bases to user applications such
as financial records and market research. Can any client using different
tools access open records for different purposes, in different languages
? Can suppliers or comparative shoppers or programs that search for best
buys ? How would the Nexum, a simple communications device, use server
software to find the best buy ? Who do you compare features ? Models, grades,
standards, ? All kinds of applications not invented need to glide easily
into existing systems.
StarOffice
5.1 includes:
StarOffice
Writer for document editing,
StarOffice
Calc for creating spreadsheets,
StarOffice
Impress for creating presentations,
StarOffice
Draw and StarImage for creating vector and bit-mapped graphics,
StarOffice
Schedule for managing calendars and to-do lists,
StarOffice
Mail for handling e-mail,
StarOffice
Base for creating interfaces to databases,
StarOffice
Discussion for reading Internet news, and
StarOffice
Math for creating complex formulas,
StarOffice
Workplace for creating a desktop environment
It's
really good !
The
integration of text, http editor, spreadsheets, presentations, drawing,
mail, frames, work folders, database, global documents, diagrams, images,
formula, is really MUCH better than Office and word.
And
it's free
Research
methods for the Internet:
Many students
and professionals now use the Internet as a primary research tool. There
are some simple methods to take advantage of some of the new technology
which enable the research to create multi-search engine archives and move
fairly smoothly through the better sites. Since most browses limit bookmarks
and are prejudice in the use of search engines, commercial interest now
overwhelm academic or professional standards and interest.
First you need
some basic tools - the Internet connection, explorer and Netscape ( why
not both ? ) Then look at http://www.wiredbrain.net/portals.htm
for a list of search engines. One should try the same search of about 5
to 10 words common in the area of your interest, on several to get an idea
of their advantages and limitations.
Then find and
down load:
The GO networks
engine is too unstable and has banners and ads that get in the way but
some people may find it useful and they may fix the problems.
After you have
downloaded and saved these files - open them and check the options to set
them for the browser you use, set the search for time and number limits.
but keep you
files so you don’t have to go back a fourth from the search page to the
sites and back.
TAKING
NOTES:
On most pages
( not too Long ) you can use "edit" select all, copy and paste to notebook
or wordpad, then to Word or wordperfect word processor. By using an unformatted
plain text insert you may avoid hard returns and other editing errors that
will transfer with the text. Otherwise you have to remove the line returns
or hard returns that break-up sentences and paragraphs. Otherwise you can
highlight the parts you want and copy and paste. Images can be saved By
using the right click in Netscape, view images, files save as, and in Explorer
right click "save picture as" BE sure to give credit where credit is due.
Britain's
Keele University, and from Cavendish Management Resources (CMR), of a "3-D
Memory System" that promises 3.4 terabytes in a device the size of a credit
card it costing about $48!!
Fast
transportable records means a whole new world of record keeping and economic
transactions. Indeed the time has come for Global
Money as well as communications .
The
concept of a virtual organization - of a transitory network of individuals
coupled together by advanced communications technologies - continues to
grow in prominence. However, a lack of detailed, real-world cases poses
a significant problem when attempting to analyze the business potential
of linking remote workers in patterns of virtual
organization . Such a lack of examples is particularly acute within
the small business sector. A case study of a UK-based SME - Cavendish Management
Resources - is presented. Both practical and theoretical insights into
new flexible patterns
of organization in the small business sector are presented.FROM
http://www.digital.com/rcfoc/
disintermediation
Last updated on March 25, 1999
Dis-inter-mediation
= remove the intermediary i.e. the middle people.
Skeleton
Closet
http://www.realchange.org/
All
the Dirt on All the Candidates -
Because
character DOES matter
You've
come to the right place for dirt, attitude and opinionated character reviews
of all the Presidential Candidates.
http://www.wiredbrain.net/reform.htm
Starting
with the Protestant reformation which removed " The Church" as an intermediary
between man and God, where faith and practice are founded on the principles
of individual acceptance of the Bible as the sole source of revelation,
in justification by faith alone, and in the universal priesthood of all
the believers.
disintermediation
was used in the American Revolution where the "king" was removed between
man and the state.
disintermediation
was used in banking when corporations raised their own money on the "money
market" and brokers and "money managers" began to perform the functions
of traditional banking. SEE DISTANCE
for ways to remove the middlemen in your lives. Bill Gates used the idea
in retail sales - direct links between buyer and producer - and direct
provision of services - banking, broker, travel, being a few and removing
the wholesale retail links and costs.
http://www.wiredbrain.net/bill-g.htm
Real
Reform.com
American
Association for Constitutional Reform
The
issue of structural reform does not appear as an issue any where I can
find - even in third parties. As I see the issue is the 18th century electoral
structure can not cope with a system of mass marketing and the money required
to win in a big country.
