Like the human
brain, the internet's packets systemcan reconfigure itself to
work even after portions were destroyed. Using the noise-prone analog circuits
of the time, it was impossible to build the necessary switches. Baran concluded
that all the traffic would have to be digital. Moreover, the digital traffic
would have to be broken into short message blocks now called
"packets," each containing its own routing information, like a DNA molecule, and able to replicate
itself correctly whenever a transmission error occurred. With many additions
and permutations, his original design is today termed the Internet, click here
for the emerging history of the 21st century
ZDNet's "Your Digital Future" represents a fascinating, almost overwhelming
look into the changes we're likely to be seeing in:
- Internet technologies (the Internet's growing pervasiveness, Instant
Messaging becoming as interoperable as the Web, applications that thrive on the
"new connectivity," secure protocols, better ways to deliver
high-bandwidth content, future "agent" technology, and more) http://www.zdnet.com/pcmag/stories/reviews/0,6755,2608416,00.html ;
-
The
infrastructures that tie all this together and allow it all to work
(fiber-fiber-fiber, wireless of many different flavors, PDAs and cell phones,
radios -- from ultra wideband to software-defined, and more) http://www.zdnet.com/pcmag/stories/reviews/0,6755,2608417,00.html ;
- Computing technologies (.18 to .13 micron chips, silicon-on-insulator, and
copper interconnects yielding 12 GHz chips by 2005! Commodity systems in 2003
that have 5 GHz processors, 10 gigabytes of memory, 300 gigabyte hard drives,
and half-gigabit/second USB.A look into
evolving chip architectures, and all of this leading to systems that "will
still be outdated within a year of purchase."Graphics performance in 2005 will be 1.6
trillion pixels at 48 billion polygons per second.And 1 terabyte disk drives that same
year.And more.) http://www.zdnet.com/pcmag/stories/reviews/0,6755,2608418,00.html ; and
-
The frontiers
beyond (optical, molecular, DNA, and quantum computing, totally ubiquitous
computing, advanced display technologies, and the promises of carbon nanotubes,
self-organizing networks, and more.) http://www.zdnet.com/pcmag/stories/reviews/0,6755,2608419,00.html.
XML: the most
powerful productivity tool ever imaged:
I can write
this text, I could insert picture or sound. I can create links ( hyper- links )
or imbedded functions ( scripts in several languages ) - e-mail it or post it
to a web site that has scripts to run different functions. It is getting easier
but still has lots of bugs.
Microsoft is
again in a catch up position. Power corrupts and the lack of real time painful
competition is what corrupted power means.
The NOISE
group of Netscape, Oracle, IBM, Sun Microsystems Corel and Everyone else had
the model right years ago. With bandwidth ( such as private networks -
intranets, extra-nets, and other high speed networks ) the network becomes the
system. Each member of the system - clients and servers are integrated through
common languages or objects.
When you open
a web page, hypertext and imbedded objects can connect functions - edit, ( word
processing ) analyze ( search, data bases ) and interoperate with each other
using voice, images, data and text.
The idea is
that a person interested in the service manual for a piece of equipment or
operational system - a service engineer or client at a PC, or in the field
using a lap top, wireless phone or other device not only could look up
information but order parts, update systems, see graphic display, talk to
experts, hold a meeting between the consultant and the providers and the home
system would gather information about what is going on and what works and what
doesn’t.
Providers of
services - software, engineering, analysis, B2B, OEM, etc.. could all deal with
each other using different languages, platforms and systems. This is the most
powerful productivity tool ever imaged. System can adjust and improve in real
time. A contractor in the field can order supplies from the best low cost
provider, check delivery, pay accounts, check balances, talk to
sub-contractors, revise plans and schedules, have the design changed and fixed,
and 1000 and more details. No one can build a house without a cell phone - can
any service be provided without real time communications ?
Who can do
this unless they spend lots of money for services and software ?
The service
providers can MS.net, oracle.net, IBM.net Sun.net, AOL.net, apple.net,
excite.net, go.net, yahoo.net, - plug and play just like the cell phone. For $
50 a month your ISP becomes an interactive system to other services.
The contractor
enters his phone book, calendar, and buys services from engineers, accountants,
and get free services from suppliers, banks, sub contractors, etc. Those
connected have a great advantage over those out of the loop.
How about a
search attached to stories.
The idea of
references is still useful but you can also do a up to the minute search by a
hyper text link that includes the key words -
Windows in the
cloudy sky: What Microsoft wants to do is control the servers with a MS
provided next, next generation NT platform operating system called XML but not
open and universal.
The .net
system works with devices that have .net codes built it. Microsoft products
will run on .net as a server - client interface - XML files, XML data base, XML
storage, XML index, id, calendar, updates, notifications, out in the cloud on
MS XML server software doing object imbedded codes.
The
applications become notations or services on the page.
The universal
canvas API. Hardware drives, across all the devices and the .net controller in
the a cloud. Development applications are built on the XML kits connected to
the browser. This was Netscape’s vision from the beginning.. This is why
MS had to kill Netscape and the NOISE group and what the browser wars was
really about.
The platform
is in the sky - Microsoft idea is the new version of what Netscape and SUN -
the NOISE group ( Netscape, Oracle, IBM, Sun, and Everyone else ) started
talking about five years ago.
The server (
web site ) company internets, the ISP, wireless devices, i-appliances, game
panels, can all use audio, video, photograph, office applications - word
process, presentation, spread sheets, data bases, in a interactive way using a
server AGENT or personalized options given the application, the device used,
and the pattern of application - on a rental or fee-for-service basics. In
other words all the complex stuff is up stream - rich standards based on XML
works between platforms and programs but at the server not on the PC - This is
the critical and profound change.
The server in
the cloud does the transfer and integration - is the platform in the sky that
can work with all kinds of devices. It can take a record from one place in one
format and uses it in another program in a different format guided by the smart
agent. Information can be used almost anywhere from almost anywhere.
The devices
can use keyboards, mouse, voice, hand writing, file transfer, clip board, as
inputs as well as agent intelligence on the server and user interface.
Gates for the
first time emphasized the Web browser as the central application of computing.
Echoing remarks made by counterparts Marc Andreessen and Scott McNealy four
years ago, Gates said the network is even more important than the computer.
Microsoft is
creating an advanced new generation of software that will meld computing and
communications in revolutionary new ways; offer every developer the tools to
transform the Web and all other aspects of the computing experience; and enable
businesses, knowledge workers and consumers to employ technology on their own
terms.
See cloudy
vision in http://www.wiredbrain.net/gates.htm
year Bill
Gates ( reference to HTML ) Building Internet Applications Professional
Developers Conference San Francisco -- March 13, 1996
http://www.wiredbrain.net/bill-g.htm
In 1947 it was
the transistor. Today it is photonics. Called the second silicon revolution,
optical fiber systems are in an explosive state of development, reminiscent of
the earlier days of the electronics industry.
Over the past
two decades, since fiber-optic communications first began to appear, the
carrying capacity of fiber has increased at a faster rate than Moore's law. Now
the wavelength-division multiplexing revolution has accelerated that capacity
even more, while introducing the flexibility of wavelength-based routing.
Forged from an interdisciplinary mix of semiconductor diode lasers,
micromachine technology and fundamental advances in optical glass technology,
terahertz networking has arrived well ahead of schedule.
It's a major
revolution riding on a broad-based industry serving the fundamental human need
to communicate.
"A length
of fiber long enough to circle the globe three times is produced every day, and
if you extrapolate current trends to 2010, every one of the 6 billion people on
earth will have a bandwidth capability equivalent to high-definition
television," said Alistair Glass, director of photonics research and
development at Lucent Technologies Bell Laboratories. Arriving at Bell Labs in
1967, Glass' career spans the development and implementation of fiber-optic
communications systems.
Major
breakthrough
"When I
arrived, the major breakthrough was the first continuously operating laser, and
it didn't run for very long-only a few minutes," Glass recalled.
"This was
the time of the early hero experiments and the demands kept increasing and
increasing on these devices.
There was
always that pressure, but the interest in the marketplace represented a
dramatic change."
There was
always a strong demand to increase the performance of any device.
At first the
research arm of AT&T, Bell Labs enjoyed a special status after its founding
in the 1920s. Because of the monopoly granted AT&T by the government, in
the interests of standardizing the telephone system, the lab could both be part
of a commercial operation and play the open role of a national laboratory.
"At that
time, there was not much connectivity with business- it was very much
intellectually driven. We wanted to be leaders in all the fields relevant to
communications," Glass said. But in the early 1980s two developments
dramatically accelerated photonics research: commercial long-haul fiber-optic
systems began to be installed commercially, and AT&T's monopoly was
dissolved by the government, with parts of Bell Labs spun off into other
companies as part of a complex divestiture of the telecommunications giant.
"We were suddenly handed the mandate to develop commercial products out of
our research efforts," he said.
The lab
responded with a broad attack on optical communications systems. Innovations in
the basic fiber, laser diodes to power them, and integrated optoelectronic
components to interface with electronic data systems followed. "Since
then, particularly with the founding of Lucent Technologies, optics has been
accelerating at an incredible rate," Glass said.
For
transporting data over long distances, fiber systems proved to be irresistible.
Large bundles of copper wire could be replaced by slender silicon fibers in a
process of "demassification" usually associated with the electronics
industry. While the debate continues over whether optical interconnect is a
viable alternative to electrical wiring inside of computers, the issue has been
definitively resolved for long-distance communications. But optical
interconnect inside the box may eventually succumb to a long-term trend. Recent
developments in metropolitan-area networks suggest that fiber optics is riding
a scaling law similar to the shrinking VLSI circuit, and the scaling rate appears
to be steeper.
The rapid
deployment of fiber optics received an even bigger jolt with a repeat of the
'80s scenario in the 1990s. Bell Labs was again transferred in 1996 to another
entity-Lucent Technologies-and made the centerpiece of a startup with
considerable economic resources. Also brewing in photonics labs was a
revolutionary technology called dense wavelength-division multiplexing (DWDM),
which has allowed the carrying capacity of optical fiber to ramp up at an
astonishing rate. "In the mid-90s it became a fever. We went from eight to
16 to 32 wavelengths on a single fiber and our latest products use 400. Now we
have just demonstrated 1,000 wavelengths," Glass noted.
