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http://www.gurunet.com/index.html Have you ever been frustrated with how long it takes to go to a search page, type in a query, wait... and then sift through irrelevant results?

Then try GuruNet-- just point at any word in any Windows program and Alt-Click. GuruNet brings you relevant answers fast. Instead of searching and waiting, it brings the information to you. Best of all, it's a simple pop-up window-- no jumping out of your document or interrupting your train of thought.

Chappell Brown

Bell Labs is known for revolutions.

In 1947 it was the transistor. Today it is photonics. Called the second silicon revolution, optical fiber systems are in an explosive state of development, reminiscent of the earlier days of the electronics industry.

Over the past two decades, since fiber-optic communications first began to appear, the carrying capacity of fiber has increased at a faster rate than Moore's law. Now the wavelength-division multiplexing revolution has accelerated that capacity even more, while introducing the flexibility of wavelength-based routing. Forged from an interdisciplinary mix of semiconductor diode lasers, micromachine technology and fundamental advances in optical glass technology, terahertz networking has arrived well ahead of schedule.

It's a major revolution riding on a broad-based industry serving the fundamental human need to communicate.

"A length of fiber long enough to circle the globe three times is produced every day, and if you extrapolate current trends to 2010, every one of the 6 billion people on earth will have a bandwidth capability equivalent to high-definition television," said Alistair Glass, director of photonics research and development at Lucent Technologies Bell Laboratories. Arriving at Bell Labs in 1967, Glass' career spans the development and implementation of fiber-optic communications systems.

Major breakthrough

"When I arrived, the major breakthrough was the first continuously operating laser, and it didn't run for very long-only a few minutes," Glass recalled.

"This was the time of the early hero experiments and the demands kept increasing and increasing on these devices.

There was always that pressure, but the interest in the marketplace represented a dramatic change."

There was always a strong demand to increase the performance of any device.

At first the research arm of AT&T, Bell Labs enjoyed a special status after its founding in the 1920s. Because of the monopoly granted AT&T by the government, in the interests of standardizing the telephone system, the lab could both be part of a commercial operation and play the open role of a national laboratory.

"At that time, there was not much connectivity with business- it was very much intellectually driven. We wanted to be leaders in all the fields relevant to communications," Glass said. But in the early 1980s two developments dramatically accelerated photonics research: commercial long-haul fiber-optic systems began to be installed commercially, and AT&T's monopoly was dissolved by the government, with parts of Bell Labs spun off into other companies as part of a complex divestiture of the telecommunications giant. "We were suddenly handed the mandate to develop commercial products out of our research efforts," he said.

The lab responded with a broad attack on optical communications systems. Innovations in the basic fiber, laser diodes to power them, and integrated optoelectronic components to interface with electronic data systems followed. "Since then, particularly with the founding of Lucent Technologies, optics has been accelerating at an incredible rate," Glass said.

For transporting data over long distances, fiber systems proved to be irresistible. Large bundles of copper wire could be replaced by slender silicon fibers in a process of "demassification" usually associated with the electronics industry. While the debate continues over whether optical interconnect is a viable alternative to electrical wiring inside of computers, the issue has been definitively resolved for long-distance communications. But optical interconnect inside the box may eventually succumb to a long-term trend. Recent developments in metropolitan-area networks suggest that fiber optics is riding a scaling law similar to the shrinking VLSI circuit, and the scaling rate appears to be steeper.

The rapid deployment of fiber optics received an even bigger jolt with a repeat of the '80s scenario in the 1990s. Bell Labs was again transferred in 1996 to another entity-Lucent Technologies-and made the centerpiece of a startup with considerable economic resources. Also brewing in photonics labs was a revolutionary technology called dense wavelength-division multiplexing (DWDM), which has allowed the carrying capacity of optical fiber to ramp up at an astonishing rate. "In the mid-90s it became a fever. We went from eight to 16 to 32 wavelengths on a single fiber and our latest products use 400. Now we have just demonstrated 1,000 wavelengths," Glass noted.

Dense wavelength division multiplexing (DWDM) is a technology that puts data from different sources together on an optical fiber, with each signal carried on its own separate light wavelength. Using DWDM, up to 80 (and theoretically more) separate wavelengths or channels of data can be multiplexed into a lightstream transmitted on a single optical fiber. In a system with each channel carrying 2.5 Gbps (billion bits per second), up to 200 billion bits can be delivered a second by the optical fiber. DWDM is also sometimes called wave division multiplexing (WDM).

Since each channel is demultiplexed at the end of the transmission back into the original source, different data formats being transmitted at different data rates can be transmitted together. Specifically, Internet (IP) data, SONET data, and ATM data can all be travelling at the same time within the optical fiber.

DWDM promises to solve the "fiber exhaust" problem and is expected to be the central technology in the all-optical networks of the future. DWDM replaces time-division multiplexing (TDM) as the most effective optical transmission method. Although TDM is the primary approach in today's networks, DWDM systems are expected to be tested and deployed in late 1998 and 1999. http://www.wiredbrain.net/dwdm.htm

Selected Links

Web ProForum hosts a tutorial on DWDM from Lucent Technologies. Lucent Technologies offers its WaveStar OLS 400G, a system that provides up to 400 Gbps over a single fiber and, in its maximum eight-fiber configuration, can transmit 3.2 trillion bits per second.

DWDM uses individual segments of the optical spectrum to multiplex signals on a fiber.

The idea is recent, considered at first to be a laboratory curiosity since practical systems were already multiplexing channels with a time-division technique. Such synchronous optical networks (Sonet) had been able to extend the capacity of optical fiber and were a welcome development.

The wavelength-division multiplexing route has turned out to have far more potential: Bell Labs researchers recently demonstrated a DWDM transmission system capable of sending a terabit of data per second down a fiber. "That represents the entire world's Internet on a single glass fiber," Glass said.

The DWDM revolution has been extremely swift. When Lucent Technologies was established, DWDM was still at the laboratory demonstration stage. While the idea is simple, turning it into practical optical communications systems required a multifaceted development. Multiple-wavelength laser-diode systems and new types of fiber able to carry the multiple wavelength signals without crosstalk had to be developed. And some means of collectively amplifying multiwavelength signals had to be invented. While those problems were effectively solved in a short time, it wasn't easy. Indeed, one outstanding problem has never been solved: how to regenerate multiple wavelength signals.

Large areas

One consequence of that missing solution is the fact that DWDM can only be implemented on campus-wide or metropolitan areas. By doping fiber with the rare-earth element erbium, it is possible to build a simple light amplifier that is essentially a laser. When a multiple wavelength signal is passed through an erbium fiber loop and optically pumped, it emerges unchanged except that it is at a higher energy level. One nice aspect of this operation is that the actual content of the wavelength channels is irrelevant to the amplification process. Unfortunately, to recondition optical signals, it becomes necessary to decode their content and relaunch them. Thus signal regeneration, which is essential in long-haul networks, is still unavailable to DWDM.

Balancing this deficiency in very long transmissions is a new wave of all-optical switching elements that are able to add or remove a wavelength channel from a fiber.

These add-drop multiplexers offer a high-speed switching function that could not be duplicated with electronics, and have made metropolitan-area networks into a unique flexible, high-throughput communications medium.

This essentially new form of photonics technology is spawning an industry in optical switching components. "Now people can invent a novel device that relates to communications and it will find its way into products extremely rapidly-less than a year," said Glass. "We are now in a situation of 'invent on demand' where as soon as a problem is perceived, someone immediately comes up with a solution."

Finisar Launches Optical Edge Switch For Metropolitan Markets Finisar, a developer of gigabit rate optical link extenders, components and network analyzers, is also developing a DWDM-based aggregation system for extending Fibre Channel SANs and Gigabit Ethernet LANs across metropolitan fiber networks. http://www.finisar.com/

Finisar's fiber optic systems include GBIC transceivers,optical multiplexers and link extenders, protocol analyzers and data generators for Gigabit Ethernet and Fibre Channel networks. http://www.finisar.com/products/prodframe.htm

This explosive growth poses a formidable challenge to electronics technology. "If you compare the speed of silicon chips versus the capacity of optical fiber communications, fiber optics is going significantly faster than electronics, and where the fiber ends-that becomes a significant bottleneck." Glass is convinced that fiber to the home office and then fiber to the home are just around the corner. "We have a demonstration project going with Bell South where we have wired up a suburban neighborhood with little fiber-optic network units on the side of each house," he said.

Dealing with the high volumes of data that are coming off optical fibers will present a big challenge to electronics. Fortunately, wavelength-division multiplexing eases that task since each wavelength can be processed simultaneously by different circuits. Ultimately, electronics and optics technologies offer complementary abilities: "Optics is ideal for transporting data from point A to point B, but it is weak in the area of logic and switching," Glass pointed out. "That is where we will need electronics."

Copyright c 2000 CMP Media Inc. By Chappell Brown

The world economic summit is less interesting because the big and powerful are less interesting.