The reform that is needed is to change the structure
of the elections - a change from independent single member districts (
The Senate can not be changed in the current constitution ) to a system
with clear party responsibility.
The
parties need to be clearly a national franchise - with duties and responsibilities
OVER their candidates and office holders. Being a Republican or Democrat
has to mean something. If you run on a ticket there should be some implied
contract. Many candidates do not even mention their party at all.
The
national parties are now a committee of the states - equal representative
by states so 15 % of the population has a majority.
There are many alternatives
to achieve a responsible party system - some commitment to the platform
and some disciple by members elected as members of a party.
Then there
could be some control over money and have shorter and cleaner campaigns
as in the rest of the civilized world.
The
congress has become 535 independent small business people without much
discipline or policy. All this talk about issues is hollow because the
talk does not relate to what happens. In England for example the parties
have a "manifesto" or platform that will predict how they will govern.
We don't. So it's mostly verbiage and marketing. Promises her anything
but what will be done after she is seduced ? People know that elections
don't connect to policy - that policy is made by the iron triangle - Interest
groups - the committees that fund for congress for reelection - and the
agencies the congress funds and regulate. If you follow the money trail
it goes to congress and then congress funds programs and give benefits
- regulation, tax and subsidies - to those who fund their election.
The
single ballot ( President and congress on the same check mark ) so there
is some connection between executive and congressional authority is one
suggestion. An amendment to make clear the federal power to regulate federal
elections or just a statue taking control over federal office holders.
The only way to get to structural reform is via a convention called by
the states since congress will not reform itself.
Real
Reform: Restore confidence and pride in the Institutions of democracy:
Article
II - electors and electoral college - is a time bomb - and needs to be
replaced by new simple language - and a national orderly rational process
of federal elections. Federal elections need to be federal - not a scramble
of state rules, antique dysfunctional regulations and court decisions along
with the changing results of infighting within fractional political parties.
The right to control federal elections by federal law should not be in
doubt - this does now effect the bill of rights - but only the structure
of he process of running elections.
In
the electronic age we don’t need a horse and buggy system - it can be much
fairer, faster, representative, and honest. Elections are the core of democracy
- they can never be perfect but a dysfunctional system undermines the foundations
of freedom and representative government.
Federal
Elections in the Constitution:
In
order to assure democracy and the faith of the people in their elected
representatives; federal elections shall be conducted in a brief, honest,
open, and equal manner that assure impartiality to both incumbents and
their opposition and limit the undue influence of money. Congress shall
prescribe by law for the election of all federal officials by the majority
votes of federally qualified citizens of the congressional districts for
the House of Representatives, the separate states for the Senate, and of
the Citizens of United States for President and Vice-president.
The
certification of results, the qualifications of voters and candidates,
the times and dates of primaries and elections, the certification of recognized
Political parties and their candidates and the conduct of campaigns financed
by publicly regulated expenditures shall be prescribed by law to assure
freedom
of political speech, competition, and the free expression of the will of
the people in the selection of their Government. Where no candidate has
a majority a run off shall be quickly conducted.
Upon
enactment, This amendment become the supreme law of the land, not withstanding
any prior constitutional or other legal decisions and past circumstances.
(
replaces: Article I section 2 on the House section 3 and Amendment 17 on
the Senate, Article II and Amendment 12 on the President and Vice-president
)
Federal
Laws and Constitutional Amendments:
Congress
shall prescribe the terms and conditions for citizen initiative, or congressional
referendum to be placed on the ballots of federal elections, as proposals
for amendments under Article V, sent to the states, or laws to be enacted
or as advisory to the states, the people and to congress.
This
leaves to congress to control federal elections. I would like an election
on the second Tuesday in November with a run off if necessary in the middle
of November - with campaigns to start on labor day including the nomination
process that could be done in 4 to 6 weeks. The primaries could be done
nationally in early September with a run off in the last week of September
with conventions ( not really necessary ) during October (Enough is enough
) Federal campaigns would be publicly financed and limited in their expenditures.