DWDM uses
individual segments of the optical spectrum to multiplex signals on a fiber.
The idea is
recent, considered at first to be a laboratory curiosity since practical
systems were already multiplexing channels with a time-division technique. Such
synchronous optical networks (Sonet) had been able to extend the capacity of optical
fiber and were a welcome development.
The
wavelength-division multiplexing route has turned out to have far more
potential: Bell Labs researchers recently demonstrated a DWDM transmission
system capable of sending a terabit of data per second down a fiber. "That
represents the entire world's Internet on a single glass fiber," Glass
said. http://www.wiredbrain.net/dwdm.htm
The DWDM
revolution has been extremely swift. When Lucent Technologies was established,
DWDM was still at the laboratory demonstration stage. While the idea is simple,
turning it into practical optical communications systems required a
multifaceted development. Multiple-wavelength laser-diode systems and new types
of fiber able to carry the multiple wavelength signals without crosstalk had to
be developed. And some means of collectively amplifying multiwavelength signals
had to be invented. While those problems were effectively solved in a short
time, it wasn't easy. Indeed, one outstanding problem has never been solved:
how to regenerate multiple wavelength signals.
Large areas
One
consequence of that missing solution is the fact that DWDM can only be
implemented on campus-wide or metropolitan areas. By doping fiber with the
rare-earth element erbium, it is possible to build a simple light amplifier
that is essentially a laser. When a multiple wavelength signal is passed
through an erbium fiber loop and optically pumped, it emerges unchanged except
that it is at a higher energy level. One nice aspect of this operation is that
the actual content of the wavelength channels is irrelevant to the
amplification process. Unfortunately, to recondition optical signals, it
becomes necessary to decode their content and relaunch them. Thus signal
regeneration, which is essential in long-haul networks, is still unavailable to
DWDM.
Balancing this
deficiency in very long transmissions is a new wave of all-optical switching
elements that are able to add or remove a wavelength channel from a fiber.
These add-drop
multiplexers offer a high-speed switching function that could not be duplicated
with electronics, and have made metropolitan-area networks into a unique
flexible, high-throughput communications medium.
This
essentially new form of photonics technology is spawning an industry in optical
switching components. "Now people can invent a novel device that relates
to communications and it will find its way into products extremely rapidly-less
than a year," said Glass. "We are now in a situation of 'invent on
demand' where as soon as a problem is perceived, someone immediately comes up
with a solution."
This explosive
growth poses a formidable challenge to electronics technology. "If you
compare the speed of silicon chips versus the capacity of optical fiber
communications, fiber optics is going significantly faster than electronics,
and where the fiber ends-that becomes a significant bottleneck." Glass is
convinced that fiber to the home office and then fiber to the home are just
around the corner. "We have a demonstration project going with Bell South
where we have wired up a suburban neighborhood with little fiber-optic network
units on the side of each house," he said.
Dealing with
the high volumes of data that are coming off optical fibers will present a big
challenge to electronics. Fortunately, wavelength-division multiplexing eases
that task since each wavelength can be processed simultaneously by different
circuits. Ultimately, electronics and optics technologies offer complementary
abilities: "Optics is ideal for transporting data from point A to point B,
but it is weak in the area of logic and switching," Glass pointed out.
"That is where we will need electronics."
Copyright c
2000 CMP Media Inc. By Chappell Brown
The world
economic summit is less interesting because the big and powerful are less
interesting.
The rate of
technological has multiplied on itself because computers can work faster and
communications are better therefore computers and communications becomes faster
and faster. My guess is that optic fiber to the door will make on-air or cable
broadcasting uneconomic - video on demand will replace it - the program
producers will distribute directly to the consumer - like in MP3 - the video
store goes on line -
The move
producer - such as Blair Witch could be sold directly - same with any show or
news or whatever - so there goes networks - maybe even magazine writers with
direct sales -
Wireless
systems can get up to 400 kps to a million somehow - http://www.wiredbrain.net/symbian.htm
for a lot of applications that is fine - and OS chip technology will make
greater use of less and less with less energy and heat - more light and lighter
-
code division
multiple access (CDMA) technology. HP is investing $2 million in New Media
Venture Partners (NMVP) and will provide up to $15 million in debt financing to
help the company fund and incubate e-commerce start-ups. In return,
subsidiaries of NMVP will use HP products and services.
If I were a
high technology company - in information systems, computers, communications or
any part of the 25 % of the economy - and almost all the growth sector - now
including networks - broadcasting - publishing - entertainment - music - video
- electronics - service - I would have a venture capital connection so I could
send people out and find out what is going on.
The battle for
the airwaves is not just about broadband but the content - software and
services. If you put a few hundred thousand in interesting technologies you
gain access to information.
There is
almost a certainty that something will come from left field and change all the
rules again.
Cable is too
slow and greedy.
The telephone
companies too slow and bureaucratic. Both have shown a preference for short
term gains rather than long term survival. Microsoft is showing the same brain
arthritis - inflexible - such as IBM was - GM and other big and rich - missed
every important technology - but could buy it after it had been proven. That
may or may not be possible. .
The most
common wireless transmission standard, GSM, which stands for Global Systems for
Mobile communications, is particularly prevalent in Europe and Asia. According
to market research firm Dataquest, nearly 157 million GSM-based mobile phones
will be shipped worldwide this year, compared with shipments of about 43
million CDMA cell phones.
But many
industry observers say CDMA, strongest in North America, is more efficient and
can handle Internet-based transmissions better.
There is also
time division and dense systems - I do believe the key is China - the PLA and
post telegraph - along with the EU will set the standards.
AOL Time
Warner believe that whatever the method for the broadband connections they will
control the content.
The contact
rates - for cable, telephone, Internet and video on demand provide cash flows
that support the capital for improved networks and on-line sales provide the
profits. --
Fiber Optics
to the Home Fiber optics has helped push the telecommunications system into
hyperdrive. But only when fiber connections reach all the way into the home
will the technology’s promise be fully realized.
All Boiled
down on CONVERGENCE AOL: the super market of the world
What does AOL
Time Warner ( and Wal-Mart, & some Computer terminal company and cable
modem or broadband connection ) mean for the future of global society ? What is
the image they pursue ? http://www.wiredbrain.net/image.htm
CONVERGENCE:
Interactive television, combining audio telephone, video conference and cable
or satellite TV, video on demand, all designed to advertise and sell on the
spot all kinds of good and services.
What is called
"entertainment" on television is different from plays, or movies or
theme parks or games or sports because the role of "content" is only
to attract an audience so they can be sold something.
The job of
television is sales - not news or information or entertainment which are only
provided so people watch and can be sold something.
The role of
AOL / Time Warner will be not only to sell others goods but direct sales.
Their dream is
the click and buy advantages of two way communications.
In the process
cable or other broadband can replace a good share of long distance voice, video
rentals, VPN virtual private networks, if and only if, the broadband
connections really works then personal computers become network devices or http://www.wiredbrain.net/NEXUM.htm a multipurpose
communications and entertainment console.
Continued on -
please let me know about errors ! Some of these pages date back up to 10 years
( 1992 ) and have been through many editors and transfers. News about what's
happening and for updates use GlobalVillage Excite NewsSearch -
AOL Time
Warner believe that whatever the method for the broadband connections they will
control the content.
The contact
rates - for cable, telephone, Internet and video on demand provide cash flows
that support the capital for improved networks and on-line sales provide the
profits.
It's not only
that you can buy your tooth paste from the commercial ( click here to add it to
your Wal-mart order ) but you might get free samples for filling out forms. You
can add with a click to your grocery list. People really will buy travel deals,
change banks or brokers, buy records after getting MP3 samples, select
household gadgets, buy gifts, use auctions, even pick appliances and cars.
They will seek
better mortgage and insurance rates, look for a new house, and a thousand other
products and services.
Also some new
technology may come along to change all the rules
If physicist
Luke Stewart can do what he says he can send voice, video, and data thousands
of miles over electric lines at the speed of light he will produce perhaps the
most significant development in communications since Alexander Graham Bell.
That could
take the company he cofounded in North Dallas, Media Fusion L.L.C., to heights
greater than Microsoft in both earnings and market value.
I do think
that nano quantum computers - optic and laser [acronym for light amplification
by stimulated emission of radiation], device for the creation and amplification
of a narrow, intense beam of coherent LIGHT. connected to wideband wireless
will be the most important events of our time - having more importance than the
silly political debates, because economics come from the structure of industry
and enterprise - clearly the railroads, automobiles, radio, TV, computers and
the internet are the drivers of our history - culture - social being - and
therefore our economy and political system.
The new world
order is not an idea or ideology but of commerce based on transportation and
communications. Bill Gates, Edison, Ford, are the great forgers of our times -
disintermediation
means becoming the middle person between the buyer and seller. On-line systems
such as Amazon.com means direct sales take on a whole new meaning. I would look
for a Amazon Wal-mart connection if not merger. http://dailynews.yahoo.com/h/nm/20000131/tc/ti_chip_1.html
Broadband
frequencies allow high-capacity data transmission.
Broadband Race
Is on the Rise in Hong Kong
Last week, the
Hong Kong government took another step to open further the telecom market to
competition by issuing a total of 17 fixed network licenses (5 licenses for
wireless local fixed telecommunications network services (FTNS), and another 12
licenses for external FTNS using satellites).
The licenses
will last for 15 years, with an option to extend for another 15 years. In
addition, the government has agreed to issue an FTNS license to Hong Kong Cable
TV to provide telecom services over its hybrid fiber-coaxial cable networks.
The battle of
the air waves is just not between cable modems ( which don't work very well )
and DSL which has many problems and is priced too high. Optic fiber to the door
and new wideband line of sight or some technology using power lines may jump
ahead. It's a tough call to invest billions per day.
The dense
urban markets, the rural markets, the issues in China and other world markets,
all may not have the same solution. Satellite systems have a role, but it seems
the analysis is too tightly drawn in the box - there are sure to be out of the
box answers.