The rate of technological has multiplied on itself because computers can work faster and communications are better therefore computers and communications becomes faster and faster. My guess is that optic fiber to the door will make on-air or cable broadcasting uneconomic - video on demand will replace it - the program producers will distribute directly to the consumer - like in MP3 - the video store goes on line -

The move producer - such as Blair Witch could be sold directly - same with any show or news or whatever - so there goes networks - maybe even magazine writers with direct sales -

Wireless systems can get up to 400 kps to a million somehow -

Corning wants to turn glass to cash By Phil Harvey Redherring.com, February 17, 2000

http://www.redherring.com/insider/2000/0217/tech-corning021700.html

http://www.redherring.com/insider/1999/0903/inv-components.html

http://www.wiredbrain.net/symbian.htm for a lot of applications that is fine - and OS chip technology will make greater use of less and less with less energy and heat - more light and lighter -

code division multiple access (CDMA) technology.

HP is investing $2 million in New Media Venture Partners (NMVP) and will provide up to $15 million in debt financing to help the company fund and incubate e-commerce start-ups. In return, subsidiaries of NMVP will use HP products and services.

If I were a high technology company - in information systems, computers, communications or any part of the 25 % of the economy - and almost all the growth sector - now including networks - broadcasting - publishing - entertainment - music - video - electronics - service - I would have a venture capital connection so I could send people out and find out what is going on.

The battle for the airwaves is not just about broadband but the content - software and services. If you put a few hundred thousand in interesting technologies you gain access to information.

There is almost a certainty that something will come from left field and change all the rules again.

Cable is too slow and greedy.

The telephone companies too slow and bureaucratic. Both have shown a preference for short term gains rather than long term survival. Microsoft is showing the same brain arthritis - inflexible - such as IBM was - GM and other big and rich - missed every important technology - but could buy it after it had been proven. That may or may not be possible. .

http://www.wiredbrain.net/nano.htm

The most common wireless transmission standard, GSM, which stands for Global Systems for Mobile communications, is particularly prevalent in Europe and Asia. According to market research firm Dataquest, nearly 157 million GSM-based mobile phones will be shipped worldwide this year, compared with shipments of about 43 million CDMA cell phones.

But many industry observers say CDMA, strongest in North America, is more efficient and can handle Internet-based transmissions better.

There is also time division and dense systems - I do believe the key is China - the PLA and post telegraph - along with the EU will set the standards.

--

What will happen tomorrow that effects your life today ????

Fiber Optics to the Home

Fiber optics has helped push the telecommunications system into hyperdrive. But only when fiber connections reach all the way into the home will the technology’s promise be fully realized. 

Current News from Excite search

Futures, forecasts, and fantasy :

re: ORCL, HP team with Utilities in Consortium to Fiber the Last Mile

http://www.infoworld.com/articles/hn/xml/00/01/24/000124hnutility.xml

"...taking advantage of the deregulated telecom industry, the small, tightly knit consortium will initially offer digital voice, TV, and Web hosting over fiber, under the name SpectraDyne Services. It includes Sierra Pacific Power Company, Hewlett-Packard, Oracle, and TelecommUnity Systems."

http://www.siliconinvestor.com/stocktalk/subject.gsp?subjectid=29127

http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=FBCE+FIBR+JDSU+MRVC+OPTC+OPTX+ORTL+POCI+SCMR&d=t

The following image need to be firmly in mind to understand the AOL/ Time Warner deal - and the frenzy going on in telecommunications and computer industries.

The time frame is about 10 years - the impact comes first in Northern Europe - Singapore - parts of the states - parts of Hong Kong and China - Japan - Taiwan - South East Asia - Australia ( already with system under construction )

http://www.wiredbrain.net/nano.htm

There is optic to the door provided by the utility company. It is a common carrier providing:

 TV programs on demand on a big flat screen digital high definition system - programs are recorded and played as you desire, when you desire on any of the screens around the wired house you desire.

There is no need for program schedules - movies and other video content are downloaded on demand from world wide services. Some charge fees some are free with or without ads. You can watch the BBC news or CNN or C-span type programs any time.

There is no need for movie or music channels since you can order anything you want anytime.

The same with music, either rented for a limited number of replays, or purchased and transferred to CD or DVD -

The same with interactive media - games and educational services for the wired " smart" house - When you leave the security system goes on - with complete radar monitoring of any motion with recording of motion, the heat or AC is turned down, when you click from your cell phone that you are returning home - the lights and heat or AC is reset, the music turned on and the doors unsecured.

The cell phone - palm pilot - personal digital assistant works at 400 kbps to 4 Mbs with GPS, e-mail and other web content, fold up or screen keyboards, long life batteries, high gain reception of dense multiplex time division wideband GS3 codes. Europe, with its common GSM standard, will likely usher in "3G" technologies (with their 2 megabit/second data to pockets) years before it happens in the U.S.' fragmented cellular environment. And fast wireless data will surely usher in many new Opportunities. - http://www.pathfinder.com/fortune/technology/2000/01/24/ega.html). 

Web Hosting

>

XML: the most powerful productivity tool ever imaged:

I can write this text, I could insert picture or sound. I can create links ( hyper- links ) or imbedded functions ( scripts in several languages ) - e-mail it or post it to a web site that has scripts to run different functions. It is getting easier but still has lots of bugs.

Microsoft is again in a catch up position. Power corrupts and the lack of real time painful competition is what corrupted power means.

The NOISE group of Netscape, Oracle, IBM, Sun Microsystems, Corel and Everyone else had the model right years ago. With bandwidth ( such as private networks - intranets, extra-nets, and other high speed networks ) the network becomes the system. Each member of the system - clients and servers are integrated through common languages or objects.

When you open a web page, hypertext and imbedded objects can connect functions - edit, ( word processing ) analyze ( search, data bases ) and interoperate with each other using voice, images, data and text.

The idea is that a person interested in the service manual for a piece of equipment or operational system - a service engineer or client at a PC, or in the field using a lap top, wireless phone or other device not only could look up information but order parts, update systems, see graphic display, talk to experts, hold a meeting between the consultant and the providers and the home system would gather information about what is going on and what works and what doesn’t.

Providers of services - software, engineering, analysis, B2B, OEM, etc.. could all deal with each other using different languages, platforms and systems. This is the most powerful productivity tool ever imaged. System can adjust and improve in real time. A contractor in the field can order supplies from the best low cost provider, check delivery, pay accounts, check balances, talk to sub-contractors, revise plans and schedules, have the design changed and fixed, and 1000 and more details. No one can build a house without a cell phone - can any service be provided without real time communications ?

Who can do this unless they spend lots of money for services and software ?

The service providers can MS.net, oracle.net, IBM.net Sun.net, AOL.net, apple.net, excite.net, go.net, yahoo.net, - plug and play just like the cell phone. For $ 50 a month your ISP becomes an interactive system to other services.

The contractor enters his phone book, calendar, and buys services from engineers, accountants, and get free services from suppliers, banks, sub contractors, etc. Those connected have a great advantage over those out of the loop.

How about a search attached to stories.

The idea of references is still useful but you can also do a up to the minute search by a hyper text link that includes the key words -

http://nt.excite.com/ntd.dcg?UID=A61BAC843351654C;page=create

http://nt.excite.com/ntd.dcg?UID=A61BAC843351654C&page=show&topic=Nano%20Technology&sb=summary

Windows in the cloudy sky:

What Microsoft wants to do is control the servers with a MS provided next, next generation NT platform operating system called XML but not open and universal.

The .net system works with devices that have .net codes built it. Microsoft products will run on .net as a server - client interface - XML files, XML data base, XML storage, XML index, id, calendar, updates, notifications, out in the cloud on MS XML server software doing object imbedded codes.

The applications become notations or services on the page.

The universal canvas API. Hardware drives, across all the devices and the .net controller in the a cloud. Development applications are built on the XML kits connected to the browser. This was Netscape’s vision from the beginning.. This is why MS had to kill Netscape and the NOISE group and what the browser wars was really about.

The platform is in the sky - Microsoft idea is the new version of what Netscape and SUN - the NOISE group ( Netscape, Oracle, IBM, Sun, and Everyone else ) started talking about five years ago.

The server ( web site ) company internets, the ISP, wireless devices, i-appliances, game panels, can all use audio, video, photograph, office applications - word process, presentation, spread sheets, data bases, in a interactive way using a server AGENT or personalized options given the application, the device used, and the pattern of application - on a rental or fee-for-service basics. In other words all the complex stuff is up stream - rich standards based on XML works between platforms and programs but at the server not on the PC - This is the critical and profound change.

The server in the cloud does the transfer and integration - is the platform in the sky that can work with all kinds of devices. It can take a record from one place in one format and uses it in another program in a different format guided by the smart agent. Information can be used almost anywhere from almost anywhere.