Reporters,
the media, are filters between the action and the reader - viewer. Internet
journalism is more direct.
Representative
government is partly an intermediary between the citizens and their public
agencies. Forms of vouchers, scholarships, subsidies provide the user with
market choices. Instead of the government setting up a program the
state provides tokens for purchase of services - training, health, education,
being used now - there maybe room for more.
In
communications - it means cutting the wire. Mobile
data systems using a Universal Communications device.
Ladies
of the evening cash in on the Net boom. One offshoot of the world's oldest
profession improves its bottom line by
eliminating the middleman.
Finance
Physics:
Of
course, market prices are the result of foggy feeling, mass psychology
called perceptions. BUT, over the longer run, basic economic principles
and the laws of social physics will "correct" the difference between false
perceptions and a harder reality.
In
the current
context the following will happen - the only question is when:
1.)
The misbalance between American growth and ECU’s struggles, Japan’s and
Asia’s problems put pressure on the dollar because of the trade gap:
2.)
Raw declines in the dollar forces increases in the interest rates dollar
securities have to pay;
3.)
The higher cost of capital slows U.S. growth rates and forces a market
"correction" of the irrational exuberance of speculative stocks
.
We're
moving toward a world of 1 billion connected computers sometime in the
next decade," Grove said, saying it would represent some 20 percent of
the world's population and a great opportunity" for the Pacific Rim. The
theme of "wiredbrain" is that the "new world orders" are global connections
between utility network computers.
Like
the human brain, the internet's
packets system can reconfigure itself to work even after portions were
destroyed. Using the noise-prone analog circuits of the time, it was impossible
to build the necessary switches. Baran concluded that all the traffic would
have to be digital. Moreover, the digital traffic would have to be broken
into short message blocks now called
PACKAGES
This
may work IF it's tied to and has the speed and graphics for GAMES - NINTENDO
64 , PLAYSTATION , SEGA SATURN , GAME BOY , GAME GEAR , SUPER NINTENDO,
SEGA GENESIS ,etc. and interactive online games such as doom.
AOL
and netscape plan a PAD ( personal access device )such as:
Wal-Mart
Stores Inc. will soon be the purveyor of a new, $299 PC for first-time
buyers. But don't expect cutting-edge technology.
The
store, along with Kmart Corp. and Toys "R" Us Inc., will test market the
new low-cost PC created by Global PC, a firm owned by Compu-DAWN Inc.,
maker of communications products such as the e.TV set-top box.
The
blue-light specials are expected to begin in October.
The
new PC is known internally at Global PC as the "Classic" because of its
design. It comes with a full complement of the things people expect from
a PC, including a chassis, keyboard, mouse and floppy drive. It's based
around a 100MHz 486 processor from Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NYSE:AMD)
and can be used with a monitor or regular television.
GEOS,
now in its third version, was originally developed in 1983 as an alternative
desktop operating system, but it has been used widely in handhelds, smart
phones such as Nokia Corp.'s Communicator, and the Geobook, a notebook
computer sold by Brother Industries Ltd. GEOS offers several features that
Windows does not, including "instant on."
This
story was printed from ZDNN, located at http://www.zdnet.com/
zdnn.
"packets,
con't"
each
containing its own routing information, like
a DNA molecule , and able to replicate itself correctly whenever a
transmission error occurred. With many additions and permutations, his
original design is today termed the Internet, click here for the emerging
history of the 21st century .

http://www.digital.com/rcfoc/
for current updates Indeed, Yahoo has just announced a strategy to
capitalize on this move, bringing "Yahoo Everywhere" to European mobile
phones! Steve Boom, Yahoo Europe's director of business development, explains
in the June 10 IDG News (
http://www.pcworld.com/cgi-bin/pcwtoday?ID=11320 ) that,
"We want to make sure the experience [Yahoo users] get from the phone is
a full Yahoo experience."
And Yahoo also has designs on set top boxes and
other new communicating, computing, appliances...
Others are working on moving the Internet right
to your pocket as well - British Telecom, AT&T Wireless and other big
players, is now working towards implementing IP, the protocol that powers
the Internet, right over the airwaves to your pocket cell phone (
http://www.totaltele.com/secure/view.asp?ArticleID=22675&Pub=tt&categoryid=0
). And this, according to Ericsson's senior manager of wireless strategy
Filip Lindell, could mark,
"...the end of the circuit-switched telecommunications world."