DEMO 2000-
Indian Wells, CA- February 7, 2000 - In an industry first, Intellon today
demonstrated working silicon of its PowerPacket™ home networking
technology, making it possible to network a home through ordinary power lines
at speeds up to 11 Mbps. PowerPacket technology from Intellon is designed to
enable the fastest and most robust power line products in the home networking
market. http://www.intellon.com/press/releases/020700.html
11
megabits/second wireless LANs, implemented by 802.11 devices such as the Compaq
WL100 that I explored a few issues ago (http://www.compaq.com/rcfoc/20000117.html#_Toc472317094), seem poised to take
off, according to the Feb. 9 AnchorDesk (http://www.zdnet.com/anchordesk/story/story_4439.html). Cahners In-Stat Group
expects a 25% compound annual growth rate leading to $2.2 billion in wireless
sales in 2004, when over 7 million wireless cards and related components will
be sold.
``Wireless
Internet devices will not only capture some existing PC applications but
introduce brand new applications that the desk-top PC has no way to handle
today,'' Engibous told a Tokyo seminar on the company's strategy.
``I think the
availability of a wireless device that is online all the time with broadband
data capability...offers the possibility of applications that Silicon Valley''
is just beginning to dream about, he added.
With
next-generation mobile phone services, users will be able to surf the Web,
check and respond to e-mail, conduct videoconferences and use new mobile
services such as e-commerce, he said.
Next-generation
mobile phone services will be offered in Japan beginning in the spring of 2001,
and later in other parts of the world.
According to
the study, cable modems will win the lion's share of the residential broadband
market, outnumbering DSL modems 5:1 in North American and 2.6:1 worldwide by
the year 2003.
The five-year
growth rate for cable modems is forecast to be 93% in North America and 114% in
other regions.
The Study
concludes that the rollout plans announced by the telcos are unrealistically
optimistic,
that the services are too high-priced for the mainstream residential market,
and face many technical and regulatory hurdles--oft overlooked in the
excitement of bringing in a new age of high speed IP-based telecommunications.
Forward Concepts also believes that splitterless DSL still has many technical
unknowns, and that its suitability as a "universal" service is still
open to question.
DSL services
also jeopardize existing, highly profitable, data communications services,
further reducing motivation for rollout by the telcos.
The cable
companies, in contrast, see IP-video, IP telephony, Internet access, and remote
LAN access as pure incremental upside revenue opportunities, unencumbered by
existing services.
Part-time
remote consulting:
Advanced
technology will affect the way we work, learn, play, trade and shop, and form
communities. I would like to work with organizations that want to get ahead of
the curve in both the learning and technology game.
I have been
following technology for many years and really have a good feel and record in
forecasting and analysis. I would like to work with other on the NEXUM project
and study the effects of http://www.wiredbrain.net/nano.htm and a few other
pages
I could do remote
education and training - project projections - systems analysis or just
communicate with a group, motivational manager, thinking out of the box,
win-win, future, and other ideas.
AOL can do
what Sears did.
The Sears
brands were produced by OEM ( original equipment manufactures ) with Sears
keeping a very tight control of quality and margins. Many of their providers
became dependents. B2B means the intermediary can arrange shipments from the
provider to the buyer and become the super market of the world.
Life and
cognizance exists on the edge of quantum and classical physics.
The very small
( nano ) works by most extraordinary rules - objects have properties that allow
them to move from here to there without going through the intermediate space. Time
is not linear and space bends. Objects themselves appear, take on properties,
and then change their character and reappears in a different form.
At the atomic
and molecular level the connections can be open and creative rather than
mechanical and determined. Uncertainty is a fundamental prerequisite of
creativity and life itself.
A really
clever computer working with uncertainly could work at this level and have some
sort of consciousness. This would be an interesting invention of this century.
quantum dots
(or single-electron transistors), quantum wells, quantum wires, spin
transistors or arrays of all these devices.
low power
quantum electronics, and high bandwidth photonics are of special interest, as
are the demonstrations of space subsystems based on these technologies. http://www.aero.org/conferences/micro-nano/
Candidate
technologies receiving attention include various quantum functional devices,
quantum computing, DNA computing, and molecular electronics explained for
molecular diode switches, molecular transistors, and molecular logic gates.
This talk
would provide an overview on one such candidate technology based on carbon and
other nanotubes.
the novel
Quantum Cascade Laser (QCL), which differs in design from traditional laser
diodes.
This treatment
burned out the protein shell and yielded two dimensional arrays of inorganic
iron oxide dots on the Si wafer.
The size and
repeat distance of the dots were 6 and 12 nm, respectively, as measure by
FE-SEM and AFM. As the diameter of the iron oxide dots is only 6 nm, this two
imensional array of inorganic iron oxide dots has a potential to be used as
quantum dots. Feasibility study of the application of this dot array to the
structure of semiconductor memory is now in progress.
U.S.
scientists closer to making new type of supercomputer
By Reuters
Special to CNET News.com March 15, 2000, 1:55 p.m. PT
LONDON--U.S. scientists
moved a step closer to developing a super-computer after looking at a branch of
physics that researches the physics of particles invisible to the human eye.
"In the
language of quantum information science, we have realized a four-quantum-bit logic
gate. This system is relevant for the future development of quantum information
technology," the scientists said in the journal Nature.
Conventional
computers are based on binary "switches," or bits, which can either
be switched on or off. Computers carry out calculations utilizing these
switches.
Quantum theory
holds that entities such as atoms do not decide whether they exist in an on or
off state until they are measured or interact with something.
When they are
not interacting, the atoms exist in both states at once--a quantum
superposition--said Christopher Monroe, a researcher at the National Institute
of Standards and Technology (NIST).
Computers
based on quantum physics would therefore be able to have switches or
"qbits" that exist in both on and off states simultaneously.
A string of
these quantum bits would consequently offer every possible on-off combination
and could carry out every calculation a computer needed simultaneously, hugely
increasing the computer's power and memory.
Max PLANCK and
Heisenberg, and Erwin SCHRÖDINGER's wave mechanics, and Born, are the people of
the 20th century who will most influence the 21 st. We will see the application
of quantum computer fairly soon. It could ( so will ) have some level of self
awareness we call consciousness http://www.qubit.org/intros/comp/comp.html Being in two places at
the same time - or going from here to there without passing through the space
between.
The nature of
matter at this level is little energy spots rather than matter as we experience
it, energy that change quantum states - transform from one state to another
instantly.
"
The history of
computer technology has involved a sequence of changes from one type of
physical realization to another --- from gears to relays to valves to
transistors to integrated circuits and so on ...
On the atomic
scale matter obeys the rules of quantum mechanics, which are quite different
from the classical rules that determine the properties of conventional logic
gates. So if computers are to become smaller in the future, new, quantum
technology must replace or supplement what we have now.
The point is,
however, that quantum technology can offer much more than cramming more and
more bits to silicon and multiplying the clock-speed of microprocessors. It can
support entirely new kind of computation with qualitatively new algorithms
based on quantum principles!
The U.S.
Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) initiated a research program
to investigate techniques and technologies for interlinking packet networks of
various kinds In 1969 titled Resource Sharing Computer Networks with Vinton
Cerf, founder of
The Internet
Society and in 1973, .
The designwas to be Atomic bomb
proof... Understand that in 1983, Bolt Beranek, and Newman was contracted to
implement TCP/IP in the Version 4.2 of the Berkeley Standard Distribution of
UNIX and TCP/IP was adopted as a MIL STD. BSD UNIX at that time was a free
operating system, developed by the Computer Systems Research Group at the
University of California at Berkeley. This move ensured the wide deployment of
TCP/IP - and historically is where the affiliation between UNIX and the
Internet began.
The objective
was to develop communication
Protocol:
He who
controls the interface controls the system.
Wiredbrain's Symbian homepageSymbian joint venture between Psion, Nokia, Ericsson,
Matsushita and Motorola will be a connection between smart mobile phones and
Internet-ready games such as the consoless Sony’s PlayStation 2
Imagine a fat
monitor or a hand held device or a card which is a personal linking device that
plugs into the electrical system and a USB ( universal serial Bus ) modem ( or
digital connection to replace the analog ) that creates the connection to the
life force.
The device can carry talk, pictures,
e-mail, white board functions.
The device can charge expenses, such as
parking, travel, meals, and pay by useapplications.Crank up the broadband Third-generation
services are coming soon to a mobile phone near you -- but first the
platforms and standards have to be resolved.
Electricity made
mass production, telephones, photographs, radio, TV, and computers possible, and
now powers the internet. Packets replace circuits, self fixing double encoded
packets travel fast and faster.
The Personal Communications Utility or
Appliance PCU, PCA, or PAD ( personal access device ) or NC ( network computer
) plugs into a pipeline that connects you to the backbone of the internet.A machine
called NEXUM
The
comprehensive, omnibus, all-embracing, all-encompassing, across-the-board,
INCLUSIVE, EXTENSIVE widespread, epidemic, GENERAL international, world-wide,
global, cosmic, UNIVERSAL, UBIQUITOUS appliance device, mechanical contraption,
gadget, gismo, CONTRIVANCE doodad, doohickey, thingy, thingamabob, thingamajig,
that we all will carry around. At the counter in Wal-Mat it connects quickly by
infra-red link to the charge ( debit ) machine.
The true
paper-less banking. What do we have ? What did we buy ? How much did it cost on
record.
We talk to it.
Call home. Get personal mail. Check on the price of dry wall. What is the quote
on 20 year fixed term money ? Where do I go next ? How do I get there ? Call
ahead and confirm I will be 10 minutes late. What’s on the menu, reserve
the table by the window and order ahead. Who has the best price on or for or
going - on anything ? Who wants to buy or sell ? How is the car doing ? Can I
fly to Jerusalem in the morning and rent a car and get a hotel and make
appointments ?
When connected
to a terminal I can type or see better - out of the digital airwaves or on
cable or on optic fiber in Africa to China down-links and up links with nodes
and storage and services at my command charges by the micro-penny. Always on
with a flat connection fee.
How our packets
travel is the trillion dollar question; digital cell phones, broadband, on the
electric wires, cable, optic fiber, DSL or all of the above ?
The Star Office 5.1 is a good example. It
runs on open platforms and can be updated, reconfigured to include sound and
video telephones, and doesn't need to be completely installed on every terminal
but can run off the system network.