The devices can use keyboards, mouse, voice, hand writing, file transfer, clip board, as inputs as well as agent intelligence on the server and user interface.

Not news - cloudy vision part two :

http://www.wired.com/news/lycos/0,1306,37168,00.html

Gates for the first time emphasized the Web browser as the central application of computing. Echoing remarks made by counterparts Marc Andreessen and Scott McNealy four years ago, Gates said the network is even more important than the computer.

http://www.microsoft.com/presspass/topics/f2k/default.asp

Microsoft is creating an advanced new generation of software that will meld computing and communications in revolutionary new ways; offer every developer the tools to transform the Web and all other aspects of the computing experience; and enable businesses, knowledge workers and consumers to employ technology on their own terms.

See cloudy vision in http://www.wiredbrain.net/gates.htm

year Bill Gates ( reference to HTML ) Building Internet Applications Professional Developers Conference San Francisco -- March 13, 1996 http://www.wiredbrain.net/bill-g.htm

Maybe the only place to find these remarks

Continued on

post.htmVAT initiative.htm

issues.htm

symbian.htm

salestax.htm

educational reform.htm

The home terminal - NEXUM - provides wireless ( bluetooth ) connection to the mobile elements, TV, music, games, information systems with voice commands. You say " Write a note" and dictate as it appears on the big screen. You correct with the portable keyboard that is used for interactive TV.

The master computer works within a network "master server in the sky" to provide services you need or enjoy. Shopping, banking, tele-communities, video conferences, design and research, games and social activities, travel and adventure, and tuned to your interests and desires.

The master server bills for usage in micro pennies for "extras" but charges a flat fee for "basic services". Several master server companies compete for services on the common carrier -

The services are not tied to the wire - optic cable - so there are two bills - one for connection services - the wireless and wired ( optic ) and another from the service company that passes along charges for rentals, fee for service charges, software licenses, communications on and off net, as we do today with local and long distance phone services and premium cable services.

Where is the money made ? Optic fiber hardware - mobile hardware, utility company right-of-way and network services, the "general utility service company" maybe AOL, Microsoft, NOISE group ( Netscape, Oracle, IBM, Sun Microsystems and everyone else ) Amazon, or others which provides the interface between the user and service providers - banks, insurance, finance and markets, shopping, software and music and games and movies and communications, and entertainment, security, smart home management, and on and on...

The super on-line service using optic fiber to the door.

http://www.wiredbrain.net/nexum.htm

The Stock Market Game


The

new tech search

on hot companies it's a great site -

how about quantum computing

? http://www.foresight.org/

Borders, periphery, frontiers:

Internet.com
Key word "infrastructure" http://www.wiredbrain.net/information.htm

All Boiled down on CONVERGENCE AOL: the super market of the world

What does AOL Time Warner ( and Wal-Mart, & some Computer terminal company and cable modem or broadband connection ) mean for the future of global society ? What is the image they pursue ? http://www.wiredbrain.net/image.htm

CONVERGENCE: Interactive television, combining audio telephone, video conference and cable or satellite TV, video on demand, all designed to advertise and sell on the spot all kinds of good and services.

What is called "entertainment" on television is different from plays, or movies or theme parks or games or sports because the role of "content" is only to attract an audience so they can be sold something.

The job of television is sales - not news or information or entertainment which are only provided so people watch and can be sold something.

The role of AOL / Time Warner will be not only to sell others goods but direct sales.

Their dream is the click and buy advantages of two way communications.

In the process cable or other broadband can replace a good share of long distance voice, video rentals, VPN virtual private networks, if and only if, the broadband connections really works then personal computers become network devices or http://www.wiredbrain.net/NEXUM.htm a multipurpose communications and entertainment console.

AOL Time Warner believe that whatever the method for the broadband connections they will control the content.

The contact rates - for cable, telephone, Internet and video on demand provide cash flows that support the capital for improved networks and on-line sales provide the profits.

It's not only that you can buy your tooth paste from the commercial ( click here to add it to your Wal-mart order ) but you might get free samples for filling out forms. You can add with a click to your grocery list. People really will buy travel deals, change banks or brokers, buy records after getting MP3 samples, select household gadgets, buy gifts, use auctions, even pick appliances and cars.

They will seek better mortgage and insurance rates, look for a new house, and a thousand other products and services.

http://www.wiredbrain.net/disintermedation.htm

disintermediation means becoming the middle person between the buyer and seller. On-line systems such as Amazon.com means direct sales take on a whole new meaning. I would look for a Amazon Wal-mart connection if not merger.

http://dailynews.yahoo.com/h/nm/20000131/tc/ti_chip_1.html

Broadband frequencies allow high-capacity data transmission.

Broadband Race Is on the Rise in Hong Kong

Last week, the Hong Kong government took another step to open further the telecom market to competition by issuing a total of 17 fixed network licenses (5 licenses for wireless local fixed telecommunications network services (FTNS), and another 12 licenses for external FTNS using satellites).

The licenses will last for 15 years, with an option to extend for another 15 years. In addition, the government has agreed to issue an FTNS license to Hong Kong Cable TV to provide telecom services over its hybrid fiber-coaxial cable networks.

http://www.yankeegroup.com/webfolder/yg21a.nsf/latestnews/Broadband+Race+Is+on+the+Rise+in+Hong+Kong

The battle of the air waves is just not between cable modems ( which don't work very well ) and DSL which has many problems and is priced too high. Optic fiber to the door and new wideband line of sight or some technology using power lines may jump ahead. It's a tough call to invest billions per day.

The dense urban markets, the rural markets, the issues in China and other world markets, all may not have the same solution. Satellite systems have a role, but it seems the analysis is too tightly drawn in the box - there are sure to be out of the box answers.

``Wireless Internet devices will not only capture some existing PC applications but introduce brand new applications that the desk-top PC has no way to handle today,'' Engibous told a Tokyo seminar on the company's strategy.

``I think the availability of a wireless device that is online all the time with broadband data capability...offers the possibility of applications that Silicon Valley'' is just beginning to dream about, he added.

With next-generation mobile phone services, users will be able to surf the Web, check and respond to e-mail, conduct videoconferences and use new mobile services such as e-commerce, he said.

Next-generation mobile phone services will be offered in Japan beginning in the spring of 2001, and later in other parts of the world.

http://www.fwdconcepts.com/

Broadband in the Local Loop 98:

Cable Modem Madness vs. xDSL Dementia http://www.fwdconcepts.com/brdbnd98.htm

New Study Concludes G.lite not enough to overcome advantages and head start of cable modems http://www.fwdconcepts.com/press13.htm

According to the study, cable modems will win the lion's share of the residential broadband market, outnumbering DSL modems 5:1 in North American and 2.6:1 worldwide by the year 2003.

The five-year growth rate for cable modems is forecast to be 93% in North America and 114% in other regions.

The Study concludes that the rollout plans announced by the telcos are unrealistically

optimistic, that the services are too high-priced for the mainstream residential market, and face many technical and regulatory hurdles--oft overlooked in the excitement of bringing in a new age of high speed IP-based telecommunications. Forward Concepts also believes that splitterless DSL still has many technical unknowns, and that its suitability as a "universal" service is still open to question.

DSL services also jeopardize existing, highly profitable, data communications services, further reducing motivation for rollout by the telcos.

The cable companies, in contrast, see IP-video, IP telephony, Internet access, and remote LAN access as pure incremental upside revenue opportunities, unencumbered by existing services.

Part-time remote consulting:

Advanced technology will affect the way we work, learn, play, trade and shop, and form communities. I would like to work with organizations that want to get ahead of the curve in both the learning and technology game.

I have been following technology for many years and really have a good feel and record in forecasting and analysis. I would like to work with other on the NEXUM project and study the effects of http://www.wiredbrain.net/nano.htm and a few other pages

I could do remote education and training - project projections - systems analysis or just communicate with a group, motivational manager, thinking out of the box, win-win, future, and other ideas.

AOL can do what Sears did.

The Sears brands were produced by OEM ( original equipment manufactures ) with Sears keeping a very tight control of quality and margins. Many of their providers became dependents. B2B means the intermediary can arrange shipments from the provider to the buyer and become the super market of the world.

Life and cognizance exists on the edge of quantum and classical physics.

The very small ( nano ) works by most extraordinary rules - objects have properties that allow them to move from here to there without going through the intermediate space. Time is not linear and space bends. Objects themselves appear, take on properties, and then change their character and reappears in a different form.

At the atomic and molecular level the connections can be open and creative rather than mechanical and determined. Uncertainty is a fundamental prerequisite of creativity and life itself.