Such activity is not just taking place in Europe. Motorola and Sun have
entered into an agreement
http://www.corporate-ir.net/ireye/ir_site.zhtml?ticker=
mot&script=410&layout=7&item_id=35469 ) to implement a
wireless IP infrastructure beginning in 2001 that would provide the wireless
equivalent,
"...of
near-infinite dial tone; ...a claim that only the wireline industry can
make today."
Technology
is going to make the world around us smart
as
we move away from proprietary architectures to a standards-based ecology
of information.
We
still need a name for the UCD: UNIVERSAL COMMUNICATION DEVICE or "information
- communications - appliance - utility- network computer, cable or wireless
black box modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog ), play station,
boom box, CD, DVD, VHS, camera, VCR, telephone, wireless, cordless, portable,
TV, radio, pager, laptop, notebook, library, GPS, map, yellow pages, combat
walk and talk and call in air strikes more".
The
market for the bandwidth and the appliances is global - with billions of
clients world wide.
The
money is in software now moving from "programs" to content.
The content
will be interactive media that includes program functions. ISP such as
AOL, will provide multimedia E-mail as a word processor that can handle
graphics, photographs, soon video and data files.
The browser becomes a
universal systems package do all the most common functions as plug-ins.
BROADBAND
IS HERE
chello
broadband n.v. (chello), www.chello.com, Europe's first and leading broadband
internet service provider and an operating company of United Pan-Europe
Communications (UPC), chello broadband allows cable customers throughout
Europe to benefit from the m@ximum internet experience; always on, super-fast
broadband internet service for a flat fee each month running across AORTA,
Europe's first and largest broadband IP network and the largest European
distributed caching service. Near CD quality sound, pin sharp pictures
and a full range of global, national and local content partners are offered
-- all in the language of the country in which the service is offered.
http://www.inside-cable.co.uk/n98q4apg.htm
Which
is what StarOffice 5 does. It is a free download from Sun microsystems
at
http://www.sun.com/
The USB universal serial bus ties to printers, sound and video systems,
play stations, phones, keyboards and voice commands, other appliances and
services. Microsoft-NBC-General Electric, merge into a
convergence
of media and communications services. Time-Warner, the News Corp., Disney-ABC,
are positioning themselves for the transformation of many business into
one.
The current crop of Internet stocks are unlikely to be very important.
Other
business includes finance, matching buyers and sellers, and a thousand
other ideas and items. The ISP becomes a bank and travel agent, department
store, and service center. Wal-mart, Sears and other may need their own
ISP. Clients will pay the ISP for telephone service, cable, lease of hardware,
Internet, credit, and may buy their insurance, tickets, or dishes from
a company they trust, so it all adds up.
A limited
set of functions and libraries in or around a CPU, with the capacities
of a play station, will run a package of on demand utilities called from
the network. Once there is a break in the bandwidth, your browser can quickly
call down any packages it may need - high speed smart updates means you
don’t have to have everything stored. Office systems can do this now but
are afraid to be pioneers with arrows in their backs. Once Sun, Oracle,
IBM or others really have high performance objective networks there will
be no need for the bloated windows operation systems.
The
market often is as slow as the political process in facing the inevitable
forces of technology and social history. Cartels and semi-monopolies are
the natural outcome of free competition because organizations can join
together to control markets.
The
robber barons of the late 19th and early 20th century, such as Morgan,
Carnegie, Mellon, Rockefeller, Stanford, Dupont controlled steel and oil,
railroads and chemicals. General Motors president Alfred P. Sloan worked
with the du Pont's to control the auto market. A U.S. Court of Appeals
finds that Aluminum Co. of America (Alcoa) held a 90 percent monopoly in
U.S. aluminum ingot production before the war, a monopoly enjoyed by the
Mellons for more than half a century. See RCA (NBC - Victor ) below..
Sun's
McNealy portrays perils of running the Wintel 'gauntlet' ) ( Windows/intel
)
Scott
McNealy, CEO of Sun Microsystems Inc., one could easily draw the conclusion
that most of the ills in the computer industry stem from one company and
one company only.