In doing web
pages, Netscape Composer, MS FrontPage, and Star Office use different forms of
code, HTTP ( hypertext ) different Java scripts, and can mess each other and
the author up. Now since they (
Netscape ( AOL ) and Sun - part of the NOISE group, Netscape, Oracle, IBM, Sun
and everyone else - ) are enemies they may intend to screw each other with the
author in the middle.
and too many other
changes that work here but not there - audio plug-ins, ActiveX, virtual
machines, XML, etc. Etc..
This is why the
complex stuff has to be up-stream on the server if the communications systems
can communicate with each other.
The system knows where you are (GPS), who
you are ( IP) and what you are ( kind of device you are using ) and what you
want - voice, e-mail, conference, word processor, accounts, pay a bill, collect
a bill etc.
The standards have to be set by SOMEONE -
it can’t be done by a voluntary committee as in the good old non
commercial days when the DOD and NSF controlled the net. It can’t be done
by government ( too slow ) IT has to be global - the EU and Asia are involved -
sometimes well ahead.
The WWW system standard was set at CERN -
and the UN or a global trade or international postal telecommunications
agreement could set up a fast working body the approve PROTOCALS. Now MS does
the global job but is clearly not neutral or trustworthy, since it is worth a
good share of the almost trillion dollars in systems sales.
Tomorrow's story
today: Wiredbrain's Reports from the future:
StarOffice 5 is a
free download from Sun microsystems at
StarOffice has a
fully integrated set of powerful applications that provides Microsoft Office
compatible word processing, spreadsheet, graphic design, presentations, HTML
editor, mail/news reader, scheduler, and database functions. With the release
of the new 5.1 version for worldwide distribution, StarOffice provides
significant performance and feature upgrades that improve user experience and
productivity.
StarOffice 5.1
includes:
·
o
§
§
§StarOffice
Writer for document editing,
§
§StarOffice
Calc for creating spreadsheets,
§StarOffice
Impress for creating presentations,
§StarOffice
Draw and StarImage for creating vector and bit-mapped graphics,
§StarOffice
Schedule for managing calendars and to-do lists,
§StarOffice
Mail for handling e-mail,
§StarOffice
Base for creating interfaces to databases,
§StarOffice
Discussion for reading Internet news, and
§StarOffice
Math for creating complex formulas,
§StarOffice
Workplace for creating a desktop environment
The integration of text, http editor,
spreadsheets, presentations, drawing, mail, frames, work folders, database,
global documents, diagrams, images, formula, is really MUCH better than Office
and word.
These protocals
which would allow networked computers to communicate transparently across
multiple, linked packet networks. This was called the Internetting project and
the system of networks which emerged from the research was known as the
"Internet."
The system of
protocols which was developed over the course of this research effort became
known as the TCP/IP Protocol Suite, after the two initial protocols developed:
Transmission Control Protocol (TCP) and Internet Protocol (IP).
To many people
coming online today, the Internet looks like the World Wide Web. WWW was
started by Tim Berners-Lee at CERN in Switzer-land in 1989 to facilitate the
sharing of information among researchers in high-energy particle physics...and
in 1993, a small group at the University of Illinois and Champaign/ Urbana had
developed an Xwindows interface to the World Wide Web they called Mosaic.
When you
called your Internet Service Provider (ISP) your computer sets up a protocol of
messages back and fourth. Your machine is assigned an individual IP number from
a subset of the ISP Domain numbers.
My ISP
server assigns 206.133.79.20 the last number is assigned to me when I first
call in. If your are using windows you can run: Winipcfg.exe and it will tell
you your IP number at the moment. I could have a fixed IP if my provider would
assign me one.Every site on the web has a fixed IP which is a translation of
the domain name (www.wiredbrain.net ) = 207.7.22.146. If you have a ping program
it will find the number from the name.
The first
connection is between my web site and you is the first node at the web presence
provider (Southwindnet),
The server has
a ISP which has a contract connection to the Internet Backbone. Your machine
does the same with your ISP. This number ties the two machines together.
The IP address
allows us to communicate. Mail goes SMTP ( standard mail transfer protocol )
files can be sent FTP ( file transfer protocol) and pages in HTTP ( hypertext
transfer protocol ) CHAT in IRC, Who-is, finger and ping will tell you the IP
of domain names and information about individual IP numbers. ZDNET
You might
think of XML as a more versatile big brother to HTML, for want of a better
definition. HTML is a fixed format that must be changed by agreement and
committee. XML is made to be extended. You simply describe the extension within
XML and it becomes available to everyone. "A new Web-based
markup language could give EDI the kick-start it needs to reach millions of new
users...
The
combination of XML with EDI holds the promise of extending the advantages of
Web-based EDI through an open standard to the millions of small- and
medium-sized enterprises." EDI News
"Business-to-business
data exchange, such as enabling your partners to import your price lists
directly, will likely require custom tags or even a new markup language
specific to your business or industry...
In a recent
submission to the World Wide Web Consortium, Netscape proposed combining XML
with Meta Content Framework (MCF), which is an exciting method for improving
how Web sites "describe themselves" to the rest of the world. Putting
MCF under the same umbrella would make XML even more important. Together, these
two technologies offer important benefits to Webmasters and Web
users:
NextLevel's SURFboard modem ( or
digital connection to replace the analog )s and associated network
equipment will deliver Internet access downstream over a standard 6-megahertz
wireless television channel to subscribers' PCs at average rates of 1.5
megabits per second. Customers will use their existing analog modem ( or
digital connection to replace the analog )s and standard telephone line to send
requests for information on the upstream path.
A key goal of the I2O specification i s to let the I/O subsystem
handle as much of the I/O work as possible and thus offload work from the
system's main processor(s).
The I2O spec also makes it possible for
different operating systems that obey the spec to use common I/O subsystem
drivers.
The power of the Internet is to connect
machine to machine(s) from anywhere to anywhere.
The PC was designed as a stand alone
system. Once you can connect you have a network. Once you have a good
connection you have a terminal. Since the PC has become too complex, expensive
to maintain, crashes too often, the NC type applications will replace most
functions on the PC.
An
astro-physicist has said ‘ there is no reason that people should be ever
be able to understand the universe’. Our biological and intellectual
background is so naturally limited by our life experience here on Earth. We
have no way of comprehending or visioning space time plasma that behaves in
ways impossibly strange to our ways of being and knowing. Atomic physics
involves models that are not intuitive - even counter- intuitive. Most
people who have ever lived on this planet, were born and died within a fifty
mile range.
Their
perceptions are defined within what is called a tribal culture - part real and
part superstition. Applied rational knowledge is fairly modern as a cultural
style and still not seriously or firmly established as a norm.
The irrational
base of human understanding is clearly demonstrated by politics and commercials.
NOW as we enter
into a global technical society our social world is as little understood as the
physical.
The new world
order - lacks a vision or social psychological foundation. ]
The technology
itself is revolutionary.
The global
economy requires new models of thought. It’s not surprising that it is
difficult and there is a lot of active and passive resistance.
The leaders and
leading institutions often don’t get it. Non-linear, transactional,
mutually dependent rapid change appears to many as anarchy and chaos - morally
questionable and in conflict with traditional values. That is because global
transformations are a real revolution. Serious changes are disruptive of the
existing order.
The doors to
creative thinking and doing are in the narrow places between large structures.
The empires
of the world and the mind dominate the landscape. Vast historic structures
obscure the view of the horizon and our real location. Down narrow lanes and in
far fields we sometimes can gain images that glimmer with reflections of a pale
light, far off.
Where
theses narrow lanes and far field meet are the focal points of new creations.
There is a
container, connected to nodes, connected to networks, creating a info-sphere of
billions living reproducing pathways and elements.
The bio-sphere
began and is still largely made up of micro-organisms that share genetic information through networks of
co-option, cooperation and communication that become organic wholes from
simpler to complex. Cells take in parts from elsewhere and collect abilities of
different genes.
The biological
and infomation packets are coming together on a global scale.
One element
basic to global networks are standards.
The critical
standard is digital information which can be understood and act upon by all the
other members of the community.
The information
utility will operate on a common operational language - such as HTTP, FTP,
Java, that will co=option functions from different places, in words, pictures,
sounds and video.
The Microsoft
issue is their desire to make MS-OS/ active X the universal language for all
future global networks, software, operations, communications and services.
Netscape’s inter-operation open arch-culture has a somewhat different
vision of inter and intra operability.
The global scope
of mega networks makes Microsoft’s vision unlikely but not impossible.
Their moves into
communications, cable, satellites, broadcasting and services should be taken as
very important but not as a given. Without outside intervention or meaningful
competition they could set NT/active X type systems as the standard for most if
not all inter-net communications.
Gates to everone
- "Look upon my works ye humble of the earth and give up."
But all empires
lack vision and ability to change.
It’s not
hardware, it’s not software, but it is service-ware. Companies that
don’t sell machines or programs but universal services. Sign-up and we
give you the container, the link, and all the services you can think of and
many that you haven’t though of yet.
I soon will be
able to pull down the word processing "service" tied to voice and
video "services". I will be able to pull down interactive forms
"service", a search service, marketing services, shopping service,
broadcast and narrow cast services, product design and production services,
travel, insurance, investment and banking services designed and distributed by
other services .
All these
services we now called companies, producers, distributors, stores and markets
become part of the services network.
The telephone
company ( tele - sounds )is a service: television ( tele - pictures ) networks
and stations are service including broadcast ( send sound and picture over a
wide area ): computers are not a machine or thing but provide systems capacity
to do something, assign traits and store information and programs ( software to
help machines - do stuff ). All these THINGS are becoming parts of a system of
service with nodes and terminals.
The core of the
global service system is the operational codes and languages. Everyone has to
understand ever one else and terminals need to talk to nodes and servers need
to communicate with servers in common coded packets moving a mega-speeds back
and fourth.
These codes and
languages are extensions of Hyper Text Transfer Protocol , ftp ( file transfer
) and operations such as Java.
We're moving
toward a world of 1 billion connected computers sometime in the next
decade," Grove said, saying it would represent some 20 percent of the
world's population and a great opportunity" for the Pacific Rim.