A really clever computer working with uncertainly could work at this level and have some sort of consciousness. This would be an interesting invention of this century.

http://www.foresight.org/cgi-bin/aglimpse?query=quantum&relpath=&errors=0&age=&maxfiles=50&maxlines=30

quantum dots (or single-electron transistors), quantum wells, quantum wires, spin transistors or arrays of all these devices.

low power quantum electronics, and high bandwidth photonics are of special interest, as are the demonstrations of space subsystems based on these technologies. http://www.aero.org/conferences/micro-nano/

Candidate technologies receiving attention include various quantum functional devices, quantum computing, DNA computing, and molecular electronics explained for molecular diode switches, molecular transistors, and molecular logic gates.

This talk would provide an overview on one such candidate technology based on carbon and other nanotubes.

the novel Quantum Cascade Laser (QCL), which differs in design from traditional laser diodes.

This treatment burned out the protein shell and yielded two dimensional arrays of inorganic iron oxide dots on the Si wafer.

The size and repeat distance of the dots were 6 and 12 nm, respectively, as measure by FE-SEM and AFM. As the diameter of the iron oxide dots is only 6 nm, this two imensional array of inorganic iron oxide dots has a potential to be used as quantum dots. Feasibility study of the application of this dot array to the structure of semiconductor memory is now in progress.

suggestions: FIRST:

The list of companies in tele-communications

http://telecom.tbi.net/network1.htm

Wiredbrain Future new news and private research service by GlobalVillages provides research on and the future ??? 
Don't be blind to what others are doing and what they know about what you are up to AT FROM: 
wiredbrain@earthlink.netSynergy Group message board

Wiredbrain Synergy Group message board

Who will keep you informed on the events just around the next bend. In the past it was OK to let others forge the way. You could wait to see how it turned out then buy your way in after the bugs had been removed. Pioneers got arrows in their backs. BUT now we are all on the frontier and can't wait until the dust settles.

Dr. Pflaum ( for a fee ) will research the events and technologies that will effect your future and give you reports and advice.

Symbian, Palm Combine To Outflank Microsoft http://www.techweb.com/wire/story/TWB19991013S0003 http://www.zdnet.com/pcweek/stories/news/0,4153,2347754,00.html

People who purchase a PC with the belief that computer literacy is not necessary are kidding themselves. Still, millions of people, including my grandparents, are buying PCs with the mistaken notion that they're no more difficult to operate than VCRs. Many PC owners don't know how to do the basic tasks, such as installing software and hardware and defragmenting a disk drive. And God help them if they ever have to reinstall the operating system. Making the PC easier to maintain would require the companies that produce the operating systems, software and hardware to work together in harmony. This will never happen.

It's a problem crying out for a solution. And it's not hard to imagine one: What if I told you that I could provide you with a solid-state device a quarter of the size of a PC that had no moving parts to break? You could run 50 software titles such as Word, WordPerfect, Lotus SmartSuite, Quattro Pro and Quicken, as well as games. You would never have to upgrade those applications because they would be upgraded for you. With this device, you could watch more than 175 cable channels and select from thousands of movie titles that you could watch either on the machine or on the TV in your living room.

This device would have a hard drive so large that you could never fill it up. And you never would have to back up files again because they would be backed up for you every night. If lightning hit this device while you were using it out by the pool, you might lose some hair and skin, but you wouldn't lose data—and I could overnight you another machine.

There would be no problems with an operating system, hardware drivers or other software. You would simply plug it into your cable box, and you're ready to go.

Services for the masses

In the near future, services such as these will replace the PC for millions of people who were never cut out to be PC administrators. Thin-client operating systems, such as Citrix MetaFrame running on MS Terminal Server, combined with ISDN, ADSL or cable modem Internet access, will inevitably be the basis of a virtual PC service that will revolutionize the industry.

Instead of buying a PC, you would pay the company a monthly fee, and the company would send you a Winterm device that plugs into your new high-bandwidth Internet connection, which links to its service. After powering it on, you would simply hit "connect" and your personalized GUI desktop would pop up on the screen. You could instantly run hundreds of applications without installing anything. Any time you saved files, they'd actually be saved to a server's hard drives, which would be backed up every night. Combine these services with an e-mail account, and watch PC sales plummet. After all, who would want to buy a PC with software that had to be upgraded every year, if you could hire a service to take care of the mess? Many corporations, tired of the cost and IS staff required to manage hundreds of PCs, would jump on it.

The technology to build a virtual PC service is here today. Other technologies, such as movies on demand, are probably a few years out.

The advent of virtual computing will shift the entire PC infrastructure with such momentum that the PC as we know it today will be used only by a group of oddballs: "computer" people.

Brett Arquette is chief technology officer for the 9th Judicial Circuit Court, Orange and Osceola counties, in Florida. He can be reached at barq@iag.net.

http://www.spaceports.com/~sparkg/wavs/pinky/battle.wav

http://www.spaceports.com/~sparkg/

http://www.ferretsoft.com/netferret/images/downloads4.gif

Ferret finds 1500 Wiredbrain "pflaump" web pages

COPERNIC searches all the main engines very quickly

Make PORTALS your home page and use "wiredbrain" password "synergy" for set-up start pages.

Alltheweb does as it claims to be fast and large

FAST Web Search Web Search

Most search engines now find about 30 % of the 350 million pages. So you need to check many engines.

  

Get Gooey!

What science knows

MSN search now does the best job MSN now does the best search

OUR Social ergonomics

Individual development, organizational change, and In the computer industry, power comes not from the barrel of a gun but from the interface of a

Protocol:

He who controls the interface controls the system.

Wiredbrain's Symbian homepage

As I understand IT , a new type of technology using Time Synchronization Systems Through DCF77 or GPS signal and using a 10,000 MHTZ chip can transmit MEGA-BITS the last mile. In synergy with solid state atomic level MEMORY TECHNOLOGY data moves from FROM MEGA-BIT TO GIGA-BIT per second. High Speed processors adapted from TERCOM - terrain contour matching 10,000 MHz chip used in the cruise missile terrain following "smart bombs" or using guided radio waves or laser beam targeting based on rapid image recognition.

NEW DEVELOPMENTS IN STORAGEAccording to CMR ( http://www.cmruk.com/cmrinventions.html ), Professor Ted Williams and his team are able to store 86 gigabytes per square centimeter, and to read and write this data at 100 megabits/second. While few details are available while their patents are pending, CMR does indicate that the process, funded in part by the UK Department of Trade and Industry, exploits a new family of metal alloys to create, "...a magneto-optical system not dissimilar to that of CD-ROM, except that the system is fixed, solid state, and has a different operating approach."

Symbian joint venture between Psion, Nokia, Ericsson, Matsushita and Motorola will be a connection between smart mobile phones and Internet-ready games such as the consoless Sony’s PlayStation 2

For Example: Dialpad.com is the world's first free Java-based web-to-phone service. With Dialpad.com, you can make unlimited free phone calls to anybody in the US as long as the other party has a valid phone number. Dialpad.com works just like your own telephone. You can make phone calls to any phone number in the US. Furthermore, you don't need to manually download and install any software. You can make any call while your are browsing the Internet and it is FREE!

weirdbrain ' (wîrd) adj., weird·er, weird·est. Of, relating to, or suggestive of the preternatural or supernatural. Of a strikingly odd or unusual character; strange. Archaic. Of or relating to fate or the Fates. n.

Fate; destiny. One's assigned lot or fortune, especially when evil. Often Weird. Greek Mythology. Roman Mythology. One of the Fates. weird'ly adv. weird'ness n. SYNONYMS: weird, eerie, uncanny, unearthly.

These adjectives refer to what is of a mysteriously strange, usually frightening nature. Weird may suggest the operation of supernatural influences, but it may also be applied to what is merely odd or unusual: “

The person of the house gave a weird little laugh” (Charles Dickens). “

There is a weird power in a spoken word” (Joseph Conrad). Something eerie inspires inexplicable fear or uneasiness that seems to result from a sinister influence: “At nightfall on the marshes, the thing was eerie and fantastic to behold” (Robert Louis Stevenson). Uncanny refers to what is unnatural and peculiarly unsettling: “

The queer stumps . . . had uncanny shapes, as of monstrous creatures, whose eyes seemed to peer out at you” (John Galsworthy). Something unearthly seems so strange and unnatural as to come from or belong to another world: “He could hear the unearthly scream of some curlew piercing the din” (Henry Kingsley).

http://www.compaq.com/rcfoc/index.html Does the term "Network Computer" sound familiar...?

* Another Broadband Alternative -- More acronyms: LMDS and MMDS.

These are technologies for deploying high speed Internet access using broadcast radio waves -- think of it as wireless cable or wireless DSL. A few areas, such as New York City and Silicon Valley, already have some limited implementations. But according to the Oct. 26 New York Times (http://www.nytimes.com/library/tech/yr/mo/biztech/ http://www.nytimes.com/library/tech/yr/mo/biztech/ articles/26internet-wireless.html), a new big-name consortium led by Cisco plans to give cable and DSL companies a run for their broadband money -- and they point out that their terrestrial radio-based MMDS (Multichannel Multipoint Distribution Service) solution doesn't require digging up any streets or placing equipment in the difficult-to-enter telephone company offices. (A tutorial on MMDS and related technologies is at http://www.webproforum.com/wire_broad/topic10.html http://www.webproforum.com/wire_broad/topic10.html ). Behind the news: a common thread of interconnectedness NEWSTRACKER new technology

Imagine a fat monitor or a hand held device or using i-Burst broadband Internet protocol technology a card which is a personal linking device that plugs into the electrical energy fields system and a USB ( universal serial Bus ) modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog ) that creates the connection to the life force.