The
charismatic McNealy used large portions of his keynote address here Thursday
at Sun's JavaOne developers conference, as well as a subsequent press conference,
to paint Microsoft Corp. as a ruthless monopoly destroying companies and
promoting a flawed business model.
" The
market economy works until somebody gets so much market power that they
are beyond market principles," he said.
McNealy
said Microsoft's monopoly on the desktop through the Windows operating
system enables it to sell "bloat" like Office 2000 that people have to
buy.
" The
other opportunity it has is to go out and buy little companies that wouldn't
normally be successful, bundle them into their Windows or Office hairball
and use their lock-in and monopoly leverage to make them successful and
drive everyone else out of business," McNealy said. "That makes everybody
want to sell their company for a price lower than they want to because
if you're not the one bought, you're done."
One
of the best examples of how new technologies can be dominated by powerful
forces that control standards was the companion development of hardware
( Radios, phonographs, and then television ) as well as soft ware, the
programming, records and content necessary to sell the product. People
won’t buy radios or TV if there are no stations, there can’t be stations
until people have radios or TVs. RCA supported the networks in order to
sell radios. Then they made more from the broadcasting then they did from
hardware.
Sarnoff,
David, 1891–1971, American radio and television pioneer; b. Russia. He
worked for the Marconi Wireless Co., winning recognition as the narrator
of the Titanic disaster (1912). After the Radio Corp. of America absorbed
(1921) Marconi, Sarnoff became general manager. As president (after 1930)
and chairman of the board (from 1947) of RCA, he played a major role in
the development of television.
A superheterodyne
circuit developed by U.S. Army Signal Corps major Edwin Howard Armstrong,
26, became the basic design for all amplitude modulation (AM) radios. It
greatly increases the selectivity and sensitivity of radio receivers over
a wide band of frequencies (see 1906; FM, 1933). Radio Corp. of America
(RCA) was founded by Owen D. Young (see 1919) who loans Ernst Alexanderson
to RCA which will employ him as chief engineer for 5 years (see 1906).
RCA acquired the Victor Co. and become a radio-phonograph colossus but
anti-trust court actions will separate RCA from GE (see VICTROLA, 1906;
NBC, 1926). David Sarnoff urges marketing of a simple "radio music box."
The American Marconi Co. says his plan will make the radio "a ‘household
utility’ in the same sense as the piano or phonograph" (see 1912; 1920).
American
radio and television pioneer who proposed the first commercial radio receiver
and in 1926 formed the National Broadcasting Company. The first vinylite
phonograph record appears in October. RCA-Victor issues a new recording
of the 1895 Richard Strauss work Till Eulenspiegels Lustige Streiche, but
vinylite will not displace shellac until the perfection of long-playing
records (see 1948).
To
access the Caldera Systems Web site, please bookmark
http://www.calderasystems.com
. Caldera Systems, Inc. is a Canopy Group holding under the Ray Noorda/Canopy
Group Investment Company. Ray Noorda is the former CEO of Novell, Inc.
(NASDAQ:NOVL)
NOISE:
and Linux
Netscape,
( now with AOL ) Oracle, IBM, Sun microsystems and everyone else mainly
Corel and Caldera Systems Web site, please bookmark http://www.calderasystems.com.
Caldera Systems, Inc. is a Canopy Group holding under the Ray Noorda/Canopy
Group Investment Company. Ray Noorda is the former CEO of Novell, Inc.
(NASDAQ:NOVL)
What
did Bill Gates and Allen do that made Microsoft such a great power and
economic engine. They took UNIX and set it up for the micro-computer, then
quickly added features to appeal to developers. When IBM used DOS in their
PS they did so because there was software that people could use. As you
can’t sell radios without stations and you can’t have stations without
radios - you can't sell hardware without applications.
Then
once DOS was a "standard" and claimed open systems Microsoft quickly added
more and more attachments that developers could use to save time. Common
packages for user made new applications easier.
They spent a great deal
of time and effort recruiting and training and supporting 100’s of thousands
of developers and system managers. Soon MS became to only game in town
and then the evil empire attacked by replacing the programs ( or buying
them ) for the most profitable applications - office suite.
They almost
wiped out WordPerfect, Corel, Novell, Lotus and took over a big hunk of
IBM’s market share.