The theme of
"wiredbrain" is that the "new world orders" are global
connections between utility network computers.
PCs will no
longer be the dominant Internet access device. As early as 2001, non-PCs -
information appliances, network computers, WebTV, gaming consoles, etc. - will
represent nearly half of all Web access devices shipped in the U.S., up from
four percent today, and nearly 80 percent of all PCs shipped in the U.S. will
be priced under $1,000.
Bandwidth - seen
as the key limit to Internet growth - will be widely available and
competitively priced. ``
The future of
the bandwidth crisis has been greatly exaggerated,'' Gens said.
New platforms
will emerge. Intel Corp. [Nasdaq: INTC - news ] will introduce a non-Pentium chip line, and
Microsoft will unveil a non-Windows operating system, Gens predicted.
Megamergers and
shakeups are ahead, as the Internet meets the corporate enterprise. Initially
forecast in his 1998 IT industry predictions, Gens alluded to a potential
acquisition of Netscape by Oracle Corporation [Nasdaq: ORCL - news ]. In today's speech, Gens predicted that Sun Microsystems will
also need to strengthen itself through acquisitions in 1998.
Like the human
brain, the internet's packets system can reconfigure itself to
work even after portions were destroyed. Using the noise-prone analog circuits
of the time, it was impossible to build the necessary switches. Baran concluded
that all the traffic would have to be digital. Moreover, the digital traffic
would have to be broken into short message blocks now called "packets,"
each containing its own routing information, like
a DNA molecule , and able to replicate itself correctly whenever a transmission
error occurred. With many additions and permutations, his original design is
today termed the Internet, click here for the emerging history of the 21st century .
for current
updates on communications and computer technology
The Rapidly
Changing Face of Computing
The "One
Fast Pipe!"
Here in the
RCFoC, we continuously try to peer ahead as each week's new innovations and
ideas morph how the future will unfold. This month, PC Magazine also brings us
their ideas of where things will be heading; their June 9 issue,
"Computing in the New Millennium," takes a broad look across the
technologies of the PC world, their peripherals and software, the Internet, and
more. It's a lot of reading, far too much to summarize it all here. Instead, I
think I'll just tantalize you with a few insights into how they see computing
evolving between now and 2001; you can read the details of their tour de force
look towards 2001 for yourself at http://www.zdnet.com/pcmag/features/2001/index.html
:
Imagine a single
digital pipe coming into your business or home, providing "virtually
unlimited bandwidth" for every form of information service -- voice, data,
fax, TV, and more. It's one of the Holy Grails of the Knowledge Age. But it's
clearly still science fiction -- right?
Perhaps not.
Because that's the promise of Sprint's newly-announced ION (Integrated On-demand
Network); ION holds the promise to dramatically change the speed, quality, and
price of our information services!
Initially due in
36 major U.S. cities this year and in 60 more by the end of 1999, ION will
provide
"... homes
and businesses with virtually unlimited bandwidth over a single existing
telephone line for simultaneous voice, video calls and data services,"
Well, looking
more closely, the bandwidth doesn't appear to be quite unlimited, but at 6
Mbits/second downstream and 1.5 Mbits/second upstream, it's nothing to sneeze
at, especially since users will be able to control how the bandwidth is
allocated between many services. You'll get to dynamically choose (and pay for)
how many phone lines you want at any given moment, how fast your Internet
access will be, the quality of your TV feed, etc.
And ION, based
on a packet-like Asynchronous Transfer Mode (ATM) network rather than a
traditional circuit-switched phone network, holds the potential for dramatic
cost savings,
"...the
network costs to deliver a typical voice call will drop by more than 70
percent."
"[
The] costs to
provide a full-motion video call or conference between family, friends or
business associates will be less than to provide a typical domestic long
distance phone call today."
How about
capacity -- if lots of people begin tossing around huge amounts of digital
traffic, won't the backbone melt down? NOT!, according to Sprint's CEO William
Esrey, thanks to Wavelength Division Multiplexing's (WDM) ability to pack an
increasing number of "different colored," full-speed data streams
into a single fiber. This year, one fiber pair will be able to carry two
million simultaneous voice calls (the equivalent of today's combined peak voice
traffic carried by Sprint, AT&T, and MCI). In 1999, a single fiber pair
will carry 4-times that amount of traffic. And in just two years, a single
fiber pair will carry 17-times today's peak traffic -- 34 million simultaneous
voice calls (or, since these voice calls are "just data," the
equivalent increased capacity for our other information services.)
There's a lot
yet to be understood about this new service, but the promise seems significant
-- yet it's not a panacea. For one thing, if you're not one of the estimated
70% of large businesses who will be within "touching" distance of
Sprint's major-city Broadband Metropolitan Area Networks (BMAN), it appears
you'll have to settle for less capacity through an xDSL or other "last mile"
connection to ION. And of course we haven't seen the price.
But it does seem
clear that Sprint is indeed targeting small business, telecommuters, and
consumers with ION. Through their alliance with Radio Shack, they have a retail
presence within a five-minute drive of 94% of the U.S. population. Could they
be thinking "smart network appliances," where you walk into your
local Radio Shack and walk out with a "Network Telephone" or Web
appliance that just plugs in to ION (no PC required)? Not impossible,
considering that IDC's Frank Gens expects that,
"Forty-two
percent of all Web access devices shipped in the U.S. in 2001 will be non-PC,
information appliances."
The implications
of this new network for businesses and consumers are profound."
If availability,
ease of use, speed, and cost of ION's "one fast pipe" meet our
desires, and especially if the competition then finds that they have to play in
this "fast pipe" playground as well, I think "profound"
will be a very good word indeed. Profound changes, driven by, and driving, the
rapidly changing face of computing!
Information
Technology:
The People's
Liberation Army (PLA)is forging close ties with China's powerful Ministry of
Posts and Telecommunications (MPT).
The developing
alliance, as a result of PLA's control over a sizeable portion of the radio
frequencies used in cellular communications, could eventually create a third
nationwide carrier.
The PLA and MPT
are currently laying the groundwork for a mobile phone network that will be
called the "Great Wall Network". It will use an advanced digital
standard called "code division multiple access" (CDMA). CDMA is the
latest U.S. digital standard, it provides higher capacity gains over current
analog systems than the global system for mobile communications (GSM). GSM is
the main European standard being currently implemented by the MPT and Unicom.
The digital
communications age has arrived. Still a little expensive - but if the price -
quality relationships hold - high speed connections should be quite cheap in a
year or so.
Then local NODES
can provide high speed wireless connections for EVERYTHING - internet with
telephone, video and real time data bases, BYE-BYE to MA bell, cable companies,
TV networks - as we know them.
The REAL impact
will be all the way to China - the billions - the majority that have no
telecommunications - they can make the great leap forward...
The site is in
the process of upgrading service to ViperLink.
The ViperLink
system uses a wireless access system to connect to an ATM backbone at an
astounding 90Mbps! Our Kentucky office has a full 2.0Mbps (30% bigger than a
T-1) dedicated connection that is burstable to 6.0 Mbps (4 full T-1s) if
needed. If at any time, our web sites need additional bandwidth –
they’ve got it! Never again will there be a problem with not having
enough bandwidth. Ask how many providers can make that claim!
SAN JOSE,
Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--May 11, 1998-- Verilink Corp . (NASDAQ:VRLK - news) today
announced that Splitrock Services, Inc., the U.S.-based provider of Internet
access to Prodigy customers, has selected Verilink to provide high-speed access
products for its nationwide ATM network.
Here you will find two general lists of
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) about the Internet, and Answers--one for new
Internet users and one for experienced Internet users. Scroll through this
window and use the hyperlinks to see if an entry in one of the FAQs already
addresses your question.
ADSL (Asymmetrical Digital
Subscriber Line) Technology Encyclopedia: A telephone line that handles
high-speed data such as Internet access, videoconferencing, interactive TV and
video on demand.
The line is
split asymmetrically so that more bandwidth can be used from the telephone
company to the customer (downstream) than from the customer to the telco
(upstream).
Discrete
MultiTone DSL (DMT DSL) and Carrierless Amplitude and Phase Modulation DSL (CAP
DSL) provide 1.5 or 6 Mbps downstream and from 64 to 640 Kbps upstream
capacity.
The difference
depends on the distance to the telco switch, which can be up to approximately
three miles from the customer.
Rate adaptive
DSL (RADSL) adjusts the speed based on signal quality, providing downstream
rates from 600 Kbps to 7 Mbps and from 128 Kbps to 1 Mbps upstream. Very high
bit rate DSL (VHDSL) provides 55 Mbps downstream and 2.3 Mbps upstream.
High bit rate
DSL (HDSL) and symmetric DSL (SDSL) are symmetric versions, providing the same
rate in both directions. HDSL provides 768 Kbps on two wires and 1.5 Mbps on
four wires. SDLS provides 384 Kbps.
Although it
took more than a decade from ISDN's formal introduction until it became
widespread, it is expected that DSL technologies will be implemented much
faster.
PAIRGAIN LAUNCHES RATE-ADAPTIVE ADSL
PRODUCTS
PairGain Technologies Inc has announced
that it has launched its first in a series of rate-adaptive asymmetrical
digital subscriber line ADSL products.
The new range enables a single platform to
offer asymmetric and symmetric high-speed connections. Rate adaptive technology
automatically adjusts data transfer speeds to the highest rate possible,
depending on transmission distance and line quality.
The new Megabit modem ( or digital
connection to replace the analog ) CRA is a RADSL modem ( or digital connection
to replace the analog ) for the customer site and transfers at up to 3.2Mbps
downstream and 1Mbps upstream over a single copper telephone line. It reaches
distances of up to 7.6km and includes a 10Base-T Ethernet port for connection
to the customer's personal computer or network as well as network management
software. With the addition of the S1 NID ADSL Splitter, the unit will also
support simultaneous voice and data over a single telephone line.
The headend unit, the Megabit modem ( or
digital connection to replace the analog ) CRA-C is a standalone RADSL modem
that installs at the telephone company, PTT or alternative carrier's central
office or exchange, and supports downstream data rates of up to 3.2Mbps and
upstream rates of up to 1Mbps, connecting to a Megabit modem ( or digital
connection to replace the analog ) CRA at the subscriber end.