The device can carry talk, pictures, e-mail, white board functions.

The device can charge expenses, such as parking, travel, meals, and pay by use applications.

Crank up the broadband

Third-generation services are coming

soon to a mobile phone near you --

but first the platforms and standards

have to be resolved.

Electricity made mass production, telephones, photographs, radio, TV, and computers possible, and now powers the internet. Packets replace circuits, self fixing double encoded packets travel fast and faster.

The Personal Communications Utility or Appliance PCU, PCA, or PAD ( personal access device ) or NC ( network computer ) plugs into a pipeline that connects you to the backbone of the internet.

A machine called NEXUM High Speed Internet by Soliton

http://www.wiredbrain.net/nano.htm

http://www.wiredbrain.net/symbian.htm

http://www.wiredbrain.net/broadband.htm

http://www.wiredbrain.net/dwdm.htm

The comprehensive, omnibus, all-embracing, all-encompassing, across-the-board, INCLUSIVE, EXTENSIVE widespread, epidemic, GENERAL international, world-wide, global, cosmic, UNIVERSAL, UBIQUITOUS appliance device, mechanical contraption, gadget, gismo, CONTRIVANCE doodad, doohickey, thingy, thingamabob, thingamajig, that we all will carry around. At the counter in Wal-Mat it connects quickly by infra-red link to the charge ( debit ) machine.

The true paper-less banking. What do we have ? What did we buy ? How much did it cost on record.

We talk to it. Call home. Get personal mail. Check on the price of dry wall. What is the quote on 20 year fixed term money ? Where do I go next ? How do I get there ? Call ahead and confirm I will be 10 minutes late. What’s on the menu, reserve the table by the window and order ahead. Who has the best price on or for or going - on anything ? Who wants to buy or sell ? How is the car doing ? Can I fly to Jerusalem in the morning and rent a car and get a hotel and make appointments ?

When connected to a terminal I can type or see better - out of the digital airwaves or on cable or on optic fiber in Africa to China down-links and up links with nodes and storage NEW DEVELOPMENTS IN STORAGE and services at my command charges by the micro-penny. Always on with a flat connection fee.

How our packets travel is the trillion dollar question; digital cell phones, broadband, on the electric wires, cable, optic fiber,  DSL or all of the above ?

The news tracker connection then runs everything .

The Star Office 5.1 is a good example. It runs on open platforms and can be updated, reconfigured to include sound and video telephones, and doesn't need to be completely installed on every terminal but can run off the system network.

In doing web pages, Netscape Composer, MS FrontPage, and Star Office use different forms of code, HTTP ( hypertext ) different Java scripts, and can mess each other and the author up. Now since they ( Netscape ( AOL ) and Sun - part of the NOISE group, Netscape, Oracle, IBM, Sun and everyone else - ) are enemies they may intend to screw each other with the author in the middle.

How about http://www.wiredbrain.net/battle.wav

and too many other changes that work here but not there - audio plug-ins, ActiveX, virtual machines, XML, etc. Etc..

This is why the complex stuff has to be up-stream on the server if the communications systems can communicate with each other. 

The system knows where you are (GPS), who you are ( IP) and what you are ( kind of device you are using ) and what you want - voice, e-mail, conference, word processor, accounts, pay a bill, collect a bill etc.

The standards have to be set by SOMEONE - it can’t be done by a voluntary committee as in the good old non commercial days when the DOD and NSF controlled the net. It can’t be done by government ( too slow ) IT has to be global - the EU and Asia are involved - sometimes well ahead.

The WWW system standard was set at CERN - and the UN or a global trade or international postal telecommunications agreement could set up a fast working body the approve PROTOCALS. Now MS does the global job but is clearly not neutral or trustworthy, since it is worth a good share of the almost trillion dollars in systems sales.

Tomorrow's story today: Wiredbrain's Reports from the future:

Technological waves for the next 20 years

StarOffice 5 is a free download from Sun microsystems at

http://www.sun.com/

65 MB without recover ( not easy the CD is $10 plus shipping http://www.sun.com/products/staroffice/get.html

StarOffice has a fully integrated set of powerful applications that provides Microsoft Office compatible word processing, spreadsheet, graphic design, presentations, HTML editor, mail/news reader, scheduler, and database functions. With the release of the new 5.1 version for worldwide distribution, StarOffice provides significant performance and feature upgrades that improve user experience and productivity.

How is systems analysis different

from what has been used in the last 40 years. It is more colorful and has more dimensions.

It becomes much more complex where there are many clients, with many applications, using different languages and protocols. A great server should ask and how do we establish an interface, what language do you use, what program do you want, what operating system does it use, and can I remember all this the next time we make contact ?

Amazon.com has shown the way within one set of protocols of how to be client centric. Every store both e and non-e, should be able to track several open ended data bases - inventory, catalog, store, client, sales person, so as to show what exists and who is buying it. Wal-mart and Builders Square, Office supply and Sears should have a the catalog and inventory on line at the cash registrar and on-line for the buyers with items, pictures, prices as well as complete lists of any clients or sales person’s recorded sales. It world make it a lot easier for contractors or anyone buying many different items.

A friendly server would connect such data bases to user applications such as financial records and market research. Can any client using different tools access open records for different purposes, in different languages ? Can suppliers or comparative shoppers or programs that search for best buys ? How would the Nexum, a simple communications device, use server software to find the best buy ? Who do you compare features ? Models, grades, standards, ? All kinds of applications not invented need to glide easily into existing systems.

StarOffice 5.1 includes:

          StarOffice Writer for document editing,

            StarOffice Calc for creating spreadsheets,

            StarOffice Impress for creating presentations,

            StarOffice Draw and StarImage for creating vector and bit-mapped graphics,

            StarOffice Schedule for managing calendars and to-do lists,

            StarOffice Mail for handling e-mail,

            StarOffice Base for creating interfaces to databases,

            StarOffice Discussion for reading Internet news, and

            StarOffice Math for creating complex formulas,

            StarOffice Workplace for creating a desktop environment

http://www.sun.com/smi/Press/sunflash/9908/sunflash.990831.2.html

http://www.sun.com/dot-com/staroffice.html

It's really good !

The integration of text, http editor, spreadsheets, presentations, drawing, mail, frames, work folders, database, global documents, diagrams, images, formula, is really MUCH better than Office and word.

And it's free

Research methods for the Internet:

Many students and professionals now use the Internet as a primary research tool.

There are some simple methods to take advantage of some of the new technology which enable the research to create multi-search engine archives and move fairly smoothly through the better sites. Since most browses limit bookmarks and are prejudice in the use of search engines, commercial interest now overwhelm academic or professional standards and interest.

First you need some basic tools - the Internet connection, explorer and Netscape ( why not both ? )

Then look at http://www.wiredbrain.net/portals.htm for a list of search engines. One should try the same search of about 5 to 10 words common in the area of your interest, on several to get an idea of their advantages and limitations.

Then find and down load:

http://www.copernic.com/netsonic/promo/

http://www.ferretsoft.com/netferret/index.html

The GO networks engine is too unstable and has banners and ads that get in the way but some people may find it useful and they may fix the problems.

http://express.infoseek.com/

After you have downloaded and saved these files - open them and check the options to set them for the browser you use, set the search for time and number limits.

All the multi-search work like http://www.multicrawl.com/

but keep you files so you don’t have to go back a fourth from the search page to the sites and back.

TAKING NOTES:

On most pages ( not too Long ) you can use "edit" select all, copy and paste to notebook or wordpad, then to Word or wordperfect word processor. By using an unformatted plain text insert you may avoid hard returns and other editing errors that will transfer with the text. Otherwise you have to remove the line returns or hard returns that break-up sentences and paragraphs. Otherwise you can highlight the parts you want and copy and paste. Images can be saved By using the right click in Netscape, view images, files save as, and in Explorer right click "save picture as" BE sure to give credit where credit is due.

Britain's Keele University, and from Cavendish Management Resources (CMR), of a "3-D Memory System" that promises 3.4 terabytes in a device the size of a credit card it costing about $48!!

Fast transportable records means a whole new world of record keeping and economic transactions. Indeed the time has come for Global Money as well as communications .