This
is exactly what Linux ( being really open ) hopes to do. Since everyone
else H-P, IBM, Oracle SUN, have a real interest in being Windows free -
why not. Linux can run windows applications, will have a GUI ( graphic
user interface ) and be free in it’s basic form. You can but a CD which
will partition your hard drive and set up dual boot ( boot into windows
or Linux ) and have programs that will work on either system. If it stays
open ( which it will ) it could be a whole lot better in a years or two
than windows. Windows has gotten hopeless blotted, patched, and over complex
so it CRASHES. Since Linux is open to improvements from the community it
should be better.
in
products ranging from Windows terminals to portable PADs (personal access
devices).
Three
kinds of PADs will emerge, Polacek said: a CRT-based PAD, similar to Apple
Computer Inc.'s
iMac; a kitchen PAD that is connected
to a wall for e-mail and Web browsing; and a portable PAD, with
wireless communication.
"It's
a given that a huge part of the market, if not all of the market, is going
to move towards this subsidized
model," said Mike Polacek, vice president
of National Semi's Internet Appliance Division in Santa Clara, Calif.
"We're going more and more in that
direction."
AOL
is "working with National Semiconductor on an appliance device [ based
on Geode] for access," said
Polacek.
Lots
of partners
The
AOL device will likely be designed for sending e-mail and browsing the
Web. It will likely be distributed
at little or no cost to customers who
sign up for AOL's online service.
The best buys
on the Internet
The best Telephone rates loan rates
Action at a distance
How
fast is it? A FastAccess-equipped phone line and computer enable speeds
up to 50 times faster than conventional (28.8 Kbps) modem ( or digital
connection to replace the analog )s (actual connection speeds may vary).
FastAccess Service allows information *to travel at speeds up to 1.5 Mbps
from the provider to your computer (downstream), and up to 256 kbps
from your computer to the provider (upstream)*. The increased capability
allows you to access large amounts of data in significantly less time.
AT&T
is poised to offer digital television, telephone and high speed Internet
service to at least a quarter of the country. But until now, it had planned
on running fiber optic cables to clusters of 600 homes.
Packets
The Salt Lake City test, which will begin in two to three weeks, will run
fiber to neighborhoods of 50 to 75 homes - increasing by tenfold the capacity
of the system and making connections clearer and more reliable.

Something
missing:
An
astro-physicist has said ‘ there is no reason that people should be ever
be able to understand the universe’. Our biological and intellectual background
is so naturally limited by our life experience here on Earth. We have no
way of comprehending or visioning space time plasma that behaves in ways
impossibly strange to our ways of being and knowing. Atomic physics involves
models that are not intuitive - even counter- intuitive.
Most
people who have ever lived on this planet, were born and died within a
fifty mile range. Their perceptions are defined within what is called a
tribal culture - part real and part superstition. Applied rational knowledge
is fairly modern as a cultural style and still not seriously or firmly
established as a norm.
The irrational base of human understanding is clearly
demonstrated by politics and commercials.
NOW
as we enter into a global technical society our social world is as little
understood as the physical. The new world order - lacks a vision or social
psychological foundation.
The
technology itself is revolution
ary.
The
global economy requires new models of thought. It’s not surprising that
it is difficult and there is a lot of active and passive resistance.
The
leaders and leading institutions often don’t get it. Non-linear, transactional,
mutually dependent rapid change appears to many as anarchy and chaos -
morally questionable and in conflict with traditional values. That is because
global transformations are a real revolution. Serious changes are disruptive
of the existing order.
Details
and special cases:
Most of social knowledge is about the details without knowledge or understanding
the fundamentals.
We
know the details of political scandals, but fail in our wisdom about political
systems. We have substantial information about sickness but little insight
into what
is health .
We
have libraries of books on schooling but lack a working theory
of education .
The
business schools are busy and new ideas about organizations appear all
the time but there is not a working and tested hypothesis of group behavior,
creativity
and productivity.
Economics
is a kind of collective theology with some often weak relationship to reality.
There is only one science of physics, with new ideas on the edges. When
there is not science there is an open field of speculation and untested
but believable convictions. In science what you believe is less important
that the reality displayed by facts, in out areas beliefs control facts,
we know what we want to know to support ideas we find beneficial.
The
product of economic activity is technology transfer. It started with a
genetic shift about 70,000 years ago where left brain visual capacity shifted
into verbal abilities, forethought and rational planning.