Complex systems usually operate in failure
mode. This is the Fundamental Failure-Mode
Theorem of John Gall, propounded in his
1975 book "Systemantics." Microsoft, it seems, has finally come to
understand this insight.
What Gall meant was that it's pointless to
talk about how a system behaves when all of its parts are doing what the
designer had in mind. Real-world systems rarely have that luxury, since, at any
given moment, at least one part of any nontrivial system (including the
system's user) is having a bad day.
Good design limits the damage that
results. By this criterion, Office 97 and Windows 95 exemplify bad design.
Microsoft admitted as much with last month's announcement of the fourthcoming
"reinvention" of Office.
First Consumer Trial of Broadband
Multicast Services
Multicast is a part of @Home's suite of
network and server-based products and services that ride on top of the
company's distributed network architecture, enabling high-quality delivery of
multimedia content and networked applications. In contrast to the unicast or
point-to-point networking model of the Internet today, multicast provides
efficient "one-to-many" or "many-to-many" communications.
Rather than duplicating data ad infinitum,
the technology sends out the same information just once to multiple users
maximizing network performance.
How does it work? Currently, wireless
Internet subscribers typically dial out over the public telephone network,
sending their relatively low-bandwidth browser clicks upstream via a standard modem ( or
digital connection to replace the analog ) .
The returning Web page data is carried at
high speed downstream to the PC using a technology known as MMDS (Multichannel
Multipoint Distribution System) via microwave transmission. WebWeeK
New machines can be designed where
operations are taken over by the server - not only data ( pages ), sounds,
pictures, but applications in packages called Java or ActiveX scripts that do what PC programs
have been doing.
On NC's applications come
with the data. A word processor can download in seconds and when you need a
graphic editor, or drivers for a special printer, or anything else it is
provided by the server. You don't have to waste time setting up zig-a-bytes on
a hard drive.
The TRUTH is driving Microsoft
crazy.. they make billions by control of the OS ( Dos, Windows ) and PC
applications in big expensive packages.
The software in question synchronizes the
information thousands of Internet servers maintain on Internet addresses like
interactiveweek.com and zdnet.com.
These "name servers" link a
specific, numeric Internet address like 12.4.34.96 to the common, plain English
addresses most people use to send e-mail and visit different sites on the Net.
Each Web site usually has one numeric address to which it corresponds.
Packets: get
messages from here to there, for example:
The technology is basic; the results,
dramatic. By combining Lotus Notes and Web browsers, Coopers & Lybrand is
transforming its accounting services business and creating an online mecca for
employees and clients.
The $7 billion company's ongoing intranet
implementation--spanning 74,000 users in 142 countries--makes it one of the
largest deployments in any industry. But more striking is how the collective
power of Notes' collaborative and virtual group discussion capabilities, plus
the browser's universal access ability, are opening new markets, shortening the
time to market for new services and fundamentally changing the business model
for the New York accounting and professional services firm.
The next framework is based on Netscape's implementation of the Meta Content
Format (MCF) using the Extensible Markup Language (XML), which Netscape
proposed as a standard to the World Wide Web Consortium (W3C) in early June.
"Instead of coming out with separate formats for site visualization,
control, and pushed content, it provides a basic framework for all of these
areas,"
There's no competition we find ourselves
in today where we not only feel challenged but are poised to make
progress," said Ballmer.
"We have the product line in each and
every case to turn on the competitive pressure." Ballmer said the company
has four major competitive goals in the coming year:
Increase its Internet Explorer market
share to 70 to 80 percent of the browser market.
Defend its position against the network
computer, which could cannibalize PC growth.
Defend itself against Java , which Ballmer called "Sun's
middleware OS."
Build developer interest in DCOM,
Microsoft's component architecture.
Wiredbrain Comment:
The best defense is in being
in the grove, not fighting with the futurebut going with the flow.
The theme of this site is
that the Network Computer NC or some form of utility device will be the wave of
the future. This device will work on broadband server connections and
downloaded applications, Operations and even BIOS and OS commands all in a
Video User Interface. Microsoft will not control the OS and thereby the package
software business in a few years.
Their futureis in Communications, Cable, wireless, satellite, server systems,
services to content providers, content, training and foreign sales.
One analyst had this to say about
Microsoft's focus on the enterprise market: "
They'll get much more money per unit
selling NT Server and all that goes with it than they will selling traditional
desktops," said Jean Bozman, research manager with International Data
Corporation.
And speaking of desktops, Gates outlined
some of the future direction of its Windows software. Windows will eventually
fall into a yearly upgrade cycle, with major upgrades coming every two years,
Gates said. He also noted that "service packs" that users can
download from the Internet every quarter loom on the horizon. ( Completely walking backwards Gates -
not for long will Bill set the times and forms of software - programs will be
updated when they are used on any OS they find works for them. )
The company also wants to add natural
language recognition at the operating system level as a "substantial
portion of code," instead of adding it to specific applications, Gates
said. Such additions are several years away, but to whet the appetite, Gates
led a demonstration of a computer that responded to visual input through a
computer.
Microsoft Corp's WebTV Networks Inc has
introduced the second version of its service, giving users faster download
times, the ability to store data on a hard disk and slashed the price of its
existing set-top boxes.
The company has introduced a new box and
service called WebTV Plus.
The main difference users will see when it
is made available later this fall is the ability to view television and the web
simultaneously on a standard television, without the need for special
picture-in-picture technology.
WebTV has signed about 100 content
providers who will provide programming for the WebTV Plus platform. Advertisers
have also agreed to provide what the company calls TV Crossover links, whereby
the users can watch the ad and get extra information about the product over the
internet simultaneously.
The viewer will be alerted if the program
has any special web pages associated with it and the television signal can then
be viewed within the web page. Content providers will need to alter their pages
using WebTV's own TVML HTML extensions.
The picture-in- picture technique, which
the company calls WebPIP, is achieved by a new chip called Solo, designed by
WebTV and built by Toshiba America Electronic Corp that incorporates a 3D
graphics engine. Perlman named the 64-bit part, which he says only costs $15,
after his German Shepherd dog.
The existing WebTV set-top box has had its
price cut by manufacturers Sony Electronics Inc and Philips Consumer
Electronics Co to $200 and for a limited unspecified period, WebTV is dipping
into the Microsoft coffers to offer a $100 rebate through some retail channels.
It is now calling the existing WebTV box WebTV Classic, somewhat prematurely.
The new WebTV Plus boxes, will be made not
only by Sony and Philips but also by Mitsubishi Consumer Electronics America
and will cost "less than $300," which almost always means $299.
They are expected to ship within three
weeks.
The new box features a 56kbps modem ( or
digital connection to replace the analog ) from Rockwell International Corp and
has a built-in parallel port supporting Hewlett-Packard Co printers, with
support for Canon printers following later this year.
The 'Classic' boxes require a $60 add-on
port. WebTV has pledged to continue supporting and upgrading the WebTV Classic service,
but there is no upgrade path being offered by the manufacturers, though Sony
says retailers may offer something. Also new with the WebTV Plus system is a
Videomodem ( or digital connection to replace the analog ) cable modem ( or
digital connection to replace the analog ) for receiving high bandwidth data
embedded in a conventional television broadcast signal.
The company claims it can receive up to
1Mb per second without disturbing the video content. WebTV does not use the
vertical blanking interval technique of pushing data over television broadcast
signals as it says many cable companies will block the signal.
The new box features a 1.1Gb hard disk
from Seagate Technology Inc - an investor in WebTV. It will be used to receive
bulk data downloads overnight comprising either video or web pages.
The company figures the kind of users it
is going after are not bothered about the information being bang up to date. It
will also be used to store video clips supporting its own VideoFlash format or
MPEG, although will be only for clips less than 15 seconds long at the moment.
The overnight downloading service will be
available early next year.
The WebTV Plus box's main processor, the
167 MHz Mips Technologies Inc R6460 is the same one at the heart of the
Classic.
The Plus box has 8Mb RAM. WebTV Plus
supports the Internet Relay Chat (IRC) standard as well as the existing HTML
chat.
How could
wireless, DSB, or cable become web friendly?
Your ISP local
service node will broadcast your packages in your area. This is similar to
cellular phones. Each local area has a transponder that broadcasts to
instruments in the local area or cell.
The central
system knows what local cell you are in. As you move your messages are assigned
from cell to cell.
The up message
is broadcast from the cell phone to local transponders or receivers.
Internet modem ( or digital connection
to replace the analog ) s can work in the same way, BUT need to be
broadband. A box from AT&T
attached to the wall of your house, or in your car, boat or office can
establish a broadband two-way link between you and the (LAN) local area
wireless network, or Hybrid Networks and other fast systems. From the local node
the connection could up-link to satellites, such as the hundreds of low orbit
(LOS) satellites such as Motorola's Iridium is now sending up by the score and
already exist in Geo-synchronous orbits (GSO).
Broadcast and
narrow-casting:
In
broadcasting a signal is sent out into the air. Individuals have receivers with
a tuner that picks up the signals and assembles them into
"information" such as data, words and pictures. A TV picture is about
350,000 bits of data ( the color and brightness of each dot on your screen) for
each picture sent at 28 pictures a second, or about 10 MB per second. A cable with
100 channels contains 10 zig-a-byte a second. It's like dropping all the mail
out of a airplane with each person's mailbox getting everyone's mail in their
region.
Narrow-casting:edbrainand
makes it graphic and flexible. Each object, a picture or a paragraph, is
transferred in ways friendly to basic computer operations.
Push
technology:
The idea of
PUSH is to load your machine with information before you go and look for it. It
can work if you have regular needs or for Intranets, information about and for
companies or groups of individuals. Microsoft Internet Explorer 4.0 will let
you set up channels ( pages ) that will be downloaded when the computer is
idle. Program updates can be transferred in the same way.
Wireless or
cable or Direct Satellite broadcast (DBS) Internet connections :
Any network
( Local or Wide ) sends all the information with the same node address for you
and everyone on the network. Your program and the switch on your machine pulls
off only those messages with your machine's IP. It's been called a daisy chain,
all the data goes by and you collect only the packages addressed to you.
