Lord
Keynes
Who wrote of Newton
" Newton was not the first of the age of reason. He was
the last of the magicians, the last of the Babylonians
and Sumerians, the last great mind which looked out on
the visible and intellectual world with the same eyes as
those who began to build our intellectual inheritance
rather less than 10,000 years ago. "
The great economist
shorted the DM in 1920's to make himself, Cambridge University, and the
Insurance Companies he worked for a lot of money. I have hear Mr.
Soros
talk about the difference between Illusion and reality. ( He made a billion
or so shorting the pound ) People come to believe false ideas and replace
their ideas with reality. ( Government and Bank of England statements about
defending the pound ) When the difference becomes great there is the chance
to make a killing.
GO SHORT THE YEN: You borrow yen, ( on Margin ) as bonds, a futures
contracts ( much more risk because of the fixed time periods on futures
). This is going SHORT. You borrow something today and hope to pay for
it later at a lower price, thereby keeping the difference between today's
price and a future lower price. This is how people can make money in up
or down markets.
The yen is overvalued and will drop by 50% to 200 % sometime
soon.
When the Spanish mugged Peru and ran off with billions in gold (
the money at that time ) it raised prices in Spain. More money meant the
relative value of gold was lower - it would buy less stuff.
The ancient
regime with it's medieval mind set drove out the productive forces of Arabs
and Jews and replaced them with the glorious bandits called conquistadors.
Japan
has horded money and the price of stuff is way out of line. If they
stop it the price of their money will drop from a slow evolutionary change,
if they don't stop it ( having a large trade surplus ) the price of their
money will drop from a discontinuous change.
Their idea that they can "control"
the future is vain glorious as those of the Soviet Union, Philip II and
the Roman Catholic Church, IBM and GM, the federal reserve, and Pat Robinson.
The
SYNERGY JOURNAL
will be distributed on Fridays and go to those that request copies at pflaumppflaumppflaumppflaump@cfl.rr.com The journal will replace all other mailing.
RE:
The origin and design of the biosphere: Where I live:
It's a matter of perspective. How do I think about space, land, place
and time ?
Archie Carr
( the famous
turtle
man from UF in Gainsville ) described the world as seen by turtles.
They were here as the continents rose and fell in the seas, great masses
moved on plates, mountains rose and wore down, as dinosaurs came for a
hundred million years and then disappeared in a long dark night.
The dynamic
planet as explained by Lovelock's Gaia is a moving, changing, energetic,
vibrant, place. It is our character as a creature to create an image of
our selves and our environment that reflects our attitudes as much as any
"objective" reality. /images are made in the mind, have depth, color, and
feeling produced in the brain and "programmed" by biology. I have been
making an comparison from the living planet to the Internet as a new life
form. How do we get perspective, a time frame on the Internet ?
I live on a barrier island along the East Central Atlantic coast
of Florida. This barrier island extends from Cape Canaveral thirty five
miles north to Ponce Inlet. ( Image of Light House ).
For twenty miles North from the Kennedy Space Center there is the Canaveral
National seashore, (image of dunes) the last fifteen
miles is New Smyrna Beach, the south half in the county and north half
in the city, which is mostly on the "mainland". In the last decade a wall
of condos has been build on the Volusia county land to the south extending
down to the Turtle Mound made of oyster shells by older native Americans,
the marker to the National Sea Shore.
The city was founded by Greek and
Minorican servants brought by British merchant adventurers in the 1760's
as the biggest single planed colony in North America. It failed and the
remaining people moved to St. Augustine at the time of the rebellion of
the American colonies.
My wife family came here in the 1950's. ( Image of the Crawford ramp
)
At that time the beach was broad and flat, the ocean shadow for a
long way out. Now the tide comes to the remains of the dune lines. Houses
on Buthune beach are threaten by storms. In the last few years there has
been a federal court case under the endangered species act because of the
nesting sea turtles. Local people want to continue to drive on the beach.
We wrote recently to Endangered/Threatened Species Permit Coordinator U.S.
Fish and Wildlife Service.
As long-time residents of the north beach, New Smyrna Beach, we are
very familiar with local beach ecology. In the last few years, this beach
area has significantly diminished while auto traffic has greatly increased.
It is only a question of time before cars will be forced off the beach.
We may as well do it now.
For more than two decades it has been obvious that people, cars,
and turtles cannot safely share the same space. In the last few years,
high tides frequently come well past the hard sand. During the turtle nesting
season, the area set aside for parking is in soft sand where cars make
deep ruts, often get stuck, and leave no area where children can safely
play. (See rest of letter bellow )
We tend to see the earth as stable.
These barrier islands are reefs
produced not long ago, in the last period of global warming, when the ocean
was 20 to 40 feet deeper.
The planet is warming again, the hot-house effects,
the growing and exploding sun ( now 1/3 stronger than when life began 3.5
billion years ago ), and who knows what ? We do not live or can ever live
is stable times.
It's always troubled me to be around people who think they know what
they don't and can't possibly be so sure of, they clearly find good reasons
not to know.
They refuse to consider the alternatives. Evolution and creation
has their true believers. We all create mental maps and impose our ideas
on what we perceive. Our tools of perception require a lot of filters or
there is too much noise and too little information, like on television.