The concept of a virtual organization - of a transitory network of individuals coupled together by advanced communications technologies - continues to grow in prominence. However, a lack of detailed, real-world cases poses a significant problem when attempting to analyze the business potential of linking remote workers in patterns of virtual organization . Such a lack of examples is particularly acute within the small business sector. A case study of a UK-based SME - Cavendish Management Resources - is presented. Both practical and theoretical insights into new flexible patterns of organization in the small business sector are presented.FROM http://www.digital.com/rcfoc/

disintermediation

disintermediation Last updated on March 25, 1999

Dis-inter-mediation = remove the intermediary i.e. the middle people.

Skeleton Closet

http://www.realchange.org/

All the Dirt on All the Candidates -

Because character DOES matter

You've come to the right place for dirt, attitude and opinionated character reviews of all the Presidential Candidates.
http://www.wiredbrain.net/reform.htm

Starting with the Protestant reformation which removed "

The Church" as an intermediary between man and God, where faith and practice are founded on the principles of individual acceptance of the Bible as the sole source of revelation, in justification by faith alone, and in the universal priesthood of all the believers.

disintermediation was used in the American Revolution where the "king" was removed between man and the state.

disintermediation was used in banking when corporations raised their own money on the "money market" and brokers and "money managers" began to perform the functions of traditional banking. SEE DISTANCE for ways to remove the middlemen in your lives. Bill Gates used the idea in retail sales - direct links between buyer and producer - and direct provision of services - banking, broker, travel, being a few and removing the wholesale retail links and costs. http://www.wiredbrain.net/bill-g.htm

Real Reform.com

American Association for Constitutional Reform

The issue of structural reform does not appear as an issue any where I can find - even in third parties. As I see the issue is the 18th century electoral structure can not cope with a system of mass marketing and the money required to win in a big country.

The reform that is needed is to change the structure of the elections - a change from independent single member districts (

The Senate can not be changed in the current constitution ) to a system with clear party responsibility.

The parties need to be clearly a national franchise - with duties and responsibilities OVER their candidates and office holders. Being a Republican or Democrat has to mean something. If you run on a ticket there should be some implied contract. Many candidates do not even mention their party at all.

The national parties are now a committee of the states - equal representative by states so 15 % of the population has a majority.

There are many alternatives to achieve a responsible party system - some commitment to the platform and some disciple by members elected as members of a party.

Then there could be some control over money and have shorter and cleaner campaigns as in the rest of the civilized world.

The congress has become 535 independent small business people without much discipline or policy. All this talk about issues is hollow because the talk does not relate to what happens. In England for example the parties have a "manifesto" or platform that will predict how they will govern. We don't. So it's mostly verbiage and marketing. Promises her anything but what will be done after she is seduced ? People know that elections don't connect to policy - that policy is made by the iron triangle - Interest groups - the committees that fund for congress for reelection - and the agencies the congress funds and regulate. If you follow the money trail it goes to congress and then congress funds programs and give benefits - regulation, tax and subsidies - to those who fund their election.

The single ballot ( President and congress on the same check mark ) so there is some connection between executive and congressional authority is one suggestion. An amendment to make clear the federal power to regulate federal elections or just a statue taking control over federal office holders.

The only way to get to structural reform is via a convention called by the states since congress will not reform itself.

Real Reform: Restore confidence and pride in the Institutions of democracy:

Article II - electors and electoral college - is a time bomb - and needs to be replaced by new simple language - and a national orderly rational process of federal elections. Federal elections need to be federal - not a scramble of state rules, antique dysfunctional regulations and court decisions along with the changing results of infighting within fractional political parties.

The right to control federal elections by federal law should not be in doubt - this does now effect the bill of rights - but only the structure of he process of running elections.

In the electronic age we don’t need a horse and buggy system - it can be much fairer, faster, representative, and honest. Elections are the core of democracy - they can never be perfect but a dysfunctional system undermines the foundations of freedom and representative government.

Federal Elections in the Constitution:

In order to assure democracy and the faith of the people in their elected representatives; federal elections shall be conducted in a brief, honest, open, and equal manner that assure impartiality to both incumbents and their opposition and limit the undue influence of money. Congress shall prescribe by law for the election of all federal officials by the majority votes of federally qualified citizens of the congressional districts for the House of Representatives, the separate states for the Senate, and of the Citizens of United States for President and Vice-president.

The certification of results, the qualifications of voters and candidates, the times and dates of primaries and elections, the certification of recognized Political parties and their candidates and the conduct of campaigns financed by publicly regulated expenditures shall be prescribed by law to assure

freedom of political speech, competition, and the free expression of the will of the people in the selection of their Government. Where no candidate has a majority a run off shall be quickly conducted.

Upon enactment, This amendment become the supreme law of the land, not withstanding any prior constitutional or other legal decisions and past circumstances.

( replaces: Article I section 2 on the House section 3 and Amendment 17 on the Senate, Article II and Amendment 12 on the President and Vice-president )

Federal Laws and Constitutional Amendments:

Congress shall prescribe the terms and conditions for citizen initiative, or congressional referendum to be placed on the ballots of federal elections, as proposals for amendments under Article V, sent to the states, or laws to be enacted or as advisory to the states, the people and to congress.

This leaves to congress to control federal elections. I would like an election on the second Tuesday in November with a run off if necessary in the middle of November - with campaigns to start on labor day including the nomination process that could be done in 4 to 6 weeks.

The primaries could be done nationally in early September with a run off in the last week of September with conventions ( not really necessary ) during October (Enough is enough ) Federal campaigns would be publicly financed and limited in their expenditures.

Reporters, the media, are filters between the action and the reader - viewer. Internet journalism is more direct.

Representative government is partly an intermediary between the citizens and their public agencies. Forms of vouchers, scholarships, subsidies provide the user with market choices. Instead of  the government setting up a program the state provides tokens for purchase of services - training, health, education, being used now - there maybe room for more.

In communications - it means cutting the wire. Mobile data systems using a Universal Communications device.

Ladies of the evening cash in on the Net boom. One offshoot of the world's oldest profession improves its bottom line by eliminating the middleman. 

Finance Physics:

Of course, market prices are the result of foggy feeling, mass psychology called perceptions. BUT, over the longer run, basic economic principles and the laws of social physics will "correct" the difference between false perceptions and a harder reality.

In the current context the following will happen - the only question is when:

1.)

The misbalance between American growth and ECU’s struggles, Japan’s and Asia’s problems put pressure on the dollar because of the trade gap:

2.) Raw declines in the dollar forces increases in the interest rates dollar securities have to pay;

3.)

The higher cost of capital slows U.S. growth rates and forces a market "correction" of the irrational exuberance of speculative stocks .

We're moving toward a world of 1 billion connected computers sometime in the next decade," Grove said, saying it would represent some 20 percent of the world's population and a great opportunity" for the Pacific Rim.

The theme of "wiredbrain" is that the "new world orders" are global connections between utility network computers.

Like the human brain, the internet's packets system can reconfigure itself to work even after portions were destroyed. Using the noise-prone analog circuits of the time, it was impossible to build the necessary switches. Baran concluded that all the traffic would have to be digital. Moreover, the digital traffic would have to be broken into short message blocks now called

PACKAGES

This may work IF it's tied to and has the speed and graphics for GAMES - NINTENDO 64 , PLAYSTATION , SEGA SATURN , GAME BOY , GAME GEAR , SUPER NINTENDO, SEGA GENESIS ,etc. and interactive online games such as doom.

AOL and netscape plan a PAD ( personal access device )such as:

Wal-Mart Stores Inc. will soon be the purveyor of a new, $299 PC for first-time buyers. But don't expect cutting-edge technology.

The store, along with Kmart Corp. and Toys "R" Us Inc., will test market the new low-cost PC created by Global PC, a firm owned by Compu-DAWN Inc., maker of communications products such as the e.TV set-top box.

The blue-light specials are expected to begin in October.

The new PC is known internally at Global PC as the "Classic" because of its design. It comes with a full complement of the things people expect from a PC, including a chassis, keyboard, mouse and floppy drive. It's based around a 100MHz 486 processor from Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NYSE:AMD) and can be used with a monitor or regular television.

Instead of licensing Windows or building on Linux, the company licensed Geoworks Corp.'s GEOS and developed two new user interfaces and a software suite for it. Links for GEOS/Geoworks/New Deal/Breadbox/FuzzyLogic Jupiter Software

GEOS, now in its third version, was originally developed in 1983 as an alternative desktop operating system, but it has been used widely in handhelds, smart phones such as Nokia Corp.'s Communicator, and the Geobook, a notebook computer sold by Brother Industries Ltd. GEOS offers several features that Windows does not, including "instant on."

This story was printed from ZDNN, located at http://www.zdnet.com/ zdnn.

Blue-light special on Aisle 4: PCs By John G. Spooner, ZDNN August 16, 1999 2:58 PM PT URL: http://www.zdnet.com/zdnn/stories/news/0,4586,2315355,00.html

"packets, con't"

each containing its own routing information, like a DNA molecule , and able to replicate itself correctly whenever a transmission error occurred. With many additions and permutations, his original design is today termed the Internet, click here for the emerging history of the 21st century .