About the IP Multicast Initiative
Founded in 1996, the IPMI is a
multi-vendor cooperative effort to promote the deployment of industry-standard
IP Multicast technology.
The IPMI is managed by Stardust Forums, a
division of Stardust Technologies.
- Communications, media, the nature of work and the
wealth of nations:
The core of communications is the base of
the next revolution. Satellites
connected to earth stations with
super broadband wireless and cable connecting to "smart universal modem (
or digital connection to replace the analog )s" for network computers and
universal communications utilities including TV.
Monopoly power is what it's all about.
The myth of the free market applies to
very few temporary situations. In almost all market areas a few firms dominate
the markets, sets prices and controls the industry, such as the seven sisters
in oil, DuPont and G.M., IBM, now Microsoft. Any industry starts with lots of
firms but over time one ( out of four finalist ) gains a controlling market
share and by predatory practices comes to control prices. In Breakfast cereals,
Post and General foods, Milk marketing with Borden's, Cigarettes Philip Morris
and Bud's beer, Airlines and Chips are moving toward controled markets.
The only way to make more money than the
average is to have more than the average market power. Technological up to a
point but it's hard to keep a technological advantage. It is NOT that monoplies
are the best but they are the kings of the hills and can do a lot of shoving
from a strategic position. Everyone including Bill Gates knows this.
The future is about IT - information
technology.
The future is about the LINKS between
networks, the communications between servers, information and services -
banking, finance, travel, production of good and services on a global scale.
The PC is a transition product between the
main-frame and the digital information utility . Microsoft's market power in
the OS of DOS NT/windows - the operating system gives them leverage over the
software market.
The OS can be and will be built into the
CPU. - a OS as a open "smart" central processor. On a main frame you
can run programs in many languages, the CPU is a General system that translates
Java, Windows, XML into a universal digital control center's general machine
language.
The interface with the program enabled
flash memory can include real time Video and sound, different Graphic user
interface options and flexible BIOS using the ... wireless, cable, low orbit
satellite, wide band, broad band, inputs from the World Wide Web combining XML
with Meta Content Framework (MCF), which is how Web sites containing programs
and operations "describe themselves" to the BUS, BIOS, CPU and the
rest of the digital world.
Office productivity
products, communications, games, news, banks, bond and stock markets,
insurance, design and production of technical and clerical services, lawyers,
travel agents, class rooms, conferences, and 1001 other activities become web
sites which downloads operational information, content, file management, and
become interactive services, rather than something loaded on a PC hard drive -
all it takes is bandwidth . .
A $375 office product
becomes $10.00 a month subscription and/or part of a $50 to $250 a month
complete package including the lease of machines and the communications link,
storage, server, services that includes telephone ( video phone) fax, digital
satellite TV, private high speed networks et al - the SUPPER GLOBAL PHONE
COMPANY, the world on line .TELECOM
communicator -
In the near future ( a few years ) most
homes and offices, home offices, schools, libraries will have a [Greek têle-,
from têle, far off.] Window =[Middle English, from Old Norse vindauga : vindr,
air, wind + auga, eye.][Middle English communen, from Old French communier
(from Latin commúnicâre). See COMMUNICATE and from Old French communer, to share (from commun, common). See COMMON.]
The spirit in the world "deus ex
machina",
AlphaCom is providing the key to
technology and the internet that will propel us into the 2000's. Each modem (
or digital connection to replace the analog ) contains its own static IP
address, giving you access twenty four hours a day seven days a week without
loosing your connection to the internet. This means no more busy signals.
Having a static IP address allows you to take your InSat Wireless with you and
browse the internet from almost anywhere.
My belief is that while this venture is
probably not an outright scam, it is based upon poor and incomplete
information, a misunderstanding of what is possible and what is not, and
over-exuberant peddling of technologies. Has AlphaCom ever heard of Metricom
(http://www.metricom.com) in Los Gatos, Calif.? Metricom offers a $299 portable
wireless modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog ) with unlimited
Internet access for $29.95 a month.
Portable radio modem ( or digital
connection to replace the analog )s for Ericsson's Mobitex packet radio
networks and Motorola's DataTAC packet radio networks always have been able to
access the Internet. Existing portable CDPD radio modem ( or digital connection
to replace the analog )s, such as those produced by Sierra Wireless can access
the Internet. CDPD phones, such as those produced by Pacific Communication
Sciences Inc., Samsung and Mitsubishi can access the Internet.
John Sidgmore. but it is not
clear to most reporters and observers. This is one way to visualize what is
happening.
There are a new products call Web-TV, the
network computer, advanced note books with cell phone built in, and important
advances in satellite communications, Wideband / Broadband, cable modem ( or
digital connection to replace the analog )s and copper wire telephone ASDL xDSL
services.
Imagine you have a black box which
provides universal communications services: video telephone, Internet, fax,
e-mail, cable TV, regular digital TV, CD music and games, had digital storage
in Zig-a-bites, and wireless modem ( or digital connection to replace the
analog ) in 10 Meg-bits per second or better.
The question is who is the Service
Provider ?
Imagine companies, schools, homes where
instead of millions of PC the same black box provides all the applications,
data banks, and work stations for on-site and computer home workers.
The applications programs are downloaded
with the data. A 10 Mb program takes 1 seconds to down load the functions being
used at that moment.
The program "runs" on the CPU of
the black box, the NC is not a time share terminal, but is fully integrated
with the wide area network and the Internet. Who provides the software, systems
management, data storage, and where is the server ? Watch the keynote by MCI WorldCom’s
The next step is from LAN ( local networks
) to the internet. He talks PC but programs NC for all the reasons supporting a
low cost "utility" device Larry Ellison of Oracle promoted last year.
The ISP could be the satellite companies
who own the high ground and the critical link in the whole system.
There is the fight between three plan to
launch several hundred satellites in 2001 and 2002. Alcatel Alsthom 1/8ALSF.CN
3/8's Skybridge and Motorola's Celestri to get bands to develop and compete
against Microsoft's Teledesic, which is backed by Boeing (BA.N). In all, the
three plan to launch several hundred satellites in 2001 and 2002.
The three projects , which would offer
high-speed multi- media services via huge networks of satellites, require
access to a large amount of radio frequency spectrum.
These connections make possible the
Network Computer the
next generation of "smart" terminals that act as telephones, e-mail,
PCs, business shops and services.
These become the first global telephone (
tele-communications ) company with direct services to companies, and local
service providers. MCI-World Com -BT- ATT - DT -Sprint have to get into the
Satellite Internet business FAST or be replaced.
They are behind using analog rather than
digital systems they should have made universal 20 years ago.
Nortel and Rockwell team on high speed Net access By
Stannie Holt InfoWorld Electric Posted at 5:49 PM PT, Nov 17, 1997 Northern
Telecom (Nortel) and Rockwell Semiconductor Systems are teaming up to offer
high-speed Internet access -- up to one million bits per second -- using a
regular phone line.
The two companies announced an agreement
Monday to combine Nortel's One-Meg modem ( or digital connection to replace the
analog ) network equipment with Rockwell's Consumer Digital Subscriber Line
(CDSL) chipset. Together, these could deliver Internet access at up to one
megabit per second, 17 times faster than the current 56K standard, along with
simultaneous voice service on the same phone line.
I don’t see much future for WIRE
including cable after 2000, and the growth markets are in China,
The USS -was, Eastern Europe, Latin
America, which add up to double the number of users and four times the amount
traffic every 18 months at half the cost per unit. " For technology , analysts said the trend within
Asia could move towards the personal computer as a cheaper, commonly available
product.
"Malaysia, Singapore and Hong Kong
will probably lead the way as far as futuristic technology into the next
millennium, but I wouldn't count out very strong IT investments in China,"
said Brian Kornegay, a senior personal computer analyst at IDC. "
The GREAT industrial companies of the next
century will be tele-communications with a vast variety of
"services", financial, travel, marketing of goods, retail sales,
educational, all global all around us. This is the issue Nadar
and the NOISE group are all about.
The report illustrates just how dominant the
computer sector of the economy has become as technology has become increasingly
advanced. .. For example, the study found that the average wages of those who
provide high-tech services are, in Kazmierczak's words, "phenomenal,"
with high-tech employees earning 73 percent more, on average, than
private-sector employees. Providers of software services in particular, he said,
are finding current economic trends to be extremely favorable
Two-Day San Francisco Event Includes
Internet Partners Discussing
Convergence Strategies Third-Generation
Wideband Wireless Multimedia mobile systems.
This technology, to debut in some world
regions in the year 2000, will enable wireless phones/terminals to deliver not
only voice, but also full-motion video, and data-intensive information such as
real-time Internet access.
Once More From the TOP:
It's about time !
The main line press has caught-on to the
power of the internet ? What wiredbrain and others ( mainly Netscape, Oracle, (
considered to be a source of wise counsel or prophetic opinions. b. An
authoritative or wise statement or prediction ) IBM, SunMicrosystems and the
NOISE group ) have been talking about since Netscape 1.0 and WINS connections -
the virtual office and the Network Computer has now arrived in the PC world.
"
The new concept ( only to you ) goes
by a variety of names: instant Web office; virtual office; instant intranet;
Web tone; Internet dial tone; and so on.
The idea is to provide everything a user
needs on a central server. Users can then access that server over the Internet
with just a terminal and a phone line.
Then they "rent" Internet and
intranet applications for as little as $10 to $20 per person per month.
(That's a fraction of the per-user cost of
an in-house intranet.)"and a box that cost 10 % of a PC work station (
$500 vs. $5,000 ) and doesn't crash, doesn't need systems managers, and doesn't
require constant upgrades but doesneed bandwidth.
Jesse Berst, Editorial Director ZDNet
AnchorDeskWhat is clear but not said is this is the end of the Age of the PC.
First the main frame, then the PC now the NC -
There is now a immense industry we can call
IT“INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY”.
IT now represents the critical modern
enterprise growing to be a quarter of all economic activity.
ITis a greater engine for growth than railroads in the 19th century, oil
and chemical industries in the first half of this century.