Awareness is always limited and incomplete. What is troublesome is the
firm instance on limited vision.
The wilful refusal to see the Big picture
or alternative viewpoints. Psychological strategies all involve opening
doors of awareness closed by emotional barriers and attachments to defensive
walls built to close out new ideas. A proper respect and feeling for ambiguity,
complexity is basic to understanding and rather rare.
For every good new idea there are many that are not new or good.
The
Gaia theory had a problem with the lack
of understanding about purpose and direction in nature. Direction in evolution
is NOT that lizards desired to fly and grew wings, but that there is a
context and meaning in the unknown forces of nature. Lizards would never
grow feathers, have hollow bones, and take off by chance or random mutation.
We have the record of early birds that evolved from Dinosaurs but such
a complex synergy must have direction, be part of a bigger matrix, involved
with vectors that we can't be observed with the models and tools we have
been using. Lovelock's Daisy world is a simple model of how feedback produces
a direction and purpose in complex systems.
The is the soul of general
systems theory.
Darwin's Origin of Species doesn't have a sound explanation of how
evolution works. We still don't know the synergy and methods life forms
use in the origin of species. We do know a lot about the parts but not
much about wholes.
The drift of population characteristics, the survival
of those best adapted to changing environments, mutations, extinctions,
can explain, given enough time; variety within and among species but not
the vast complexity of biological communities and their origins.
We know how populations of finches become specialist in their ecology.
These adaptations can not make silk purses out of sows ears. Genetic information
has room for survival strategies within the basic rules and limits of the
information given.
Genetic drift and random mutations can't explain rather sudden arrival
of new structures and rules, at the creation of species.
The Australian
marsupials developed independently but along common paths from simple shrews
and mice, to wolves and kangaroos.
They have a lot in common with their
placenta mammal relatives. How did that happen ? How did the eye evolve
independently in several different types of organisms, and how do the cells
of the liver know their role and not become eye tissue.
There is a lot
more than tangible apparent forces at work. Rather mystic communications
take place in the biosphere, the whole is a lot more than the sum of the
parts.
RE: Natural Civilization -
We discussed the Internet as a life form. We need a new mythology that
can enlighten and inform our understanding of who we are and the effects
of our social technology.
The Internet as a life form works well as analogies,
concepts, poems and theories to help us understand what is going on when
things are change so fast. Our childish minds are formed in an industrial
age that is dying and a new world order is rising from the Far West, that
from Europe is the Far East - ( where East meets West ). This site asks
the question: can an old dog learn new tricks, can we get a new prospective
? Can we get our Yin and Yang together ?
The Fifth Discipline
The steps in boot-camp, in Jesuit soldiers for Christ, in the traditional
Mass, in Makarenko's Road to Life, in Brain Washing, re socialization,
AA, follow this pattern:
-
BLUE- wind and water Welcome: this is a special place - dress, music,
formal ritual lets you know you are not in Kansas anymore, (
The colors
are Sufi codes from Rumi, 12th century )
-
YELLOW - Personal Mastery -
The lessons - This is the world as "/de"
know it - you can try harder - Is that the best you can do ?
-
RED - fire Repent - re-think - reflect - reform - you are not fit to
gather the crumbs from under the table, meditation on your faults, intergration
of passions.
-
Team work: Win/Win BROWN earth = Forgiveness which passes all understanding,
not because of your virtues but just because we love you ? centered, grounded,
focused -
in
Covey from personal independence to inter-dependence.
-
Synergize, Learning at the gut level: WHITE = spirit,
The rites of passage
- Take eat - do this and remember - Grace be with you - the life force
is yours for the asking;
-
Systems thinking: Black to Green (
The emerald city ) = See the big
picture, Thanksgiving to the Lord and the Marines and faith and belief
- the way of knowing;
-
Shared Vision: Black to clear = membership, the few, the brave, the
good going beyond self - transpersonal
Current rethinking about the evolution of the planet earth, the biosphere,
and social-biology involves new models or paradigms of punctuated equilibria,
chance and
chaos. Illya Prigogine, author of Order Out of Chaos: Man's New Dialogue
with Nature, NY: Bantam Books, 1984 and Nobel Prize winner in Chemistry
1977 wrote that chance and necessity (
Jacques
Monod ) cooperate instead of opposing one another.
The application
of themodynamics to the disequalium of life with it's unsteady states give
us new viewpoints - altra, ultra-vistas as well as a higher viewpoint alta-vista,
broader perspectives.
Life is a form of negative or anti-entropy, which itself is a type
of anti-matter energy. This is the glue of the universe. Someday the great
central field on/off up/down strong/weak then/now - hot (active)/cold (still)
here/there ( 6th dimensions) theory will put it all together in a way we
can understand. So far we have talked about five dimensions, there are
seven but some can't be talked about. We can't measure the "life-force"
but it goes under the name of the spirit or soul. Because we can't see
it doesn't mean it's not there. You can't prove a negative and there is
no positive test for anti- entropy. But it makes more sense than any of
the alternatives - and like democracy is messy and is not simple. Complex
systems require