The catch
on factor allowed groups to learn from each other.
The groups that
leaned faster and better increased their numbers and economic well-being.
30,000 years ago there was a take off with up to .25 % real growth for
millenniums.
The civilized empires achieved 1 % growth of wealth through
superior specialization and organization. Modern times have achieved 2.5
% using organized science and technology. Some societies caught up at 8
% rates. Some have did not catch on at all.
We
are now entering an electric catch on factor where information networks
can increase collective knowledge and applications much quicker. In the
beginning it could take 1,000's of years for new technology ( use of medals,
domestic animals, crops ) to spread and be applied. The time frame for
innovation came down in our times to a few decades - for trains, boats,
cars, telephones, TV, PC, and keeps getting shorter, faster, and covers
a wider area.
The
long term upward cycle was broken by wars, and depressions.
It's
long term success is due to increased productivity, because of trained
people working smarter with better tools and social physical infrastructures
!
That
is the essence of successful capitalist free enterprise economies.
What
has been the problem - It's the "surplus product" created by improvements
in production !
What
now ?
Can
you over produce services ? Too much and many information companies, web
servers, banks, financial services, health clubs, resorts, cruse ships,
real estate agents, hospitals and clinics;
SURE
you can - and the over hang can put pressure on prices - drive out the
little guys and end up with a few dominant firms. The greatest fluff is
in the internet services - that can grow exponentially and collapse just
as rapidly. But it doesn't drag down a thousand other sectors.
The
wonders of "voodoo economics" ?
The
tradition views of "representative" government is the mixed role of being
an Ambassador or delegate or agent of the district vs. being a "statesman"
or expert picked for individual qualities, using independent judgments.
There
is now a more important third role - salesman, public relations expert,
media personality, where strongly expressed "sound bites" and campaign
strategies dominate behavior.
The house has become less of a organized
system of collective decision making and more of a form for raising money
and getting re-elected.
The President becomes more and more symbolic spokesman
and less a leader of serious policy process.
The faults of the collective
decision making process is fundamental to all social and economic life.
The
Waning of the Military-Industrial Complex:
Capitalism
over produces relative to effective demand creating product 'over hang'
which depresses prices and can start a downward cycle. The "Fortress State"
produces incomes and product outside of the market. Military expenditures
created markets where "Nothing mattered except states of mind, chiefly
our own."
John Maynard Keynes (1883+1946), British
economist. Essays in Biography, ch. 39 (1933), of the "Apostles" group
at Cambridge University.
The military-industrial complex added
to net demand creating millions of jobs and the political support along
with those jobs - if the money came out of the deficit ( because taxes
reduced demand ), - but production did not add to domestic supply- voodoo
economics. Now we have "terrorist" and China to kick around.
Public works and welfare could do as
well but lacked the political support of the cold war. So we wasted trillions
on defense from a mostly imagery enemy rather than build attractive and
livable cities and new towns, schools, rapid transport, parks, or other
good works. What we really feared was fear itself, the nameless terror
of depression, which in our experience was worse than war.
Free
competition has winners and losers. There are more losers than winners.
There were hundreds of automobile companies that ended up after Sloan,
with only three, dominated by GM's close to 50 % market share. Thousands
of brewers ended up with a few, the same for oil, milk, cereal, PAD banking,
insurance, tobacco, appliances, computers, software and most commodities
because bigger is better in surviving technological, ecological ( changes
in market demand and tastes), geological ( changes in structure), geographic
( market reach ) and business cycles.
IF
you imagine a distribution with the big companies bunched to the left side
of a distribution that tails off to the right with smaller specialized
firms. Every time there are changes in markets, range, technological innovations
or economic crisis, the big firms pick up the remains of weakened firms
on the right of the distribution, now cut off from credit. The big four
become more complex structures of interdependency of vertical and horizontal
integration.
Small
business fail when times get rough and grow in times of prosperity. With
increasing changes small companies are driven to the wall. In good times
big companies use economies of scale to store up wealth, buy up their competition
with inflated stock prices, and set aside profits which becomes the reserve
for hard times. US Steel and others paid dividends right through the depression,
some times at P/E of 4/1 i.e. $1 on a $4 stock. The few big companies can
then control production ( cartels and trusts ) maintain prices and get
even richer.
So
what is the new economy?
Your
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