Universal Communications device

http://www.digital.com/rcfoc/ for current updates Indeed, Yahoo has just announced a strategy to capitalize on this move, bringing "Yahoo Everywhere" to European mobile phones! Steve Boom, Yahoo Europe's director of business development, explains in the June 10 IDG News ( http://www.pcworld.com/cgi-bin/pcwtoday?ID=11320 ) that, 
"We want to make sure the experience [Yahoo users] get from the phone is a full Yahoo experience." 
And Yahoo also has designs on set top boxes and other new communicating, computing, appliances... 
Others are working on moving the Internet right to your pocket as well - British Telecom, AT&T Wireless and other big players, is now working towards implementing IP, the protocol that powers the Internet, right over the airwaves to your pocket cell phone ( http://www.totaltele.com/secure/view.asp?ArticleID=22675&Pub=tt&categoryid=0 ). And this, according to Ericsson's senior manager of wireless strategy Filip Lindell, could mark, 
"...the end of the circuit-switched telecommunications world." 
Such activity is not just taking place in Europe. Motorola and Sun have entered into an agreement http://www.corporate-ir.net/ireye/ir_site.zhtml?ticker= mot&script=410&layout=7&item_id=35469 ) to implement a wireless IP infrastructure beginning in 2001 that would provide the wireless equivalent,

"...of near-infinite dial tone; ...a claim that only the wireline industry can make today."

Technology is going to make the world around us smart

as we move away from proprietary architectures to a standards-based ecology of information.

We still need a name for the UCD: UNIVERSAL COMMUNICATION DEVICE or "information - communications - appliance - utility- network computer, cable or wireless black box modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog ), play station, boom box, CD, DVD, VHS, camera, VCR, telephone, wireless, cordless, portable, TV, radio, pager, laptop, notebook, library, GPS, map, yellow pages, combat walk and talk and call in air strikes more".

The market for the bandwidth and the appliances is global - with billions of clients world wide.

The money is in software now moving from "programs" to content.

The content will be interactive media that includes program functions. ISP such as AOL, will provide multimedia E-mail as a word processor that can handle graphics, photographs, soon video and data files.

The browser becomes a universal systems package do all the most common functions as plug-ins. BROADBAND IS HERE

 chello broadband n.v. (chello), www.chello.com, Europe's first and leading broadband internet service provider and an operating company of United Pan-Europe Communications (UPC), chello broadband allows cable customers throughout Europe to benefit from the m@ximum internet experience; always on, super-fast broadband internet service for a flat fee each month running across AORTA, Europe's first and largest broadband IP network and the largest European distributed caching service. Near CD quality sound, pin sharp pictures and a full range of global, national and local content partners are offered -- all in the language of the country in which the service is offered. http://www.inside-cable.co.uk/n98q4apg.htm

Which is what StarOffice 5 does. It is a free download from Sun microsystems at

http://www.sun.com/ 

The USB universal serial bus ties to printers, sound and video systems, play stations, phones, keyboards and voice commands, other appliances and services. Microsoft-NBC-General Electric, merge into a convergence of media and communications services. Time-Warner, the News Corp., Disney-ABC, are positioning themselves for the transformation of many business into one.

The current crop of Internet stocks are unlikely to be very important.

Other business includes finance, matching buyers and sellers, and a thousand other ideas and items.

The ISP becomes a bank and travel agent, department store, and service center. Wal-mart, Sears and other may need their own ISP. Clients will pay the ISP for telephone service, cable, lease of hardware, Internet, credit, and may buy their insurance, tickets, or dishes from a company they trust, so it all adds up.

A limited set of functions and libraries in or around a CPU, with the capacities of a play station, will run a package of on demand utilities called from the network. Once there is a break in the bandwidth, your browser can quickly call down any packages it may need - high speed smart updates means you don’t have to have everything stored. Office systems can do this now but are afraid to be pioneers with arrows in their backs. Once Sun, Oracle, IBM or others really have high performance objective networks there will be no need for the bloated windows operation systems.

The market often is as slow as the political process in facing the inevitable forces of technology and social history. Cartels and semi-monopolies are the natural outcome of free competition because organizations can join together to control markets.

The robber barons of the late 19th and early 20th century, such as Morgan, Carnegie, Mellon, Rockefeller, Stanford, Dupont controlled steel and oil, railroads and chemicals. General Motors president Alfred P. Sloan worked with the du Pont's to control the auto market. A U.S. Court of Appeals finds that Aluminum Co. of America (Alcoa) held a 90 percent monopoly in U.S. aluminum ingot production before the war, a monopoly enjoyed by the Mellons for more than half a century. See RCA (NBC - Victor ) below..

Sun's McNealy portrays perils of running the Wintel 'gauntlet' ) ( Windows/intel )

http://www.excite.com/computers_and_internet/tech_news/zdnet/?article=zdnews2.inp

Scott McNealy, CEO of Sun Microsystems Inc., one could easily draw the conclusion that most of the ills in the computer industry stem from one company and one company only.

The charismatic McNealy used large portions of his keynote address here Thursday at Sun's JavaOne developers conference, as well as a subsequent press conference, to paint Microsoft Corp. as a ruthless monopoly destroying companies and promoting a flawed business model.

"

The market economy works until somebody gets so much market power that they are beyond market principles," he said.

McNealy said Microsoft's monopoly on the desktop through the Windows operating system enables it to sell "bloat" like Office 2000 that people have to buy.

"

The other opportunity it has is to go out and buy little companies that wouldn't normally be successful, bundle them into their Windows or Office hairball and use their lock-in and monopoly leverage to make them successful and drive everyone else out of business," McNealy said. "That makes everybody want to sell their company for a price lower than they want to because if you're not the one bought, you're done."

One of the best examples of how new technologies can be dominated by powerful forces that control standards was the companion development of hardware ( Radios, phonographs, and then television ) as well as soft ware, the programming, records and content necessary to sell the product. People won’t buy radios or TV if there are no stations, there can’t be stations until people have radios or TVs. RCA supported the networks in order to sell radios.

Then they made more from the broadcasting then they did from hardware.

Sarnoff, David, 1891–1971, American radio and television pioneer; b. Russia. He worked for the Marconi Wireless Co., winning recognition as the narrator of the Titanic disaster (1912). After the Radio Corp. of America absorbed (1921) Marconi, Sarnoff became general manager. As president (after 1930) and chairman of the board (from 1947) of RCA, he played a major role in the development of television.

A superheterodyne circuit developed by U.S. Army Signal Corps major Edwin Howard Armstrong, 26, became the basic design for all amplitude modulation (AM) radios. It greatly increases the selectivity and sensitivity of radio receivers over a wide band of frequencies (see 1906; FM, 1933). Radio Corp. of America (RCA) was founded by Owen D. Young (see 1919) who loans Ernst Alexanderson to RCA which will employ him as chief engineer for 5 years (see 1906). RCA acquired the Victor Co. and become a radio-phonograph colossus but anti-trust court actions will separate RCA from GE (see VICTROLA, 1906; NBC, 1926). David Sarnoff urges marketing of a simple "radio music box."

The American Marconi Co. says his plan will make the radio "a ‘household utility’ in the same sense as the piano or phonograph" (see 1912; 1920).

American radio and television pioneer who proposed the first commercial radio receiver and in 1926 formed the National Broadcasting Company.

The first vinylite phonograph record appears in October. RCA-Victor issues a new recording of the 1895 Richard Strauss work Till Eulenspiegels Lustige Streiche, but vinylite will not displace shellac until the perfection of long-playing records (see 1948).

Linux to attack Windows

in both the client and server arenas

To access the Caldera Systems Web site, please bookmark http://www.calderasystems.com . Caldera Systems, Inc. is a Canopy Group holding under the Ray Noorda/Canopy Group Investment Company. Ray Noorda is the former CEO of Novell, Inc. (NASDAQ:NOVL)

NOISE: and Linux

Netscape, ( now with AOL ) Oracle, IBM, Sun microsystems and everyone else mainly Corel and Caldera Systems Web site, please bookmark http://www.calderasystems.com. Caldera Systems, Inc. is a Canopy Group holding under the Ray Noorda/Canopy Group Investment Company. Ray Noorda is the former CEO of Novell, Inc. (NASDAQ:NOVL)

What did Bill Gates and Allen do that made Microsoft such a great power and economic engine.

They took UNIX and set it up for the micro-computer, then quickly added features to appeal to developers. When IBM used DOS in their PS they did so because there was software that people could use. As you can’t sell radios without stations and you can’t have stations without radios - you can't sell hardware without applications.

Then once DOS was a "standard" and claimed open systems Microsoft quickly added more and more attachments that developers could use to save time. Common packages for user made new applications easier.