IT is equal to the auto industry, which
reached 25 % in the 1950s. “IT” like the auto industry includes the
hardware ( the computer or car), the infrastructure, (communications and
networks or the roads) the energy ( software or oil ) the services, (
consultants and staff or Gas Stations ) and parts ( modem ( or digital
connection to replace the analog )s, drives, or car radios ). IT includes the
computers ( the car ), the roads ( the telecom business ), services ( software
) and the social educational infrastructure.
IT provides the web of life for modern enterprise - design, production,
distribution, sales, of goods and services.
IT is the growth industry and in labor
market.
There are millions of new jobs and
additional people needed world wide.Unlike the auto industry the IT business
evolves quickly. New hardware computers and chips, new methods of
communications, new applications evolve quickly.
IT is quickly becoming one unified, highly
complex living system on a global basis.
The whole is more than the sum of the
parts - synergy that comes from elaborate interactions.
There are critical “flash
point” - global telcom systems based on satellites connect to earth
stations that can use telephone lines including new high bandwidth
technologies, optic fiber, wireless broadband, and cable connections.
The high bandwidth connections use
improved modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog )s to provide
support for networks.
These new networks provide what have been
called telephones, television, personal computers, and something new - beyond
what now are common utilities.
The common base system is the
“browser”, which will provide all of the application in a Java type
objects - in a Video User Interface (VUI) using chips that can handle digital
TV and Digital Hard Drives for storage all as parts of the new super modem ( or
digital connection to replace the analog )s.
ITis why the DOJ Microsoft case is
important. What was called the “operation system” OS now becomes
VUI, an interface between a “terminal” ( telephone, TV, and PC = NC
) and a communications media.
The interface uses program
“packets” as well as content “packets” the operational
software is contained within the data .
The difference between program and content
no longer is significant. With bandwidth the “word processor” is
attached to the files and comes as an instant updated package at the moment of
use. This is Netscape’s, Oracle and others “vision” and the
real challenge to Microsoft."Unequaled speed, reliability and advanced
applications such as full, rich streaming audio and video are what this market
has been clamoring for. This is the platform that brings the Web to life."
MediaOne, the nation's leading broadband services company Tuesday launched Los
Angeles' fastest Internet service for the home, called MediaOne Express .
SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - Intel said that
it has signed pacts with three companies, including the At Home Network, to
accelerate the use of high-speed cable modem ( or digital connection to replace
the analog )s and make them easier to install for consumers.
The At Home network , (ATHM ) based in Redwood City, California,
develops a high-speed service for residences and business for fast access to
the Internet and other interactive services.Intel also said the companies would
work with networking giant Cisco Systems (CSCO ) to develop an easy-to-install external cable
targeted to consumers.
In the third agreement, Intel and the CableLabs
research consortium agreed to work together to draft new specifications to
enable cable modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog )s to connect
to personal computers through external ports, for easier installation and use.
Dataquest(R) forecasts that over 70
percent of all PCs shipped in 1997, and virtually all in 1998, will be USB
capable.
The parties intend to focus on the
development and deployment of consumer-installable, DOCSIS (Data Over Cable
Service Specification) compliant external cable modem ( or digital connection
to replace the analog )s using the Universal Serial Bus (USB) standard.
Cable modem ( or digital connection to
replace the analog )s will provide consumers with high-bandwidth connections to
PCs that are typically 100 times faster than today's fastest 56k telephone
modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog )s.
The faster connection allows high-speed
Internet access and will enable new classes of broadband services and
applications for consumers.
The new USB approach to cable modem ( or
digital connection to replace the analog ) design will allow easy consumer
installation and configuration using the "plug-and-play" features of
USB.
Faster, bigger, cheaper: vs. even much
cheaper, even smarter, much simpler systems with synergy. More of the same
- but bigger and better is the image from Intel/Microsoft, well maybe: there is
certainly some more GEE WIZZ STUFF ON THE WAY.
There are alternatives to buying new PC's
with all the new bells and whistles.
There will be other ways to run more and
more complex and graphic programs. It is not AND/OR but some of the same and
something different ? I can't upgrade my current 486 BOX because new systems
require a new mother board, new graphics, new memory slots. I might as well get
a new machine !Let's put it this way - which would you prefer ?Just keep what I
have and shut up !
I will have to upgrade sometime...Second,
replace my 486 80Mhz 16 Mb RAM, 2 hard drives, 28.8 modem ( or digital
connection to replace the analog ), machine with a Pentium at "only"
a $1000.00.
The new machine will need to be replaced
within 18 months by Pentium II and other major new technologies - more
integration into the CPU, different memory managers, different mother boards,
BIOS, BUS, power management, graphics, Digital Video Drives - all NEW stuff
will be here in 18 months to two years. So should I WAIT ? What do I need it
all for ? I don't get into complex games - or graphics - or huge data files - This
BOX can wait to be given to the children !
Wait ---- A third way !When Bandwidth
arrives from the sky, (Direct Broadcast and other wireless see below ) from
cable, from the power lines, from new phone technologies ( ADSL modem ( or digital
connection to replace the analog )s, which provide throughput speeds of about 6
mbps) then it will be possible to buy or rent a super modem ( or digital
connection to replace the analog ) that turns my monitor into a digital TV and
my computer into a smart terminal ?
"This new world of computer
communications will break down into two domains - the fibersphere and the
atmosphere.
The fibersphere is the domain of
all-optical networks, with both communications power - bandwidth - and error
rate improving by factors in the millions... From Long & Strong to Wide
& Weak
"For example, in transmitting 40
megabits per second - the requirement for truly high-resolution images and
sounds - Shannon showed some 45 years ago that
using more bandwidth can lower the needed signal-to- noise ratio from a level
of one million to one to a ratio of 30.6 to one. This huge gain comes merely
from increasing the bandwidth of the signal from two megahertz (millions of
cycles per second) to eight megahertz. That means a 33,000-fold increase in
communications efficiency in exchange for just a fourfold increase in
bandwidth."
New wireless subscriptions have yet to
eclipse the number of new terrestrial lines.
There were 716m subscriptions for new
fixed lines in 1996, compared with 137m for mobiles. But mobile subscriptions
are growing at 50 per cent a year while the number of fixed lines is expanding
by 10 per cent. Mobiles could overtake fixed phones by 2003 or 2004.In some
developing countries, including China,
cellular growth is already higher than "wire-based" growth. "In
another decade the only reason to have your phone tethered to the wall will be
because you need high-speed data communication," says Mr Richard Kramer,
telecoms analyst at Goldman Sachs in London.
"Voice communication will be mobile."My guess is that the big
communications companies will provide "backbone" but also direct
service, the big companies will contract for semi-private global networks, and
local providers will offer a complex variety of connections - cable maybehas
a head start, but Direct Broadcast can "leap frog" with wireless
broadband uplinks, ( it's easier to download quickly to your site but the
return link is difficult on traditional cable or Direct Broadcast systems ),
here ADSL can offer small business, small ISP's, and a few households an
alternative to T1 or T3 type lines and everything with Direct Broadcast,
digital TV 500 channels down-link and 6 Mbps returns on the phone line.
The single video card, hard drive and
memory manager can download programs when they are used. Instead of clicking on
Word, part of a 100 MB office suite package, I Click on a Word Processor from
the web ( like Netscape's Communicator Java Editor ) and the document window
shows up faster than it does now. If I use graphics then that is called up from
the network - many as Java Scripts - that will run on almost any platform. When
I save my files, I save to my web site which won't lose my files or run out of
space. All of this for a flat fee - and no constant upgrades.
I can still keep my system cluttered with
junk I don't use or grow out of the need to have copies of my own but just a
bookmark that lets me get what I want, when I want it.I think Intel and
Microsoft are in for a wake up call. Growth markets are in utility machines for
the masses.
The Chip market will continue to grow but
not the PC market. Few want new and improved, few want to upgrade every other
year, and the many are fed up with overly complex hardware and programs that
crash as they say " contact your systems administrator " . I don't
have a systems administrator and don't want one to keep fixing the un-fixable.
This is what the N.O.I.S.E. is all about (Netscape, Oracle, IBM,
SunMicrosystem, and everyone else )Intel ProShare® video conferencing product
line.
New and Improved ? Thoughts on the
Explorer Upgrade In Europe it has been traditionally difficult to sell NEW
type autos. People say they don't want to buy a car, which they keep for an
average of seven years, until the bugs have been worked out and has built a
reputation for reliability.
GM, IBM, and other big corporations often do not have the best product or price
but the power of marketing, distribution, service, and habit.
They depend on people's unwillingness to
be pioneers. Those on the frontier get shot with arrows.
Now billions of dollars, huge personal
fortunes, the rise and fall of great enterprises depend on complex technologies
few understand. Technology has become a horse race, the fastest win rather than
a dog or pony show where the judges reflect conventional values, where a horse
of a different color is unlikely to win. In the now systems of knowledge, a 14
year old New Zealand boy's solution to the millennium bug is just as much in
the race as the show horses from the most established stables.
A large part of the computer industry
depends on up-grades to more and more complex systems and faster and faster
machines. Millions of jobs depend on systems few understand. It is not clear
how we are better off. A majority of PCs are still using 486 and Windows 3.11.
or less.
They get the job done.
"
They" (Intel-MS) look for
applications that make you u
Wiredbrain Future new
news and private research service by GlobalVillages provides research on and
the future ???
Don't be blind to what others are doing and what they know about what you are
up to AT FROM: pfpfpfpflaump@cfl.rr.com>
Who will keep you
informed on the events just around the next bend. In the past it was OK to let
others forge the way. You could wait to see how it turned out then buy your way
in after the bugs had been removed. Pioneers got arrows in their backs. BUT now
we are all on the frontier and can't wait until the dust settles. For example:
Dr. Pflaum ( for a fee )
will research the events and technologies that will effect your future and give
you reports and advice.
www.multicrawl.com for
synergy site: use wiredbrain and "any topic"
Individual development,
organizational change, and In the computer industry, power comes not from the
barrel of a gun but from the interface of a
Protocol:
He who controls the interface controls the system.
Continued on - please let me know about errors ! Some of these pages
date back up to 10 years ( 1992 ) and have been through many editors and
transfers. News about what's happening and for updates use GlobalVillage Excite
NewsSearch -