They spent a great deal of time and effort recruiting and training and supporting 100’s of thousands of developers and system managers. Soon MS became to only game in town and then the evil empire attacked by replacing the programs ( or buying them ) for the most profitable applications - office suite.

They almost wiped out WordPerfect, Corel, Novell, Lotus and took over a big hunk of IBM’s market share.

This is exactly what Linux ( being really open ) hopes to do. Since everyone else H-P, IBM, Oracle SUN, have a real interest in being Windows free - why not. Linux can run windows applications, will have a GUI ( graphic user interface ) and be free in it’s basic form. You can but a CD which will partition your hard drive and set up dual boot ( boot into windows or Linux ) and have programs that will work on either system. If it stays open ( which it will ) it could be a whole lot better in a years or two than windows. Windows has gotten hopeless blotted, patched, and over complex so it CRASHES. Since Linux is open to improvements from the community it should be better.

http://www.zdnet.com/pcweek/stories/news/0,4153,1015550,00.html

PAD personal access device news search


in products ranging from Windows terminals to portable PADs (personal access devices).

Three kinds of PADs will emerge, Polacek said: a CRT-based PAD, similar to Apple Computer Inc.'s 
iMac; a kitchen PAD that is connected to a wall for e-mail and Web browsing; and a portable PAD, with 
wireless communication.

"It's a given that a huge part of the market, if not all of the market, is going to move towards this subsidized 
model," said Mike Polacek, vice president of National Semi's Internet Appliance Division in Santa Clara, Calif. 
"We're going more and more in that direction."

AOL is "working with National Semiconductor on an appliance device [ based on Geode] for access," said 
Polacek.

Lots of partners


The AOL device will likely be designed for sending e-mail and browsing the Web. It will likely be distributed 
at little or no cost to customers who sign up for AOL's online service.

The best buys on the Internet

The best Telephone rates loan rates 
Action at a distance 
How fast is it? A FastAccess-equipped phone line and computer enable speeds up to 50 times faster than conventional (28.8 Kbps) modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog )s (actual connection speeds may vary). FastAccess Service allows information *to travel at speeds up to 1.5 Mbps from the provider to your computer  (downstream), and up to 256 kbps from your computer to the provider (upstream)*.

The increased capability allows you to access large amounts of data in significantly less time.

AT&T is poised to offer digital television, telephone and high speed Internet service to at least a quarter of the country. But until now, it had planned on running fiber optic cables to clusters of 600 homes.

Packets

The Salt Lake City test, which will begin in two to three weeks, will run fiber to neighborhoods of 50 to 75 homes - increasing by tenfold the capacity of the system and making connections clearer and more reliable.

Guide to information technology and business

Something missing:

An astro-physicist has said ‘ there is no reason that people should be ever be able to understand the universe’. Our biological and intellectual background is so naturally limited by our life experience here on Earth. We have no way of comprehending or visioning space time plasma that behaves in ways impossibly strange to our ways of being and knowing. Atomic physics involves models that are not intuitive - even counter- intuitive.

Most people who have ever lived on this planet, were born and died within a fifty mile range.

Their perceptions are defined within what is called a tribal culture - part real and part superstition. Applied rational knowledge is fairly modern as a cultural style and still not seriously or firmly established as a norm.

The irrational base of human understanding is clearly demonstrated by politics and commercials.

NOW as we enter into a global technical society our social world is as little understood as the physical.

The new world order - lacks a vision or social psychological foundation.

 

The technology itself is revolution ary.

The global economy requires new models of thought. It’s not surprising that it is difficult and there is a lot of active and passive resistance.

The leaders and leading institutions often don’t get it. Non-linear, transactional, mutually dependent rapid change appears to many as anarchy and chaos - morally questionable and in conflict with traditional values. That is because global transformations are a real revolution. Serious changes are disruptive of the existing order.

Details and special cases:

Most of social knowledge is about the details without knowledge or understanding the fundamentals.

We know the details of political scandals, but fail in our wisdom about political systems. We have substantial information about sickness but little insight into what is health .

We have libraries of books on schooling but lack a working theory of education .

The business schools are busy and new ideas about organizations appear all the time but there is not a working and tested hypothesis of group behavior, creativity and productivity.

Economics is a kind of collective theology with some often weak relationship to reality.

There is only one science of physics, with new ideas on the edges. When there is not science there is an open field of speculation and untested but believable convictions. In science what you believe is less important that the reality displayed by facts, in out areas beliefs control facts, we know what we want to know to support ideas we find beneficial.

The product of economic activity is technology transfer. It started with a genetic shift about 70,000 years ago where left brain visual capacity shifted into verbal abilities, forethought and rational planning.

The catch on factor allowed groups to learn from each other.

The groups that leaned faster and better increased their numbers and economic well-being. 30,000 years ago there was a take off with up to .25 % real growth for millenniums.

The civilized empires achieved 1 % growth of wealth through superior specialization and organization. Modern times have achieved 2.5 % using organized science and technology. Some societies caught up at 8 % rates. Some have did not catch on at all.

We are now entering an electric catch on factor where information networks can increase collective knowledge and applications much quicker. In the beginning it could take 1,000's of years for new technology ( use of medals, domestic animals, crops ) to spread and be applied.

The time frame for innovation came down in our times to a few decades - for trains, boats, cars, telephones, TV, PC, and keeps getting shorter, faster, and covers a wider area.

The long term upward cycle was broken by wars, and depressions.

It's long term success is due to increased productivity, because of trained people working smarter with better tools and social physical infrastructures !

That is the essence of successful capitalist free enterprise economies.

What has been the problem - It's the "surplus product" created by improvements in production !

What now ?

Can you over produce services ? Too much and many information companies, web servers, banks, financial services, health clubs, resorts, cruse ships, real estate agents, hospitals and clinics;

SURE you can - and the over hang can put pressure on prices - drive out the little guys and end up with a few dominant firms.

The greatest fluff is in the internet services - that can grow exponentially and collapse just as rapidly. But it doesn't drag down a thousand other sectors.

The wonders of "voodoo economics" ?

The tradition views of "representative" government is the mixed role of being an Ambassador or delegate or agent of the district vs. being a "statesman" or expert picked for individual qualities, using independent judgments.

There is now a more important third role - salesman, public relations expert, media personality, where strongly expressed "sound bites" and campaign strategies dominate behavior.

The house has become less of a organized system of collective decision making and more of a form for raising money and getting re-elected.

The President becomes more and more symbolic spokesman and less a leader of serious policy process.

The faults of the collective decision making process is fundamental to all social and economic life.

see http://www.wiredbrain.net/documents/logos/plan.txt for positive plans and suggestions in education and for political systems reform: http://www.wiredbrain.net/documents/logos/reform.txt

The Waning of the Military-Industrial Complex:

Capitalism over produces relative to effective demand creating product 'over hang' which depresses prices and can start a downward cycle.

The "Fortress State" produces incomes and product outside of the market. Military expenditures created markets where "Nothing mattered except states of mind, chiefly our own." 
John Maynard Keynes (1883+1946), British economist. Essays in Biography, ch. 39 (1933), of the "Apostles" group at Cambridge University. 

The military-industrial complex added to net demand creating millions of jobs and the political support along with those jobs - if the money came out of the deficit ( because taxes reduced demand ), - but production did not add to domestic supply- voodoo economics. Now we have "terrorist" and China to kick around. 
Public works and welfare could do as well but lacked the political support of the cold war. So we wasted trillions on defense from a mostly imagery enemy rather than build attractive and livable cities and new towns, schools, rapid transport, parks, or other good works. What we really feared was fear itself, the nameless terror of depression, which in our experience was worse than war.

Free competition has winners and losers.

There are more losers than winners.

There were hundreds of automobile companies that ended up after Sloan, with only three, dominated by GM's close to 50 % market share. Thousands of brewers ended up with a few, the same for oil, milk, cereal, PAD banking, insurance, tobacco, appliances, computers, software and most commodities because bigger is better in surviving technological, ecological ( changes in market demand and tastes), geological ( changes in structure), geographic ( market reach ) and business cycles.

IF you imagine a distribution with the big companies bunched to the left side of a distribution that tails off to the right with smaller specialized firms. Every time there are changes in markets, range, technological innovations or economic crisis, the big firms pick up the remains of weakened firms on the right of the distribution, now cut off from credit.

The big four become more complex structures of interdependency of vertical and horizontal integration.

Small business fail when times get rough and grow in times of prosperity. With increasing changes small companies are driven to the wall. In good times big companies use economies of scale to store up wealth, buy up their competition with inflated stock prices, and set aside profits which becomes the reserve for hard times. US Steel and others paid dividends right through the depression, some times at P/E of 4/1 i.e. $1 on a $4 stock.

The few big companies can then control production ( cartels and trusts ) maintain prices and get even richer.

So what is the new economy?

http://www.hotwired.com/special/ene/index.html?nav=part_three&word=intro_one

The revolution

 




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Technological waves for the next 20 years

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